CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

Texas Tech at Cincinnati

Saturday, October 24, 2026

Texas Tech plays at Cincinnati on Saturday, October 24. It will be their third meeting; Texas Tech leads the series 1–⁠0–⁠1.

Game notes: the series, streaks, the coaches and school records within reach, from the research desk.

AwayTexas Tech6–⁠0 in 2026
HomeCincinnati4–⁠2 in 2026

Kickoff time TBA at Nippert Stadium, CincinnatiForecast: 54°F, clear, wind 5 mph

From the numbers

  • Cincinnati came back from 21 points down to beat Miami (OH) 35–⁠31, the biggest comeback in FBS this season.
  • Texas Tech is one of six FBS teams that are unbeaten this season, with BYU, James Madison, Miami, UCLA and Utah.

Computed from every game through Oct 17 and the score after every scoring play; a note appears only when few teams share it. All the numbers.

Preview

Texas TechCincinnati
6–⁠0Record4–⁠2
0.21 (42nd)EPA per play0.34 (8th)
−0.06 (12th)EPA per play allowed0.19 (116th)
49% (22nd)Success rate48% (33rd)
37% (38th)Success rate allowed44% (110th)
1.12 (119th)Explosiveness1.39 (10th)
4.2 (51st)Points per trip inside the 404.8 (11th)
18% (34th)Havoc caused15% (77th)
0.16Opponent-adjusted EPA0.14
0.02Opponent-adjusted EPA allowed0.14

Texas Tech

PlayerShareEPA/playAdjusted
Will Hammond QB97%0.330.21
J’Koby Williams RB33%0.190.21
Cameron Dickey RB30%0.230.29
Kenny Johnson WR24%0.67
Terrance Carter TE17%0.20
Coy Eakin WR14%0.65

Kicker: Stone Harrington, 3.8 points above a replacement kicker on eight field-goal tries.

Cincinnati

PlayerShareEPA/playAdjusted
JC French QB95%0.430.18
Gi’Bran Payne RB31%0.200.12
JC French QB23%0.260.29
JaVonnie Gibson WR21%0.73
Isaiah Johnson WR19%0.53
Cole Tabb RB9%0.76

Kicker: Stephen Rusnak, 1.5 points above a replacement kicker on five field-goal tries.

Each side’s numbers this season, with its rank in the nation (first is best, on defense too), from CollegeFootballData.com’s game preview, as of October 18. The better side of each line is bold. Key players are each side’s leading passer, two leading runners and three leading receivers by share of plays. Adjusted: EPA per play adjusted for the defenses faced.

Players to watch

Texas Tech

Cincinnati

Each side’s two top producers this season (national leaders first) and its leading tackler.

In the news

Before kickoff

Our ratings and the line, going in

Our ratings (scores only)

Texas Tech 69% to win.

The line

Texas Tech −11.5, over/under 56.5.

Updated once a night until kickoff: the consensus line when the books publish one, otherwise a single major sportsbook’s.

Win chances before kickoff: Texas Tech 79%, Cincinnati 21%. CollegeFootballData.com’s estimate from the point spread.

The series

Every Texas Tech–Cincinnati game

Texas Tech leads 1–⁠0–⁠1 in two meetings.

Recent meetings
2024Texas Tech 44, Cincinnati 41
1968Cincinnati 10, Texas Tech 10

Around this game

Texas Tech

Cincinnati