CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2012 Toledo

9–⁠4 (6–⁠2 Mid-American Conference), coached by Matt Campbell.

Schedule and results

Toledo in 2012, game by game: lost at Arizona 17–24; won at Wyoming 34–31; won vs. Bowling Green 27–15; won vs. Coastal Carolina 38–28; won at Western Michigan 37–17; won vs. Central Michigan 50–35; won at Eastern Michigan 52–47; won vs. No. 21 Cincinnati 29–23; won at Buffalo 25–20; lost vs. Ball State 27–34; lost at Northern Illinois 24–31; won vs. Akron 35–23; lost vs. No. 18 Utah State 15–41+20−26Lost 17–24 at Arizona-7ArizonaWon 34–31 at Wyoming+3WyomingWon 27–15 vs. Bowling Green+12Bowling GreenWon 38–28 vs. Coastal Carolina+10Coastal CarolinaWon 37–17 at Western Michigan+20Western MichiganWon 50–35 vs. Central Michigan+15Central MichiganWon 52–47 at Eastern Michigan+5Eastern MichiganWon 29–23 vs. No. 21 Cincinnati+6No. 21 CincinnatiWon 25–20 at Buffalo+5BuffaloLost 27–34 vs. Ball State-7Ball StateLost 24–31 at Northern Illinois-7Northern Illino…Won 35–23 vs. Akron+12AkronLost 15–41 vs. No. 18 Utah State-26No. 18 Utah State
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below; orange marks an upset win.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 1atArizonaL 17–⁠2456%
Sep 8atWyomingW 34–⁠3156%
Sep 15vsBowling GreenW 27–⁠1574%
Sep 22vsCoastal CarolinaW 38–⁠2886%
Sep 29atWestern MichiganW 37–⁠1756%
Oct 6vsCentral MichiganW 50–⁠3583%
Oct 13atEastern MichiganW 52–⁠4781%
Oct 20vs21CincinnatiW 29–⁠2357%
Oct 27atBuffaloW 25–⁠2084%
Nov 6vsBall StateL 27–⁠3476%
Nov 14atNorthern IllinoisL 24–⁠3133%
Nov 20vsAkronW 35–⁠2393%
Dec 15Bowls & playoffvs18Utah StateFamous Idaho Potato BowlL 15–⁠4146%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Utah State 41–⁠15 in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 3rd in the Mid-American Conference.

In program history: The 21st-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 75 on file).

AP poll, week by week

  1. Wk 11: 23
Record
9–⁠4
Conference
6–⁠2 tied for 3rd in Mid-American Conference
AP final
Unranked peak No. 23
Points
410–⁠369
Coach
Matt Campbell
Elo
1571 −6 this season
SP+ rating
-4.0 No. 77 of 124; offense No. 54, defense No. 98, special teams No. 18
SRS
−3.1 No. 70 of 124 in FBS
Recruiting class
No. 76
Defensive coordinator
Tom Matukewicz
Offense
Spread
Defense
4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense40th of 124
  • Defense99th of 124
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted44th of 124
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted110th of 124
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.0944%0.9240th of 124
Defense0.1145%0.9799th of 124
Opponent-adjusted0.08 off
0.10 def		43% off
44% def		—44th off
110th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense0.0own 303% allowed
Defense-0.1own 292% caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders are hidden for this season: our source’s player stats for Toledo are missing players (they add up to less than 85% of the team’s passing or rushing yards).

Top recruits in the 2012 class

Corey Jones ATH★★★★No. 356
Brian Blackburn PRO★★★No. 895
Danny Larkins CB★★★No. 1174
Jaylen Coleman ILB★★★No. 1178
Chaz Whittaker WR★★★No. 1230

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2012 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks13.00.850
Running backs32.00.773
Receivers62.20.787
Offensive line42.50.791
Defensive line52.40.789
Linebackers13.00.834
Defensive backs32.30.769
Athletes and specialists23.00.838
Whole class252.40.793

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Roster 108

The 2012 roster

108 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2012 line; 27 have a stat line. See the roster

2012 Mid-American Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Northern Illinois8–⁠012–⁠222
Kent State8–⁠011–⁠3
Toledo6–⁠29–⁠4
Ball State6–⁠29–⁠4
Bowling Green6–⁠28–⁠5
Ohio4–⁠49–⁠4
Central Michigan4–⁠47–⁠6
Miami (OH)3–⁠54–⁠8
Buffalo3–⁠54–⁠8
Western Michigan2–⁠64–⁠8
Eastern Michigan1–⁠72–⁠10
Massachusetts1–⁠71–⁠11
Akron0–⁠81–⁠11

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.