CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2013 Toledo

7–⁠5 (5–⁠3 Mid-American Conference), coached by Matt Campbell.

Schedule and results

Toledo in 2013, game by game: lost at No. 10 Florida 6–24; lost at Missouri 23–38; won vs. Eastern Washington 33–21; won at Central Michigan 38–17; lost at Ball State 24–31; won vs. Western Michigan 47–20; won vs. Navy 45–44; won at Bowling Green 28–25; won vs. Eastern Michigan 55–16; won vs. Buffalo 51–41; lost vs. No. 20 Northern Illinois 17–35; lost at Akron 29–31+39−18Lost 6–24 at No. 10 Florida-18No. 10 FloridaLost 23–38 at Missouri-15MissouriWon 33–21 vs. Eastern Washington+12Eastern Washing…Won 38–17 at Central Michigan+21Central MichiganLost 24–31 at Ball State-7Ball StateWon 47–20 vs. Western Michigan+27Western MichiganWon 45–44 vs. Navy+1NavyWon 28–25 at Bowling Green+3Bowling GreenWon 55–16 vs. Eastern Michigan+39Eastern MichiganWon 51–41 vs. Buffalo+10BuffaloLost 17–35 vs. No. 20 Northern Illinois-18No. 20 Northern Illino…Lost 29–31 at Akron-2Akron
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Aug 31at10FloridaL 6–⁠2430%
Sep 7atMissouriL 23–⁠3842%
Sep 14vsEastern WashingtonW 33–⁠2171%
Sep 21atCentral MichiganW 38–⁠1759%
Sep 28atBall StateL 24–⁠3141%
Oct 5vsWestern MichiganW 47–⁠2081%
Oct 19vsNavyW 45–⁠4465%
Oct 26atBowling GreenW 28–⁠2541%
Nov 2vsEastern MichiganW 55–⁠1688%
Nov 12vsBuffaloW 51–⁠4162%
Nov 20vs20Northern IllinoisL 17–⁠3538%
Nov 29atAkronL 29–⁠3176%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Akron 31–⁠29; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 5th in the Mid-American Conference.

In program history: The 26th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 75 on file).

Record
7–⁠5
Conference
5–⁠3 tied for 5th in Mid-American Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
396–⁠343
Coach
Matt Campbell
Elo
1549 +1 this season
SP+ rating
4.7 No. 60 of 125; offense No. 32, defense No. 89, special teams No. 5
SRS
0.0 No. 66 of 125 in FBS
Recruiting class
No. 76
Offensive coordinators
Jason Candle and Louis Ayeni
Defensive coordinator
Tom Matukewicz
Offense
Spread
Defense
4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense57th of 125
  • Defense120th of 125
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted71st of 125
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted130th of 125
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.0948%0.8257th of 125
Defense0.2048%1.00120th of 125
Opponent-adjusted0.08 off
0.17 def		46% off
47% def		—71st off
130th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense-0.4own 313% allowed
Defense-0.1own 272% caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Player leaders are hidden for this season: our source’s player stats for Toledo are missing players (they add up to less than 85% of the team’s passing or rushing yards).

Top recruits in the 2013 class

Rodney Adams WR★★★No. 363
Delando Johnson OLB★★★No. 437
Marquise Moore DT★★★No. 1326
Michael Julian DUAL★★★No. 1389
John Stepec SDE★★★No. 1397

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2013 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks23.00.814
Running backs13.00.803
Receivers22.50.825
Offensive line42.50.792
Defensive line42.80.814
Linebackers42.30.800
Defensive backs13.00.818
Athletes and specialists13.00.808
Whole class192.60.807

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Roster 115

The 2013 roster

115 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2013 line; 30 have a stat line. See the roster

2013 Mid-American Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Northern Illinois8–⁠012–⁠2
Ball State7–⁠110–⁠3
Bowling Green7–⁠110–⁠4
Buffalo6–⁠28–⁠5
Toledo5–⁠37–⁠5
Central Michigan5–⁠36–⁠6
Ohio4–⁠47–⁠6
Akron4–⁠45–⁠7
Kent State3–⁠54–⁠8
Eastern Michigan1–⁠72–⁠10
Massachusetts1–⁠71–⁠11
Western Michigan1–⁠71–⁠11
Miami (OH)0–⁠80–⁠12

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.