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2016 Eastern Michigan

7–⁠6 (4–⁠4 Mid-American Conference), coached by Chris Creighton.

Schedule and results

Eastern Michigan in 2016, game by game: won vs. Mississippi Valley State 61–14; lost at Missouri 21–61; won at Charlotte 37–19; won vs. Wyoming 27–24; won at Bowling Green 28–25; lost vs. Toledo 20–35; won at Ohio 27–20; lost at No. 20 Western Michigan 31–45; lost vs. Miami (OH) 15–28; won at Ball State 48–41; lost vs. Northern Illinois 24–31; won vs. Central Michigan 26–21; lost vs. Old Dominion 20–24+47−40Won 61–14 vs. Mississippi Valley State+47Mississippi Val…Lost 21–61 at Missouri-40MissouriWon 37–19 at Charlotte+18CharlotteWon 27–24 vs. Wyoming+3WyomingWon 28–25 at Bowling Green+3Bowling GreenLost 20–35 vs. Toledo-15ToledoWon 27–20 at Ohio+7OhioLost 31–45 at No. 20 Western Michigan-14No. 20 Western MichiganLost 15–28 vs. Miami (OH)-13Miami (OH)Won 48–41 at Ball State+7Ball StateLost 24–31 vs. Northern Illinois-7Northern Illino…Won 26–21 vs. Central Michigan+5Central MichiganLost 20–24 vs. Old Dominion-4Old Dominion
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 2vsMississippi Valley StateW 61–⁠1479%
Sep 10atMissouriL 21–⁠6120%
Sep 17atCharlotteW 37–⁠1942%
Sep 23vsWyomingW 27–⁠2450%
Oct 1atBowling GreenW 28–⁠2525%
Oct 8vsToledoL 20–⁠3522%
Oct 15atOhioW 27–⁠2022%
Oct 22at20Western MichiganL 31–⁠4512%
Oct 29vsMiami (OH)L 15–⁠2863%
Nov 8atBall StateW 48–⁠4136%
Nov 16vsNorthern IllinoisL 24–⁠3147%
Nov 22vsCentral MichiganW 26–⁠2143%
Dec 23Bowls & playoffvsOld DominionBahamas BowlL 20–⁠2430%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Old Dominion 24–⁠20 in the Bahamas Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; 6th in the Mid-American Conference.

In program history: The 21st-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 64 on file).

Record
7–⁠6
Conference
4–⁠4 6th in Mid-American Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
385–⁠388
Coach
Chris Creighton
Elo
1374 +80 this season
SP+ rating
-8.2 No. 97 of 128; offense No. 72, defense No. 108, special teams No. 63
SRS
−8.0 No. 96 of 128 in FBS
Returning
55% of last season’s EPA, No. 90 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 121 roster talent No. 114 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Kalen DeBoer
Defensive coordinator
Neal Neathery
Offense
Spread
Defense
4–⁠2–⁠5

How good, play by play

  • Offense59th of 128
  • Defense101st of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted72nd of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted107th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.1145%1.1659th of 128
Defense0.1850%1.09101st of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.09 off
0.17 def		44% off
50% def		—72nd off
107th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense3.6own 2913% allowed
Defense3.7own 2715% caused

CORE rating -4.8, 89th of 128 (offense 0.2, defense 5.0).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsBrogan Roback QB2,694 yds
Passing touchdownsBrogan Roback QB18 TD
Rushing yardsIan Eriksen RB771 yds
Rushing touchdownsIan Eriksen RB9 TD
Receiving yardsSergio Bailey II WR868 yds
Receiving touchdownsSergio Bailey II WR7 TD
TacklesJason Beck LB104 tkl
SacksPat O’Connor DL7.5 sacks
InterceptionsDaQuan Pace DB3 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Isaac Stiebeling PRO★★★No. 1708
Steven Nielsen OT★★★No. 1793
Ohaji Hawkins S★★★No. 1969
Jalen Phelps CB★★★No. 2114
Justice Williams SDE★★★No. 2139

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks13.00.817
Running backs22.00.779
Receivers22.00.771
Offensive line52.20.784
Defensive line32.30.767
Linebackers12.00.748
Defensive backs52.40.780
Whole class192.30.778

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2017

The 2017 draft
Rd 7Pat O’Connor DEDetroit Lions

Roster 114

The 2016 roster

114 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 59 have a stat line. See the roster

2016 Mid-American Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Western Michigan8–⁠013–⁠115
Toledo6–⁠29–⁠4
Ohio6–⁠28–⁠6
Miami (OH)6–⁠26–⁠7
Northern Illinois5–⁠35–⁠7
Eastern Michigan4–⁠47–⁠6
Central Michigan3–⁠56–⁠7
Akron3–⁠55–⁠7
Bowling Green3–⁠54–⁠8
Kent State2–⁠63–⁠9
Ball State1–⁠74–⁠8
Buffalo1–⁠72–⁠10

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.