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2016 Navy

9–⁠5 (7–⁠1 American Athletic Conference), coached by Ken Niumatalolo.

Schedule and results

Navy in 2016, game by game: won vs. Fordham 52–16; won vs. UConn 28–24; won at Tulane 21–14; lost at Air Force 14–28; won vs. No. 6 Houston 46–40; won vs. Memphis 42–28; lost at South Florida 45–52; won vs. Notre Dame 28–27; won vs. Tulsa 42–40; won at East Carolina 66–31; won at SMU 75–31; lost vs. Temple 10–34; lost vs. Army 17–21; lost vs. Louisiana Tech 45–48+44−24Won 52–16 vs. Fordham+36FordhamWon 28–24 vs. UConn+4UConnWon 21–14 at Tulane+7TulaneLost 14–28 at Air Force-14Air ForceWon 46–40 vs. No. 6 Houston+6No. 6 HoustonWon 42–28 vs. Memphis+14MemphisLost 45–52 at South Florida-7South FloridaWon 28–27 vs. Notre Dame+1Notre DameWon 42–40 vs. Tulsa+2TulsaWon 66–31 at East Carolina+35East CarolinaWon 75–31 at SMU+44SMULost 10–34 vs. Temple-24TempleLost 17–21 vs. Army-4ArmyLost 45–48 vs. Louisiana Tech-3Louisiana Tech
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below; orange marks an upset win.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 3vsFordhamW 52–⁠1682%
Sep 10vsUConnW 28–⁠2478%
Sep 17atTulaneW 21–⁠1475%
Oct 1atAir ForceL 14–⁠2854%
Oct 8vs6HoustonW 46–⁠4042%
Oct 22vsMemphisW 42–⁠2863%
Oct 28atSouth FloridaL 45–⁠5252%
Nov 5vsNotre DameW 28–⁠2758%
Nov 12vsTulsaW 42–⁠4065%
Nov 19atEast CarolinaW 66–⁠3177%
Nov 26atSMUW 75–⁠3172%
Dec 3vsTempleAmerican Athletic Championship GameL 10–⁠3467%
Dec 10vsArmyL 17–⁠2178%
Dec 23Bowls & playoffvsLouisiana TechArmed Forces BowlL 45–⁠4855%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Louisiana Tech 48–⁠45 in the Armed Forces Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for first in the American Athletic Conference.

In program history: The 40th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 139 on file).

AP poll, week by week

  1. Wk 7: 25
  2. Wk 8: 24
  3. Wk 9: 22
  4. Wk 14: 20

AAC West champions7–⁠1 in the conference

Record
9–⁠5
Conference
7–⁠1 shared first in American Athletic Conference
AP final
Unranked peak No. 20
Points
531–⁠434
Coach
Ken Niumatalolo
Elo
1593 −22 this season
SP+ rating
6.8 No. 52 of 128; offense No. 16, defense No. 96, special teams No. 28
SRS
2.8 No. 52 of 128 in FBS
Returning
27% of last season’s EPA, No. 121 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 91 roster talent No. 117 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Ivin Jasper
Defensive coordinator
Dale Pehrson
Captains
Daniel Gonzales and Toneo Gulley
Most valuable player
Will Worth
Offense
Triple option
Defense
Multiple

How good, play by play

  • Offense9th of 128
  • Defense121st of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted10th of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted118th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.2753%1.149th of 128
Defense0.2548%1.26121st of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.24 off
0.20 def		52% off
47% def		—10th off
118th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense4.6own 3211% allowed
Defense4.1own 3014% caused

CORE rating 3.0, 42nd of 128 (offense 13.3, defense 10.3).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsWill Worth QB1,397 yds
Passing touchdownsWill Worth QB8 TD
Rushing yardsWill Worth QB1,198 yds
Rushing touchdownsWill Worth QB25 TD
Receiving yardsJamir Tillman WR631 yds
Receiving touchdownsDarryl Bonner 3 TD
TacklesMicah Thomas LB107 tkl
SacksD.J. Palmore OLB6 sacks
InterceptionsJosiah Powell OLB2 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Joe Goff DT★★★No. 749
Jonathan Lee RB★★★No. 1042
Mack Nash DT★★★No. 1579
Greg McCrae RB★★★No. 1725
Jacob Harrison DUAL★★★No. 1811

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks32.70.793
Running backs52.60.803
Receivers32.00.783
Offensive line112.00.761
Defensive line62.50.795
Linebackers82.40.786
Defensive backs62.20.785
Athletes and specialists32.00.773
Whole class452.30.782

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Roster 163

The 2016 roster

163 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 68 have a stat line. See the roster

2016 American Athletic Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
South Florida7–⁠111–⁠219
Temple7–⁠110–⁠4
Navy7–⁠19–⁠5
Tulsa6–⁠210–⁠3
Houston5–⁠39–⁠4
Memphis5–⁠38–⁠5
UCF4–⁠46–⁠7
SMU3–⁠55–⁠7
Cincinnati1–⁠74–⁠8
Tulane1–⁠74–⁠8
East Carolina1–⁠73–⁠9
UConn1–⁠73–⁠9

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.