Duke Watson

Expected points added: how much the player’s plays moved the team’s expected score, per play and in total. Plays: total EPA divided by EPA per play, the plays the source credits to him (for a receiver roughly his catches and runs, not every target; for a passer, not every attempt), so it can differ from attempts plus carries. Percentile: against the position’s regulars that season across all divisions on file (quarterbacks with 150+ plays, backs 60+, receivers and tight ends 30+), with how many there were (n) and their median; a dash means too few plays to rank. A season in progress uses the full-season bar scaled by games played, never below 75 plays for quarterbacks, 30 for backs and 20 for receivers. The cohort grows or shrinks with the source’s coverage each season (2025 lists far more players), so compare percentiles rather than raw EPA across years. FCS seasons are marked. Usage: the share of the team’s plays the player was part of (shown from 20 plays). Adjusted pass and rush: EPA per play adjusted for the defenses faced (CollegeFootballData’s WEPA). From CollegeFootballData, 2013 on.

Where his yards came from, per carry: line yards are the ones credited to the blockers (the first few, and losses), second level the yards 5 to 10 past the line, open field those beyond 10. Success: carries that kept the offense on schedule. Stuffed: carries stopped at or behind the line. From CollegeFootballData, FBS games, 2025 on.

2026 UCF 6 games, 483 rushing yards, 3 TD

Date	Opponent	Result	Car	Yds	TD	Long	Rec	Rec yds
Sep 3	vs.Bethune-Cookman	W 73–⁠6	7	110	1	64	–	–
Sep 12	atPittsburgh	L 7–⁠12	6	10	0	8	3	7
Sep 19	vs.Georgia State	W 44–⁠30	14	177	2	63	1	−1
Sep 26	vs.TCU	W 21–⁠13	13	57	0	14	1	2
Oct 3	atHouston	L 17–⁠27	9	50	0	37	1	−1
Oct 10	atOklahoma State	L 28–⁠42	21	79	0	13	–	–

2025 Louisville 7 games, 158 rushing yards, 1 TD

Date	Opponent	Result	Car	Yds	TD	Long	Rec	Rec yds
Aug 30	vs.Eastern Kentucky	W 51–⁠17	2	2	0	2	1	30
Sep 5	vs.James Madison	W 28–⁠14	7	13	0	8	–	–
Sep 27	atPittsburgh	W 34–⁠27	14	47	0	15	1	3
Oct 4	vs.Virginia	L 27–⁠30	1	2	0	2	1	6
Nov 8	vs.California	L 26–⁠29	8	19	1	9	–	–
Nov 14	vs.Clemson	L 19–⁠20	11	39	0	10	2	4
Nov 22	atSMU	L 6–⁠38	6	36	0	10	1	6

2024 Louisville 12 games, 597 rushing yards, 7 TD

Date	Opponent	Result	Car	Yds	TD	Long	Rec	Rec yds
Aug 31	vs.Austin Peay	W 62–⁠0	6	86	1	58	–	–
Sep 7	vs.Jacksonville State	W 49–⁠14	4	51	1	40	–	–
Sep 21	vs.Georgia Tech	W 31–⁠19	2	4	0	4	–	–
Sep 28	atNotre Dame	L 24–⁠31	1	3	0	3	–	–
Oct 12	atVirginia	W 24–⁠20	7	25	0	8	–	–
Oct 19	vs.Miami	L 45–⁠52	3	39	0	26	1	4
Oct 25	atBoston College	W 31–⁠27	4	14	0	6	–	–
Nov 2	atClemson	W 33–⁠21	2	2	0	1	1	31
Nov 16	atStanford	L 35–⁠38	11	117	3	68	–	–
Nov 23	vs.Pittsburgh	W 37–⁠9	11	69	0	22	1	16
Nov 30	atKentucky	W 41–⁠14	6	104	2	58	1	8
Dec 31 ✦	vs.Washington	W 35–⁠34	10	83	0	54	1	1

Box scores from CollegeFootballData, 2004 on. ✦ postseason; ★ a career high on file.