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2016 Buffalo

2–⁠10 (1–⁠7 Mid-American Conference), coached by Lance Leipold.

Schedule and results

Buffalo in 2016, game by game: lost vs. UAlbany 16–22; lost at Nevada 14–38; won vs. Army 23–20; lost at Boston College 3–35; lost vs. Kent State 20–44; lost vs. Ball State 21–31; lost at Northern Illinois 7–44; won vs. Akron 41–20; lost at Ohio 10–34; lost vs. Miami (OH) 24–35; lost at No. 14 Western Michigan 0–38; lost at Bowling Green 19–27+21−38Lost 16–22 vs. UAlbany-6UAlbanyLost 14–38 at Nevada-24NevadaWon 23–20 vs. Army+3ArmyLost 3–35 at Boston College-32Boston CollegeLost 20–44 vs. Kent State-24Kent StateLost 21–31 vs. Ball State-10Ball StateLost 7–44 at Northern Illinois-37Northern Illino…Won 41–20 vs. Akron+21AkronLost 10–34 at Ohio-24OhioLost 24–35 vs. Miami (OH)-11Miami (OH)Lost 0–38 at No. 14 Western Michigan-38No. 14 Western MichiganLost 19–27 at Bowling Green-8Bowling Green
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 2vsUAlbanyL 16–⁠2281%
Sep 17atNevadaL 14–⁠3831%
Sep 24vsArmyW 23–⁠2041%
Oct 1atBoston CollegeL 3–⁠3534%
Oct 8vsKent StateL 20–⁠4460%
Oct 15vsBall StateL 21–⁠3145%
Oct 22atNorthern IllinoisL 7–⁠4426%
Oct 27vsAkronW 41–⁠2026%
Nov 3atOhioL 10–⁠3419%
Nov 12vsMiami (OH)L 24–⁠3544%
Nov 19at14Western MichiganL 0–⁠387%
Nov 25atBowling GreenL 19–⁠2726%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Bowling Green 27–⁠19; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 11th in the Mid-American Conference.

In program history: The 29th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 54 on file).

Record
2–⁠10
Conference
1–⁠7 tied for 11th in Mid-American Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
198–⁠388
Coach
Lance Leipold
Elo
1292 −136 this season
SP+ rating
-18.8 No. 124 of 128; offense No. 125, defense No. 94, special teams No. 121
SRS
−21.7 No. 127 of 128 in FBS
Returning
22% of last season’s EPA, No. 125 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 118 roster talent No. 116 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Andy Kotelnicki
Defensive coordinator
Brian Borland
Offense
Multiple pro-style
Defense
4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense106th of 128
  • Defense78th of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted110th of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted99th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.0138%1.19106th of 128
Defense0.1447%1.1278th of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.01 off
0.16 def		37% off
48% def		—110th off
99th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense2.4own 3116% allowed
Defense3.4own 3413% caused

CORE rating -9.7, 104th of 128 (offense -6.5, defense 3.2).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsTyree Jackson QB1,772 yds
Passing touchdownsTyree Jackson QB9 TD
Rushing yardsJordan Johnson RB1,040 yds
Rushing touchdownsJordan Johnson RB6 TD
Receiving yardsMason Schreck TE651 yds
Receiving touchdownsMason Schreck TE4 TD
TacklesKhalil Hodge LB123 tkl
SacksBrandon Crawford DL4 sacks
InterceptionsTim Roberts S2 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Theo Anderson RB★★★No. 1351
Tyrone Hill Jr. CB★★★No. 1452
Kameron Pickett RB★★★No. 1542
Jordan Overton ATH★★★No. 1717
Roy Baker CB★★★No. 1939

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Running backs23.00.829
Receivers22.00.770
Offensive line12.00.797
Defensive line12.00.764
Linebackers22.00.769
Defensive backs32.70.810
Athletes and specialists13.00.817
Whole class122.40.795

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2017

The 2017 draft
Rd 7Mason Schreck TECincinnati Bengals

Roster 110

The 2016 roster

110 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 50 have a stat line. See the roster

2016 Mid-American Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Western Michigan8–⁠013–⁠115
Toledo6–⁠29–⁠4
Ohio6–⁠28–⁠6
Miami (OH)6–⁠26–⁠7
Northern Illinois5–⁠35–⁠7
Eastern Michigan4–⁠47–⁠6
Central Michigan3–⁠56–⁠7
Akron3–⁠55–⁠7
Bowling Green3–⁠54–⁠8
Kent State2–⁠63–⁠9
Ball State1–⁠74–⁠8
Buffalo1–⁠72–⁠10

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.