CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2016 UCF

6–⁠7 (4–⁠4 American Athletic Conference), coached by Scott Frost.

Schedule and results

UCF in 2016, game by game: won vs. South Carolina State 38–0; lost at No. 5 Michigan 14–51; lost vs. Maryland 24–30; won at Florida International 53–14; won at East Carolina 47–29; lost vs. Temple 25–26; won at UConn 24–16; lost at Houston 24–31; won vs. Tulane 37–6; won vs. Cincinnati 24–3; lost vs. Tulsa 20–35; lost at South Florida 31–48; lost vs. Arkansas State 13–31+39−37Won 38–0 vs. South Carolina State+38South Carolina …Lost 14–51 at No. 5 Michigan-37No. 5 MichiganLost 24–30 vs. Maryland-6MarylandWon 53–14 at Florida International+39Florida Interna…Won 47–29 at East Carolina+18East CarolinaLost 25–26 vs. Temple-1TempleWon 24–16 at UConn+8UConnLost 24–31 at Houston-7HoustonWon 37–6 vs. Tulane+31TulaneWon 24–3 vs. Cincinnati+21CincinnatiLost 20–35 vs. Tulsa-15TulsaLost 31–48 at South Florida-17South FloridaLost 13–31 vs. Arkansas State-18Arkansas State
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 3vsSouth Carolina StateW 38–⁠060%
Sep 10at5MichiganL 14–⁠5116%
Sep 17vsMarylandL 24–⁠3045%
Sep 24atFlorida InternationalW 53–⁠1448%
Oct 1atEast CarolinaW 47–⁠2933%
Oct 15vsTempleL 25–⁠2650%
Oct 22atUConnW 24–⁠1643%
Oct 29atHoustonL 24–⁠3121%
Nov 5vsTulaneW 37–⁠671%
Nov 12vsCincinnatiW 24–⁠363%
Nov 19vsTulsaL 20–⁠3547%
Nov 26atSouth FloridaL 31–⁠4822%
Dec 17Bowls & playoffvsArkansas StateCure BowlL 13–⁠3147%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Arkansas State 31–⁠13 in the Cure Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; 7th in the American Athletic Conference.

In program history: The 24th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 40 on file).

Record
6–⁠7
Conference
4–⁠4 7th in American Athletic Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
374–⁠320
Coach
Scott Frost
Elo
1441 +68 this season
SP+ rating
-2.2 No. 76 of 128; offense No. 120, defense No. 35, special teams No. 12
SRS
−0.2 No. 64 of 128 in FBS
Returning
109% of last season’s EPA, No. 1 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 65 roster talent No. 69 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Troy Walters
Defensive coordinator
Erik Chinander
Offense
No-huddle spread option
Defense
3–⁠4

How good, play by play

  • Offense117th of 128
  • Defense5th of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted114th of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted9th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense-0.0436%1.30117th of 128
Defense-0.1037%1.235th of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.00 off
-0.04 def		38% off
38% def		—114th off
9th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense3.1own 3319% allowed
Defense2.5own 3421% caused

CORE rating 0.0, 64th of 128 (offense -12.8, defense -12.9).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsMcKenzie Milton QB1,983 yds
Passing touchdownsMcKenzie Milton QB10 TD
Rushing yardsJawon Hamilton RB495 yds
Rushing touchdownsDontravious Wilson RB8 TD
Receiving yardsTre’Quan Smith WR853 yds
Receiving touchdownsTre’Quan Smith WR5 TD
TacklesMark Rucker LB93 tkl
SacksShaquem Griffin LB10.5 sacks
InterceptionsShaquill Griffin DB4 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Dredrick Snelson WR★★★No. 373
Aaron Dowdell OG★★★No. 437
Jordan Johnson OG★★★No. 550
Eric Mitchell WDE★★★No. 946
Adrian Killins RB★★★No. 992

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Running backs33.00.833
Receivers22.50.835
Offensive line33.00.853
Defensive line33.00.831
Linebackers23.00.806
Defensive backs23.00.832
Athletes and specialists23.00.821
Whole class172.90.832

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2017

The 2017 draft
Rd 3Shaquill Griffin CBSeattle Seahawks

Roster 114

The 2016 roster

114 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 67 have a stat line. See the roster

2016 American Athletic Conference standings

TeamConf.OverallAP final
South Florida7–⁠111–⁠219
Temple7–⁠110–⁠4
Navy7–⁠19–⁠5
Tulsa6–⁠210–⁠3
Houston5–⁠39–⁠4
Memphis5–⁠38–⁠5
UCF4–⁠46–⁠7
SMU3–⁠55–⁠7
Cincinnati1–⁠74–⁠8
Tulane1–⁠74–⁠8
East Carolina1–⁠73–⁠9
UConn1–⁠73–⁠9

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.