CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2016 Toledo

9–⁠4 (6–⁠2 Mid-American Conference), coached by Jason Candle.

Schedule and results

Toledo in 2016, game by game: won at Arkansas State 31–10; won vs. Maine 45–3; won vs. Fresno State 52–17; lost at BYU 53–55; won at Eastern Michigan 35–20; won vs. Bowling Green 42–35; won vs. Central Michigan 31–17; lost vs. Ohio 26–31; won at Akron 48–17; won vs. Northern Illinois 31–24; won vs. Ball State 37–19; lost at No. 14 Western Michigan 35–55; lost vs. App State 28–31+42−20Won 31–10 at Arkansas State+21Arkansas StateWon 45–3 vs. Maine+42MaineWon 52–17 vs. Fresno State+35Fresno StateLost 53–55 at BYU-2BYUWon 35–20 at Eastern Michigan+15Eastern MichiganWon 42–35 vs. Bowling Green+7Bowling GreenWon 31–17 vs. Central Michigan+14Central MichiganLost 26–31 vs. Ohio-5OhioWon 48–17 at Akron+31AkronWon 31–24 vs. Northern Illinois+7Northern Illino…Won 37–19 vs. Ball State+18Ball StateLost 35–55 at No. 14 Western Michigan-20No. 14 Western MichiganLost 28–31 vs. App State-3App State
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 2atArkansas StateW 31–⁠1052%
Sep 10vsMaineW 45–⁠392%
Sep 17vsFresno StateW 52–⁠1785%
Sep 30atBYUL 53–⁠5556%
Oct 8atEastern MichiganW 35–⁠2078%
Oct 15vsBowling GreenW 42–⁠3582%
Oct 22vsCentral MichiganW 31–⁠1776%
Oct 27vsOhioL 26–⁠3178%
Nov 2atAkronW 48–⁠1765%
Nov 9vsNorthern IllinoisW 31–⁠2475%
Nov 16vsBall StateW 37–⁠1989%
Nov 25at14Western MichiganL 35–⁠5537%
Dec 17Bowls & playoffvsApp StateCamellia BowlL 28–⁠3154%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to App State 31–⁠28 in the Camellia Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 2nd in the Mid-American Conference.

In program history: The 8th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 75 on file).

Led the nationLogan Woodside: passing touchdowns (45 TD)

Record
9–⁠4
Conference
6–⁠2 tied for 2nd in Mid-American Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
494–⁠334
Coach
Jason Candle
Elo
1641 +31 this season
SP+ rating
12.3 No. 26 of 128; offense No. 10, defense No. 54, special teams No. 95
SRS
5.8 No. 42 of 128 in FBS
Returning
52% of last season’s EPA, No. 98 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 88 roster talent No. 77 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Brian Wright
Defensive coordinator
Brian George
Offense
Spread
Defense
4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense5th of 128
  • Defense83rd of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted4th of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted93rd of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.3049%1.295th of 128
Defense0.1440%1.3883rd of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.26 off
0.15 def		47% off
41% def		—4th off
93rd def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense4.1own 2914% allowed
Defense3.4own 3116% caused

CORE rating 13.3, 15th of 128 (offense 14.6, defense 1.2).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsLogan Woodside QB4,129 yds
Passing touchdownsLogan Woodside QB45 TD
Rushing yardsKareem Hunt RB1,475 yds
Rushing touchdownsKareem Hunt RB10 TD
Receiving yardsCody Thompson WR1,269 yds
Receiving touchdownsMichael Roberts TE16 TD
TacklesDeJuan Rogers DB94 tkl
SacksTreyvon Hester DT5 sacks
InterceptionsConnery Swift DB2 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

James Jackson ATH★★★No. 1351
Obi Anunike WR★★★No. 1377
Neru N’Shaka WR★★★No. 1449
Edrick Mathews DT★★★No. 1528
Desmond Phillips ATH★★★No. 1571

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Running backs32.70.795
Receivers52.60.804
Offensive line13.00.811
Defensive line22.50.809
Defensive backs72.30.787
Athletes and specialists32.70.810
Whole class212.50.799

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2017

The 2017 draft
Rd 3Kareem Hunt RBKansas City Chiefs
Rd 4Michael Roberts TEDetroit Lions
Rd 7Treyvon Hester DTOakland Raiders

Roster 118

The 2016 roster

118 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 62 have a stat line. See the roster

2016 Mid-American Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Western Michigan8–⁠013–⁠115
Toledo6–⁠29–⁠4
Ohio6–⁠28–⁠6
Miami (OH)6–⁠26–⁠7
Northern Illinois5–⁠35–⁠7
Eastern Michigan4–⁠47–⁠6
Central Michigan3–⁠56–⁠7
Akron3–⁠55–⁠7
Bowling Green3–⁠54–⁠8
Kent State2–⁠63–⁠9
Ball State1–⁠74–⁠8
Buffalo1–⁠72–⁠10

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.