2016 Texas State

2–⁠10 (0–⁠8 Sun Belt Conference), coached by Everett Withers.

Schedule and results

Texas State in 2016, game by game: won at Ohio 56–54; lost at No. 24 Arkansas 3–42; lost vs. No. 6 Houston 3–64; won vs. Incarnate Word 48–17; lost at Georgia State 21–41; lost at UL Monroe 34–40; lost vs. Louisiana 3–27; lost at App State 10–35; lost vs. Idaho 14–47; lost at New Mexico State 10–50; lost vs. Troy 7–40; lost vs. Arkansas State 14–36+31−61Won 56–54 at Ohio+2OhioLost 3–42 at No. 24 Arkansas-39No. 24 ArkansasLost 3–64 vs. No. 6 Houston-61No. 6 HoustonWon 48–17 vs. Incarnate Word+31Incarnate WordLost 21–41 at Georgia State-20Georgia StateLost 34–40 at UL Monroe-6UL MonroeLost 3–27 vs. Louisiana-24LouisianaLost 10–35 at App State-25App StateLost 14–47 vs. Idaho-33IdahoLost 10–50 at New Mexico State-40New Mexico StateLost 7–40 vs. Troy-33TroyLost 14–36 vs. Arkansas State-22Arkansas State
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Arkansas State 36–⁠14; unranked in the final AP poll; 11th in the Sun Belt Conference.

In program history: The 38th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 46 on file).

Record
2–⁠10
Conference
0–⁠8 11th in Sun Belt Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
223–⁠493
Coach
Everett Withers
Elo
1210 −157 this season
SP+ rating
-25.5 No. 128 of 128; offense No. 121, defense No. 127, special teams No. 107
SRS
−23.9 No. 128 of 128 in FBS
Returning
34% of last season’s EPA, No. 115 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 110 roster talent No. 112 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Brett Elliott
Defensive coordinator
Randall McCray
Offense
Spread
Defense
Multiple

How good, play by play

  • Offense126th of 128
  • Defense120th of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted131st of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted129th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense-0.1335%1.10126th of 128
Defense0.2448%1.15120th of 128
Opponent-adjusted-0.07 off
0.24 def
35% off
49% def
—131st off
129th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense3.0own 2821% allowed
Defense4.6own 3312% caused

CORE rating -28.1, 128th of 128 (offense -14.7, defense 13.5).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsTyler Jones QB2,186 yds
Passing touchdownsTyler Jones QB11 TD
Rushing yardsStedman Mayberry RB593 yds
Rushing touchdownsStedman Mayberry RB5 TD
Receiving yardsElijah King WR437 yds
Receiving touchdownsEric Luna WR3 TD
TacklesBryan London II LB142 tkl
SacksGabe Loyd ILB2 sacks
InterceptionsJavante O’Roy S2 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Tyler Tutt RB★★★No. 1763
Hal Vinson OLB★★★No. 1831
Dean Taylor SDE★★★No. 1897
Devin Williams ATH★★★No. 1931
Jordan Eastling CB★★★No. 2139

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Running backs22.50.800
Receivers22.00.765
Offensive line42.00.772
Defensive line42.50.792
Linebackers22.50.792
Defensive backs42.30.774
Athletes and specialists13.00.809
Whole class192.30.783

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Roster 118

The 2016 roster

118 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 65 have a stat line. See the roster

2016 Sun Belt Conference standings

TeamConf.OverallAP final
App State7–⁠110–⁠3
Arkansas State7–⁠18–⁠5
Troy6–⁠210–⁠3
Idaho6–⁠29–⁠4
Louisiana5–⁠36–⁠7
Georgia Southern4–⁠45–⁠7
UL Monroe3–⁠54–⁠8
South Alabama2–⁠66–⁠7
New Mexico State2–⁠63–⁠9
Georgia State2–⁠63–⁠9
Texas State0–⁠82–⁠10

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.