CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2007 Buffalo

5–⁠7 (5–⁠3 Mid-American Conference), coached by Turner Gill.

Schedule and results

Buffalo in 2007, game by game: lost at No. 16 Rutgers 3–38; won at Temple 42–7; lost at No. 12 Penn State 24–45; lost vs. Baylor 21–34; lost at Ball State 14–49; won vs. Ohio 31–10; won vs. Toledo 43–33; lost at Syracuse 12–20; won vs. Akron 26–10; lost at Miami (OH) 28–31; lost vs. Bowling Green 17–31; won at Kent State 30–23+35−35Lost 3–38 at No. 16 Rutgers-35No. 16 RutgersWon 42–7 at Temple+35TempleLost 24–45 at No. 12 Penn State-21No. 12 Penn StateLost 21–34 vs. Baylor-13BaylorLost 14–49 at Ball State-35Ball StateWon 31–10 vs. Ohio+21OhioWon 43–33 vs. Toledo+10ToledoLost 12–20 at Syracuse-8SyracuseWon 26–10 vs. Akron+16AkronLost 28–31 at Miami (OH)-3Miami (OH)Lost 17–31 vs. Bowling Green-14Bowling GreenWon 30–23 at Kent State+7Kent State
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Aug 30at16RutgersL 3–⁠3814%
Sep 8atTempleW 42–⁠743%
Sep 15at12Penn StateL 24–⁠4514%
Sep 22vsBaylorL 21–⁠3445%
Sep 29atBall StateL 14–⁠4924%
Oct 6vsOhioW 31–⁠1039%
Oct 13vsToledoW 43–⁠3355%
Oct 20atSyracuseL 12–⁠2050%
Oct 27vsAkronW 26–⁠1052%
Nov 3atMiami (OH)L 28–⁠3142%
Nov 17vsBowling GreenL 17–⁠3149%
Nov 24atKent StateW 30–⁠2345%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Beat Kent State 30–⁠23; unranked in the final AP poll; 5th in the Mid-American Conference.

In program history: The 23rd-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 54 on file).

MAC East champions5–⁠3 in the conference, shared with Bowling Green and Miami (OH)

Record
5–⁠7
Conference
5–⁠3 5th in Mid-American Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
291–⁠331
Coach
Turner Gill
Elo
1381 +37 this season
SP+ rating
-20.1 No. 109 of 120; offense No. 109, defense No. 101, special teams No. 68
SRS
−11.0 No. 95 of 119 in FBS
Recruiting class
No. 113
Offensive coordinator
Gerald Carr
Captains
Kareem Byrom, Jamey Richard, Trevor Scott and Drew Willy

How good, play by play

  • Offense58th of 119
  • Defense117th of 119
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.0340%0.9058th of 119
Defense0.1548%0.99117th of 119
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense0.0own 25— allowed
Defense0.0own 32— caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Top recruits in the 2007 class

Zack Ingle PRO★★★No. 879
Matt Ostrowski OT★★★No. 1167
Josh Copeland ATH★★No. 1565
Terrell Jackson ATH★★No. 1568
Alan Hayes S★★No. 1568

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2007 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks22.50.778
Running backs12.00.700
Receivers32.00.730
Offensive line22.50.755
Defensive line32.00.722
Linebackers22.00.722
Defensive backs32.00.744
Athletes and specialists22.00.768
Whole class182.10.741

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2008

The 2008 draft
Rd 6Trevor Scott DEOakland Raiders
Rd 7Jamey Richard CIndianapolis Colts

2007 Mid-American Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Central Michigan6–⁠18–⁠6
Bowling Green6–⁠28–⁠5
Ball State5–⁠27–⁠6
Miami (OH)5–⁠26–⁠7
Buffalo5–⁠35–⁠7
Ohio4–⁠46–⁠6
Temple4–⁠44–⁠8
Western Michigan3–⁠45–⁠7
Eastern Michigan3–⁠44–⁠8
Toledo3–⁠55–⁠7
Akron3–⁠54–⁠8
Northern Illinois1–⁠62–⁠10
Kent State1–⁠73–⁠9

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.