CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2011 Toledo

9–⁠4 (7–⁠1 Mid-American Conference), coached by Tim Beckman, then Matt Campbell (bowl game).

Schedule and results

Toledo in 2011, game by game: won vs. New Hampshire 58–22; lost at No. 15 Ohio State 22–27; lost vs. No. 4 Boise State 15–40; lost at Syracuse 30–33; won at Temple 36–13; won vs. Eastern Michigan 54–16; won at Bowling Green 28–21; won vs. Miami (OH) 49–28; lost vs. Northern Illinois 60–63; won vs. Western Michigan 66–63; won at Central Michigan 44–17; won at Ball State 45–28; won vs. Air Force 42–41+38−25Won 58–22 vs. New Hampshire+36New HampshireLost 22–27 at No. 15 Ohio State-5No. 15 Ohio StateLost 15–40 vs. No. 4 Boise State-25No. 4 Boise StateLost 30–33 at Syracuse-3SyracuseWon 36–13 at Temple+23TempleWon 54–16 vs. Eastern Michigan+38Eastern MichiganWon 28–21 at Bowling Green+7Bowling GreenWon 49–28 vs. Miami (OH)+21Miami (OH)Lost 60–63 vs. Northern Illinois-3Northern Illino…Won 66–63 vs. Western Michigan+3Western MichiganWon 44–17 at Central Michigan+27Central MichiganWon 45–28 at Ball State+17Ball StateWon 42–41 vs. Air Force+1Air Force
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 1vsNew HampshireW 58–⁠2263%
Sep 10at15Ohio StateL 22–⁠2721%
Sep 16vs4Boise StateL 15–⁠4029%
Sep 24atSyracuseL 30–⁠3343%
Oct 1atTempleW 36–⁠1329%
Oct 8vsEastern MichiganW 54–⁠1681%
Oct 15atBowling GreenW 28–⁠2159%
Oct 22vsMiami (OH)W 49–⁠2872%
Nov 1vsNorthern IllinoisL 60–⁠6357%
Nov 8vsWestern MichiganW 66–⁠6365%
Nov 18atCentral MichiganW 44–⁠1772%
Nov 25atBall StateW 45–⁠2864%
Dec 28Bowls & playoffvsAir ForceMilitary BowlW 42–⁠4159%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Beat Air Force 42–⁠41 in the Military Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for first in the Mid-American Conference.

In program history: The 10th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 75 on file).

MAC West champions7–⁠1 in the conference, shared with Northern Illinois

Record
9–⁠4
Conference
7–⁠1 shared first in Mid-American Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
549–⁠412
Coach
Tim Beckman, then Matt Campbell (bowl game)
Elo
1616 +119 this season
SP+ rating
6.2 No. 47 of 120; offense No. 21, defense No. 74, special teams No. 52
SRS
6.6 No. 30 of 120 in FBS
Recruiting class
No. 74
Offensive coordinator
Matt Campbell
Defensive coordinator
Mike Ward, Paul Nichols

How good, play by play

  • Offense29th of 120
  • Defense62nd of 120
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted39th of 120
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted61st of 120
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.1046%0.9129th of 120
Defense0.0541%0.9562nd of 120
Opponent-adjusted0.07 off
0.04 def		44% off
41% def		—39th off
61st def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense-0.2own 342% allowed
Defense0.0own 311% caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders are hidden for this season: our source’s player stats for Toledo are missing players (they add up to less than 85% of the team’s passing or rushing yards).

Top recruits in the 2011 class

Andre Sturdivant ILB★★★No. 418
Antwan Gilbert APB★★★No. 907
Kyle Cameron OC★★★No. 1204
Ethan Wirth OT★★★No. 1263
Trent Voss OLB★★★No. 1277

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2011 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Running backs42.30.783
Offensive line32.70.809
Defensive line22.00.762
Linebackers42.50.795
Defensive backs12.00.733
Athletes and specialists22.50.795
Whole class162.40.787

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Roster 104

The 2011 roster

104 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2011 line; 34 have a stat line. See the roster

2011 Mid-American Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Northern Illinois7–⁠111–⁠3
Toledo7–⁠19–⁠4
Ohio6–⁠210–⁠4
Temple5–⁠39–⁠4
Western Michigan5–⁠37–⁠6
Ball State4–⁠46–⁠6
Eastern Michigan4–⁠46–⁠6
Kent State4–⁠45–⁠7
Bowling Green3–⁠55–⁠7
Miami (OH)3–⁠54–⁠8
Buffalo2–⁠63–⁠9
Central Michigan2–⁠63–⁠9
Akron0–⁠81–⁠11

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.