Iowa State at Arizona
Saturday, October 24, 2026 Share
Iowa State plays at Arizona on Saturday, October 24. It will be their eighth meeting; Arizona leads the series 4–2–1.
Game notes: the series, streaks, the coaches and school records within reach, from the research desk.
Kickoff time TBA at Arizona Stadium, TucsonForecast: 64°F, heavy rain shower, wind 5 mph
Preview
| Iowa State | Arizona | |
|---|---|---|
| 3–3 | Record | 5–1 |
| 0.13 (80th) | EPA per play | 0.24 (29th) |
| 0.07 (73rd) | EPA per play allowed | −0.04 (20th) |
| 39% (112th) | Success rate | 49% (15th) |
| 40% (67th) | Success rate allowed | 35% (20th) |
| 1.30 (31st) | Explosiveness | 1.22 (77th) |
| 4.6 (18th) | Points per trip inside the 40 | 4.3 (37th) |
| 15% (76th) | Havoc caused | 16% (62nd) |
| 0.10 | Opponent-adjusted EPA | 0.19 |
| 0.13 | Opponent-adjusted EPA allowed | 0.06 |
Iowa State
| Player | Share | EPA/play | Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Raynor QB | 97% | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Aiden Flora RB | 43% | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| Jaylen Raynor QB | 20% | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| Dominic Overby WR | 19% | 0.34 | |
| Omari Hayes WR | 16% | 0.40 | |
| Cody Jackson WR | 13% | 0.61 |
Kicker: Kyle Konrardy, 2.7 points above a replacement kicker on nine field-goal tries.
Arizona
| Player | Share | EPA/play | Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Fifita QB | 94% | 0.49 | 0.35 |
| Kedrick Reescano RB | 38% | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| Ismail Mahdi RB | 19% | 0.40 | |
| Tre Spivey WR | 15% | 1.11 | |
| Isaiah Mizell WR | 14% | 1.27 | |
| Chris Hunter WR | 14% | 0.22 |
Kicker: Michael Salgado-Medina, 0.5 points below a replacement kicker on nine field-goal tries.
Each side’s numbers this season, with its rank in the nation (first is best, on defense too), from CollegeFootballData.com’s game preview, as of October 18. The better side of each line is bold. Key players are each side’s leading passer, two leading runners and three leading receivers by share of plays. Adjusted: EPA per play adjusted for the defenses faced.
Players to watch
Iowa State
- Running backAiden Flora680 rushing yards, 6 TDLast: at BYU, 17 carries, 86 yards; 2 catches, −1 yardTeam leader in rushing yards
QuarterbackJaylen Raynor1,001 passing yards, 7 TDLast: at BYU, 16 of 29, 98 yards, 1 TD; 9 carries, 14 yardsTeam leader in passing yards- LinebackerSullivan Schlimgen56 tackles, 1 sackLast: at BYU, 10 tacklesTeam leader in tackles
Arizona
- QuarterbackNoah Fifita1,739 passing yards, 16 TDLast: at West Virginia, 16 of 23, 341 yards, 3 TD, 1 INTTeam leader in passing yards
- ReceiverIsaiah Mizell19 catches, 359 yards, 4 TDLast: at West Virginia, 6 catches, 183 yards ★, 2 TDTeam leader in receiving yards
- LinebackerTaye Brown39 tackles, 0.5 sacksLast: at West Virginia, 9 tacklesTeam leader in tackles
Each side’s two top producers this season (national leaders first) and its leading tackler. Photos: Wikimedia Commons, free licenses; credits on each player’s page.
Before kickoff
Our ratings and the line, going in
Our ratings (scores only)
Arizona 71% to win.
The line
Arizona −10, over/under 50.5.
Updated once a night until kickoff: the consensus line when the books publish one, otherwise a single major sportsbook’s.
Win chances before kickoff: Arizona 76%, Iowa State 24%. CollegeFootballData.com’s estimate from the point spread.
The series
Every Iowa State–Arizona gameArizona leads 4–2–1 in seven meetings.
| 2025 | Iowa State 39, Arizona 14 | |
| 1968 | Arizona 21, Iowa State 12 | |
| 1966 | Arizona 27, Iowa State 24 | |
| 1964 | Iowa State 0, Arizona 0 | |
| 1958 | Iowa State 14, Arizona 0 | |
| 1950 | Arizona 27, Iowa State 26 |
Around this game
Iowa State
- Next gamevs. Oklahoma StateOct. 31, 2026
- SeasonIowa State in 2026
- ProgramIowa State history and records
Arizona
- Next gameat Texas TechOct. 31, 2026
- SeasonArizona in 2026
- ProgramArizona history and records