2016 East Carolina
3–9 (1–7 American Athletic Conference), coached by Scottie Montgomery. Share
Schedule and results
- Biggest winBeat Western Carolina 52–7Sep 3
By 45 points, its widest win.
- Most excitingBeat NC State 33–30Sep 10
The win probability swung the most, by CollegeFootballData.com’s excitement index.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | vs Western Carolina | W 52–7 | 76% |
| Sep 10 | vs NC State | W 33–30 | 52% |
| Sep 17 | at South Carolina | L 15–20 | 45% |
| Sep 24 | at Virginia Tech | L 17–54 | 34% |
| Oct 1 | vs UCF | L 29–47 | 67% |
| Oct 8 | at South Florida | L 22–38 | 22% |
| Oct 22 | at Cincinnati | L 19–31 | 36% |
| Oct 29 | vs UConn | W 41–3 | 57% |
| Nov 5 | at Tulsa | L 24–45 | 25% |
| Nov 12 | vs SMU | L 31–55 | 59% |
| Nov 19 | vs Navy | L 31–66 | 23% |
| Nov 26 | at Temple | L 10–37 | 16% |
Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.
How it ended: Lost to Temple 37–10; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 9th in the American Athletic Conference.
In program history: The 51st-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 70 on file).
Led the nationZay Jones: receptions (158 catches)
- Record
- 3–9
- Conference
- 1–7 tied for 9th in American Athletic Conference
- AP final
- Unranked
- Points
- 324–433
- Coach
- Scottie Montgomery
- Elo
- 1360 −126 this season
- SP+ rating
- -9.0 No. 100 of 128; offense No. 80, defense No. 101, special teams No. 97
- SRS
- −9.8 No. 102 of 128 in FBS
- Returning
- 47% of last season’s EPA, No. 101 of 128
- Recruiting class
- No. 79 roster talent No. 82 in FBS
- Offensive coordinator
- Tony Petersen
- Defensive coordinator
- Kenwick Thompson
- Offense
- Multiple
- Defense
- 3–4
How good, play by play
| EPA per play | Success | Explosiveness | FBS rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.07 | 42% | 1.25 | 78th of 128 |
| Defense | 0.22 | 47% | 1.27 | 112th of 128 |
| Opponent-adjusted | 0.10 off 0.19 def | 43% off 47% def | — | 68th off 116th def |
How these are measured
Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.
Drives and havoc
| Points per trip inside the 40 | Average start | Havoc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 3.3 | own 27 | 17% allowed |
| Defense | 3.8 | own 33 | 12% caused |
CORE rating -8.6, 101st of 128 (offense 0.8, defense 9.4).
A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.
Leaders
| Passing yards | Philip Nelson QB | 2,603 yds |
| Passing touchdowns | Philip Nelson QB | 16 TD |
| Rushing yards | James Summers RB | 868 yds |
| Rushing touchdowns | James Summers RB | 7 TD |
| Receiving yards | Zay Jones WR | 1,731 yds |
| Receiving touchdowns | Jimmy Williams WR | 8 TD |
| Tackles | Jordan Williams ILB | 77 tkl |
| Sacks | Dayon Pratt OLB | 2.5 sacks |
| Interceptions | Colby Gore DB | 2 INT |
Top recruits in the 2016 class
| Hussein Howe CB | ★★★ | No. 705 |
| Javontay Smith S | ★★★ | No. 1122 |
| Tahj Deans WR | ★★★ | No. 1189 |
| Reid Herring PRO | ★★★ | No. 1208 |
| Emmanuel Jones WR | ★★★ | No. 1217 |
247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.
The 2016 class by position
| Signed | Stars | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterbacks | 1 | 3.0 | 0.836 |
| Running backs | 1 | 3.0 | 0.836 |
| Receivers | 5 | 2.6 | 0.808 |
| Offensive line | 4 | 3.0 | 0.817 |
| Defensive line | 4 | 2.5 | 0.788 |
| Linebackers | 2 | 2.0 | 0.793 |
| Defensive backs | 3 | 3.0 | 0.840 |
| Whole class | 20 | 2.7 | 0.812 |
High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.
Drafted in 2017
The 2017 draft| Rd 2 | Zay Jones WR | Buffalo Bills |
Roster 106
The 2016 roster106 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 62 have a stat line. See the roster
2016 American Athletic Conference standings
Conference page| Team | Conf. | Overall | AP final |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 7–1 | 11–2 | 19 |
| Temple | 7–1 | 10–4 | |
| Navy | 7–1 | 9–5 | |
| Tulsa | 6–2 | 10–3 | |
 Houston | 5–3 | 9–4 | |
 Memphis | 5–3 | 8–5 | |
| UCF | 4–4 | 6–7 | |
| SMU | 3–5 | 5–7 | |
| Cincinnati | 1–7 | 4–8 | |
 Tulane | 1–7 | 4–8 | |
 East Carolina | 1–7 | 3–9 | |
| UConn | 1–7 | 3–9 |
Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.