2016 Tulane

4–⁠8 (1–⁠7 American Athletic Conference), coached by Willie Fritz.

Schedule and results

Tulane in 2016, game by game: lost at Wake Forest 3–7; won vs. Southern 66–21; lost vs. Navy 14–21; won vs. Louisiana 41–39; won at Massachusetts 31–24; lost vs. Memphis 14–24; lost at Tulsa 27–50; lost vs. SMU 31–35; lost at UCF 6–37; lost at Houston 18–30; lost vs. Temple 0–31; won at UConn 38–13+45−31Lost 3–7 at Wake Forest-4Wake ForestWon 66–21 vs. Southern+45SouthernLost 14–21 vs. Navy-7NavyWon 41–39 vs. Louisiana+2LouisianaWon 31–24 at Massachusetts+7MassachusettsLost 14–24 vs. Memphis-10MemphisLost 27–50 at Tulsa-23TulsaLost 31–35 vs. SMU-4SMULost 6–37 at UCF-31UCFLost 18–30 at Houston-12HoustonLost 0–31 vs. Temple-31TempleWon 38–13 at UConn+25UConn
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 1atWake ForestL 3–⁠738%
Sep 10vsSouthernW 66–⁠2164%
Sep 17vsNavyL 14–⁠2125%
Sep 24vsLouisianaW 41–⁠3952%
Oct 1atMassachusettsW 31–⁠2449%
Oct 14vsMemphisL 14–⁠2433%
Oct 22atTulsaL 27–⁠5027%
Oct 29vsSMUL 31–⁠3550%
Nov 5atUCFL 6–⁠3729%
Nov 12atHoustonL 18–⁠3011%
Nov 19vsTempleL 0–⁠3125%
Nov 26atUConnW 38–⁠1339%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Beat UConn 38–⁠13; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 9th in the American Athletic Conference.

In program history: The 97th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 123 on file).

Record
4–⁠8
Conference
1–⁠7 tied for 9th in American Athletic Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
289–⁠332
Coach
Willie Fritz
Elo
1366 −9 this season
SP+ rating
-14.6 No. 115 of 128; offense No. 128, defense No. 66, special teams No. 116
SRS
−7.1 No. 92 of 128 in FBS
Returning
52% of last season’s EPA, No. 96 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 97 roster talent No. 103 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Doug Ruse
Defensive coordinator
Jack Curtis
Offense
Spread option
Defense
4–⁠2–⁠5

How good, play by play

  • Offense119th of 128
  • Defense29th of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted116th of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted36th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense-0.0436%1.19119th of 128
Defense0.0341%1.2029th of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.00 off
0.06 def
37% off
41% def
—116th off
36th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense3.2own 3415% allowed
Defense3.4own 3118% caused

CORE rating -5.2, 91st of 128 (offense -14.3, defense -9.2).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders are hidden for this season: our source’s player stats for Tulane are missing players (they add up to less than 85% of the team’s passing or rushing yards).

Top recruits in the 2016 class

P.J. Hall CB★★★No. 676
Tre Jackson CB★★★No. 719
Jacob Robertson WR★★★No. 877
D.J. Owens RB★★★No. 1974
Will Harper OLB★★★No. 1988

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks22.50.783
Running backs32.30.793
Receivers32.30.800
Offensive line22.00.771
Defensive line23.00.803
Linebackers22.50.794
Defensive backs62.70.812
Athletes and specialists22.00.782
Whole class222.50.796

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2017

The 2017 draft
Rd 6Tanzel Smart DTLos Angeles Rams

95 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 53 have a stat line. See the roster

2016 American Athletic Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
South Florida7–⁠111–⁠219
Temple7–⁠110–⁠4
Navy7–⁠19–⁠5
Tulsa6–⁠210–⁠3
Houston5–⁠39–⁠4
Memphis5–⁠38–⁠5
UCF4–⁠46–⁠7
SMU3–⁠55–⁠7
Cincinnati1–⁠74–⁠8
Tulane1–⁠74–⁠8
East Carolina1–⁠73–⁠9
UConn1–⁠73–⁠9

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.