BYU at UCF

Saturday, October 24, 2026

BYU plays at UCF on Saturday, October 24. It will be their sixth meeting; BYU leads the series 4–⁠1.

AwayBYU6–⁠0 in 2026
HomeUCF3–⁠3 in 2026

Kickoff time TBA at FBC Mortgage Stadium, OrlandoForecast: 68°F, fair, wind 7 mph

From the numbers

  • BYU is one of six FBS teams that are unbeaten this season, with James Madison, Miami, Texas Tech, UCLA and Utah.

Computed from every game through Oct 17 and the score after every scoring play; a note appears only when few teams share it. All the numbers.

Preview

BYUUCF
6–⁠0Record3–⁠3
0.28 (19th)EPA per play0.12 (82nd)
−0.01 (35th)EPA per play allowed0.00 (38th)
51% (8th)Success rate41% (90th)
36% (27th)Success rate allowed40% (60th)
1.18 (98th)Explosiveness1.29 (36th)
5.0 (3rd)Points per trip inside the 405.0 (5th)
19% (24th)Havoc caused15% (82nd)
0.17Opponent-adjusted EPA0.10
0.02Opponent-adjusted EPA allowed0.04

BYU

PlayerShareEPA/playAdjusted
Bear Bachmeier QB98%0.330.21
LJ Martin RB29%0.440.32
Bear Bachmeier QB22%0.660.43
Kyler Kasper WR23%0.61
Legend Glasker WR19%0.78
Walker Lyons TE15%0.35

Kicker: Matthias Dunn, 1.9 points above a replacement kicker on five field-goal tries.

UCF

PlayerShareEPA/playAdjusted
Alonza Barnett QB91%0.13
Duke Watson RB36%0.230.24
Alonza Barnett QB27%−0.05
Joshua Derry WR21%0.60
Dylan Wade TE15%−0.03
Waden Charles WR14%0.37

Kicker: Will Stone, 0.6 points above a replacement kicker on six field-goal tries.

Each side’s numbers this season, with its rank in the nation (first is best, on defense too), from CollegeFootballData.com’s game preview, as of October 18. The better side of each line is bold. Key players are each side’s leading passer, two leading runners and three leading receivers by share of plays. Adjusted: EPA per play adjusted for the defenses faced.

Players to watch

BYU

UCF

Each side’s two top producers this season (national leaders first) and its leading tackler.

In the news

Before kickoff

Our ratings and the line, going in

Our ratings (scores only)

BYU 76% to win.

The line

BYU −7.5, over/under 45.5.

Updated once a night until kickoff: the consensus line when the books publish one, otherwise a single major sportsbook’s.

Win chances before kickoff: BYU 70%, UCF 30%. CollegeFootballData.com’s estimate from the point spread.

BYU leads 4–⁠1 in five meetings.

Recent meetings
2025BYU 41, UCF 21
2024BYU 37, UCF 24
2020BYU 49, UCF 23Boca Raton Bowl
2014UCF 31, BYU 24
2011BYU 24, UCF 17

Around this game

BYU

UCF