2006 Toledo

5–⁠7 (3–⁠5 Mid-American Conference), coached by Tom Amstutz.

Schedule and results

Toledo in 2006, game by game: lost at Iowa State 43–45; lost at Western Michigan 10–31; won vs. Kansas 37–31; won vs. McNeese 41–7; lost at Pittsburgh 3–45; lost vs. Central Michigan 20–42; lost at Kent State 14–40; lost at Eastern Michigan 13–17; won vs. Akron 35–20; won at Northern Illinois 17–13; lost vs. Ball State 17–20; won vs. Bowling Green 31–21+34−42Lost 43–45 at Iowa State-2Iowa StateLost 10–31 at Western Michigan-21Western MichiganWon 37–31 vs. Kansas+6KansasWon 41–7 vs. McNeese+34McNeeseLost 3–45 at Pittsburgh-42PittsburghLost 20–42 vs. Central Michigan-22Central MichiganLost 14–40 at Kent State-26Kent StateLost 13–17 at Eastern Michigan-4Eastern MichiganWon 35–20 vs. Akron+15AkronWon 17–13 at Northern Illinois+4Northern Illino…Lost 17–20 vs. Ball State-3Ball StateWon 31–21 vs. Bowling Green+10Bowling Green
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Beat Bowling Green 31–⁠21; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 7th in the Mid-American Conference.

In program history: The 43rd-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 75 on file).

Record
5–⁠7
Conference
3–⁠5 tied for 7th in Mid-American Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
281–⁠332
Coach
Tom Amstutz
Elo
1470 −98 this season
SP+ rating
-9.6 No. 91 of 119; offense No. 99, defense No. 76, special teams No. 46
SRS
−11.0 No. 100 of 119 in FBS
Recruiting class
No. 78
Offensive coordinator
John Shannon
Defensive coordinator
Tim Rose

How good, play by play

  • Offense92nd of 119
  • Defense35th of 119
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense-0.0138%0.9492nd of 119
Defense0.0238%0.9435th of 119
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense0.0own 292% allowed
Defense-0.2own 322% caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Top recruits in the 2006 class

Jared Dewalt OG★★★No. 782
Barry Church S★★★No. 1021
Joe Shuler WR★★★No. 1159
Alex Johnson WDE★★★No. 1183
Matt Fought TE★★No. 1223

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2006 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks12.00.789
Running backs22.00.789
Receivers32.30.787
Offensive line32.30.796
Defensive line52.20.769
Linebackers32.00.749
Defensive backs42.30.746
Athletes and specialists12.00.744
Whole class222.20.770

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

2006 Mid-American Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Central Michigan7–⁠110–⁠4
Ohio7–⁠19–⁠5
Western Michigan6–⁠28–⁠5
Northern Illinois5–⁠37–⁠6
Kent State5–⁠36–⁠6
Ball State5–⁠35–⁠7
Toledo3–⁠55–⁠7
Akron3–⁠55–⁠7
Bowling Green3–⁠54–⁠8
Miami (OH)2–⁠62–⁠10
Buffalo1–⁠72–⁠10
Eastern Michigan1–⁠71–⁠11

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.