Michigan State at UCLA

Saturday, October 24, 2026

Michigan State plays at UCLA on Saturday, October 24. It will be their eighth meeting; UCLA leads the series 4–⁠3.

AwayMichigan State2–⁠5 in 2026
HomeUCLA6–⁠0 in 2026

Kickoff time TBA at Rose Bowl, PasadenaForecast: 58°F, wind 1 mph

From the numbers

  • UCLA has won four straight against Michigan State, last losing to them in 1965.
  • UCLA is one of six FBS teams that are unbeaten this season, with BYU, James Madison, Miami, Texas Tech and Utah.

Computed from every game through Oct 18 and the score after every scoring play; a note appears only when few teams share it. All the numbers.

Preview

Michigan StateUCLA
2–⁠5Record6–⁠0
0.02 (118th)EPA per play0.19 (49th)
0.19 (117th)EPA per play allowed−0.18 (1st)
44% (66th)Success rate45% (49th)
43% (99th)Success rate allowed33% (2nd)
1.06 (135th)Explosiveness1.22 (80th)
3.5 (100th)Points per trip inside the 403.8 (71st)
14% (106th)Havoc caused20% (12th)
0.04Opponent-adjusted EPA0.17
0.12Opponent-adjusted EPA allowed−0.06

Michigan State

PlayerShareEPA/playAdjusted
Alessio Milivojevic QB93%0.100.14
Camryn Edwards RB45%−0.010.15
Jaziun Patterson RB36%0.120.20
Jayden Savoury TE17%0.35
Rodney Bullard Jr. WR17%0.32
Chrishon Mccray WR16%0.23

Kicker: Liam Boyd, 8.1 points above a replacement kicker on 11 field-goal tries.

UCLA

PlayerShareEPA/playAdjusted
Nico Iamaleava QB94%0.130.15
Wayne Knight RB35%0.430.48
Anthony Woods RB22%0.320.31
Mikey Matthews WR21%1.10
Semaj Morgan WR20%0.63
Brian Rowe Jr. WR16%0.22

Kicker: Mateen Bhaghani, 1.7 points below a replacement kicker on seven field-goal tries.

Each side’s numbers this season, with its rank in the nation (first is best, on defense too), from CollegeFootballData.com’s game preview, as of October 18. The better side of each line is bold. Key players are each side’s leading passer, two leading runners and three leading receivers by share of plays. Adjusted: EPA per play adjusted for the defenses faced.

Players to watch

Michigan State

UCLA

Each side’s two top producers this season (national leaders first) and its leading tackler. Photos: Wikimedia Commons, free licenses; credits on each player’s page.

In the news

Before kickoff

Our ratings and the line, going in

Our ratings (scores only)

UCLA 80% to win.

The line

UCLA −13.5, over/under 47.5.

Updated once a night until kickoff: the consensus line when the books publish one, otherwise a single major sportsbook’s.

Win chances before kickoff: UCLA 82%, Michigan State 18%. CollegeFootballData.com’s estimate from the point spread.

UCLA leads 4–⁠3 in seven meetings.

Recent meetings
2025UCLA 38, Michigan State 13
1974UCLA 56, Michigan State 14
1973UCLA 34, Michigan State 21
1965UCLA 14, Michigan State 12Rose Bowl
1965Michigan State 13, UCLA 3
1955Michigan State 17, UCLA 14Rose Bowl

Around this game

Michigan State

UCLA