
2016 Texas State
2–10 (0–8 Sun Belt Conference), coached by Everett Withers. Share
Schedule and results
- Biggest winBeat Incarnate Word 48–17Oct 1
By 31 points, its widest win.
- Most excitingBeat Ohio 56–54Sep 3
The win probability swung the most, by CollegeFootballData.com’s excitement index.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | at | W 56–54 | 26% |
| Sep 17 | at | L 3–42 | 15% |
| Sep 24 | vs | L 3–64 | 17% |
| Oct 1 | vs | W 48–17 | 77% |
| Oct 8 | at | L 21–41 | 44% |
| Oct 15 | at | L 34–40 | 46% |
| Oct 22 | vs | L 3–27 | 53% |
| Nov 5 | at | L 10–35 | 10% |
| Nov 12 | vs | L 14–47 | 44% |
| Nov 19 | at | L 10–50 | 41% |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 7–40 | 22% |
| Dec 3 | vs | L 14–36 | 18% |
Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.
How it ended: Lost to Arkansas State 36–14; unranked in the final AP poll; 11th in the Sun Belt Conference.
In program history: The 38th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 46 on file).
- Record
- 2–10
- Conference
- 0–8 11th in Sun Belt Conference
- AP final
- Unranked
- Points
- 223–493
- Coach
- Everett Withers
- Elo
- 1210 −157 this season
- SP+ rating
- -25.5 No. 128 of 128; offense No. 121, defense No. 127, special teams No. 107
- SRS
- −23.9 No. 128 of 128 in FBS
- Returning
- 34% of last season’s EPA, No. 115 of 128
- Recruiting class
- No. 110 roster talent No. 112 in FBS
- Offensive coordinator
- Brett Elliott
- Defensive coordinator
- Randall McCray
- Offense
- Spread
- Defense
- Multiple
How good, play by play
| EPA per play | Success | Explosiveness | FBS rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | -0.13 | 35% | 1.10 | 126th of 128 |
| Defense | 0.24 | 48% | 1.15 | 120th of 128 |
| Opponent-adjusted | -0.07 off 0.24 def | 35% off 49% def | — | 131st off 129th def |
How these are measured
Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.
Drives and havoc
| Points per trip inside the 40 | Average start | Havoc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 3.0 | own 28 | 21% allowed |
| Defense | 4.6 | own 33 | 12% caused |
CORE rating -28.1, 128th of 128 (offense -14.7, defense 13.5).
A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.
Leaders
| Passing yards | Tyler Jones QB | 2,186 yds |
| Passing touchdowns | Tyler Jones QB | 11 TD |
| Rushing yards | Stedman Mayberry RB | 593 yds |
| Rushing touchdowns | Stedman Mayberry RB | 5 TD |
| Receiving yards | Elijah King WR | 437 yds |
| Receiving touchdowns | Eric Luna WR | 3 TD |
| Tackles | Bryan London II LB | 142 tkl |
| Sacks | Gabe Loyd ILB | 2 sacks |
| Interceptions | Javante O’Roy S | 2 INT |
Top recruits in the 2016 class
| Tyler Tutt RB | ★★★ | No. 1763 |
| Hal Vinson OLB | ★★★ | No. 1831 |
| Dean Taylor SDE | ★★★ | No. 1897 |
| Devin Williams ATH | ★★★ | No. 1931 |
| Jordan Eastling CB | ★★★ | No. 2139 |
247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.
The 2016 class by position
| Signed | Stars | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Running backs | 2 | 2.5 | 0.800 |
| Receivers | 2 | 2.0 | 0.765 |
| Offensive line | 4 | 2.0 | 0.772 |
| Defensive line | 4 | 2.5 | 0.792 |
| Linebackers | 2 | 2.5 | 0.792 |
| Defensive backs | 4 | 2.3 | 0.774 |
| Athletes and specialists | 1 | 3.0 | 0.809 |
| Whole class | 19 | 2.3 | 0.783 |
High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.
Roster 118
The 2016 roster118 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 65 have a stat line. See the roster
2016 Sun Belt Conference standings
| Team | Conf. | Overall | AP final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7–1 | 10–3 | ||
| 7–1 | 8–5 | ||
| 6–2 | 10–3 | ||
| 6–2 | 9–4 | ||
| 5–3 | 6–7 | ||
| 4–4 | 5–7 | ||
| 3–5 | 4–8 | ||
| 2–6 | 6–7 | ||
| 2–6 | 3–9 | ||
| 2–6 | 3–9 | ||
| 0–8 | 2–10 |
Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.