2007 Toledo
5–7 (3–5 Mid-American Conference), coached by Tom Amstutz. Share
Schedule and results
- Biggest winBeat Northern Illinois 70–21Oct 27
By 49 points, its widest win.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | vs Purdue | L 24–52 | 54% |
| Sep 8 | at Central Michigan | L 31–52 | 31% |
| Sep 15 | at Kansas | L 13–45 | 25% |
| Sep 22 | vs Iowa State | W 36–35 | 59% |
| Sep 29 | vs Western Michigan | L 28–42 | 51% |
| Oct 6 | vs Liberty | W 35–34 | 73% |
| Oct 13 | at Buffalo | L 33–43 | 45% |
| Oct 20 | vs Ohio | W 43–40 | 49% |
| Oct 27 | vs Northern Illinois | W 70–21 | 54% |
| Nov 3 | vs Eastern Michigan | W 52–28 | 68% |
| Nov 13 | at Ball State | L 20–41 | 39% |
| Nov 23 | at Bowling Green | L 10–37 | 34% |
Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.
How it ended: Lost to Bowling Green 37–10; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 10th in the Mid-American Conference.
In program history: The 53rd-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 75 on file).
- Record
- 5–7
- Conference
- 3–5 tied for 10th in Mid-American Conference
- AP final
- Unranked
- Points
- 395–470
- Coach
- Tom Amstutz
- Elo
- 1394 −86 this season
- SP+ rating
- -12.8 No. 94 of 120; offense No. 59, defense No. 119, special teams No. 20
- SRS
- −14.5 No. 106 of 119 in FBS
- Recruiting class
- No. 86
- Offensive coordinator
- John Shannon
- Defensive coordinator
- Tim Rose
How good, play by play
| EPA per play | Success | Explosiveness | FBS rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.07 | 39% | 0.98 | 34th of 119 |
| Defense | 0.06 | 47% | 0.86 | 73rd of 119 |
How these are measured
Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season.
Drives and havoc
| Points per trip inside the 40 | Average start | Havoc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | -0.1 | own 31 | 2% allowed |
| Defense | 0.0 | own 32 | 1% caused |
A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.
Top recruits in the 2007 class
| Travaris Cadet DUAL | ★★★ | No. 467 |
| Hosea Simpson RB | ★★★ | No. 1085 |
| Marlin Parker WDE | ★★★ | No. 1085 |
| Tim Cortazzo WR | ★★ | No. 1377 |
| Matt Bradbury OT | ★★ | No. 1505 |
247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.
The 2007 class by position
| Signed | Stars | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterbacks | 1 | 3.0 | 0.868 |
| Running backs | 4 | 2.3 | 0.770 |
| Receivers | 3 | 2.0 | 0.753 |
| Offensive line | 4 | 2.0 | 0.762 |
| Defensive line | 2 | 2.5 | 0.798 |
| Linebackers | 1 | 2.0 | 0.722 |
| Athletes and specialists | 1 | 2.0 | 0.722 |
| Whole class | 16 | 2.2 | 0.768 |
High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.
Drafted in 2008
The 2008 draft| Rd 3 | John Greco OT | St. Louis Rams |
| Rd 6 | Jalen Parmele RB | Miami Dolphins |
2007 Mid-American Conference standings
Conference page| Team | Conf. | Overall | AP final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan | 6–1 | 8–6 | |
| Bowling Green | 6–2 | 8–5 | |
| Ball State | 5–2 | 7–6 | |
 Miami (OH) | 5–2 | 6–7 | |
| Buffalo | 5–3 | 5–7 | |
| Ohio | 4–4 | 6–6 | |
 Temple | 4–4 | 4–8 | |
| Western Michigan | 3–4 | 5–7 | |
| Eastern Michigan | 3–4 | 4–8 | |
 Toledo | 3–5 | 5–7 | |
 Akron | 3–5 | 4–8 | |
| Northern Illinois | 1–6 | 2–10 | |
 Kent State | 1–7 | 3–9 |
Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.