
2016 New Mexico State
3–9 (2–6 Sun Belt Conference), coached by Doug Martin. Share
Schedule and results
- Biggest winBeat Texas State 50–10Nov 19
By 40 points, its widest win.
- Most excitingBeat Louisiana 37–31Oct 1
The win probability swung the most, by CollegeFootballData.com’s excitement index.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | at | L 22–38 | 33% |
| Sep 10 | vs | W 32–31 | 38% |
| Sep 17 | at | L 42–62 | 31% |
| Sep 24 | at | L 6–52 | 24% |
| Oct 1 | vs | W 37–31 | 41% |
| Oct 15 | at | L 23–55 | 39% |
| Oct 22 | vs | L 19–22 | 28% |
| Oct 29 | at | L 10–52 | 7% |
| Nov 12 | at | L 22–41 | 17% |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 50–10 | 59% |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 7–37 | 18% |
| Dec 3 | at | L 28–35 | 30% |
Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.
How it ended: Lost to South Alabama 35–28; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 8th in the Sun Belt Conference.
In program history: The 57th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 93 on file).
- Record
- 3–9
- Conference
- 2–6 tied for 8th in Sun Belt Conference
- AP final
- Unranked
- Points
- 298–466
- Coach
- Doug Martin
- Elo
- 1280 −61 this season
- SP+ rating
- -17.2 No. 123 of 128; offense No. 103, defense No. 121, special teams No. 90
- SRS
- −16.7 No. 121 of 128 in FBS
- Returning
- 43% of last season’s EPA, No. 103 of 128
- Recruiting class
- No. 128 roster talent No. 125 in FBS
- Defensive coordinator
- Frank Spaziani
- Offense
- Air raid
- Defense
- 3–3–5
How good, play by play
| EPA per play | Success | Explosiveness | FBS rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.05 | 41% | 1.26 | 88th of 128 |
| Defense | 0.14 | 45% | 1.20 | 80th of 128 |
| Opponent-adjusted | 0.05 off 0.15 def | 40% off 47% def | — | 100th off 97th def |
How these are measured
Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.
Drives and havoc
| Points per trip inside the 40 | Average start | Havoc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 3.2 | own 29 | 19% allowed |
| Defense | 3.9 | own 31 | 15% caused |
CORE rating -15.4, 118th of 128 (offense -8.1, defense 7.2).
A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.
Leaders
| Passing yards | Tyler Rogers QB | 2,589 yds |
| Passing touchdowns | Tyler Rogers QB | 16 TD |
| Rushing yards | Larry Rose III RB | 865 yds |
| Rushing touchdowns | Larry Rose III RB | 4 TD |
| Receiving yards | Tyrian Taylor WR | 391 yds |
| Receiving touchdowns | Jaleel Scott WR | 5 TD |
| Tackles | Rodney Butler LB | 165 tkl |
| Sacks | Dalton Rocha LB | 2 sacks |
| Interceptions | Jaden Wright DB | 5 INT |
Top recruits in the 2016 class
| Darius Anderson DT | ★★★ | No. 1562 |
| Gamar Girdy APB | ★★★ | No. 1990 |
| Myles Vigne DT | ★★★ | No. 2032 |
| Shamad Lomax CB | ★★ | No. 2498 |
| Brandon Bell CB | ★★ | No. 2498 |
247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.
The 2016 class by position
| Signed | Stars | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterbacks | 1 | 2.0 | 0.764 |
| Running backs | 2 | 2.5 | 0.785 |
| Receivers | 2 | 2.0 | 0.766 |
| Offensive line | 2 | 2.0 | 0.760 |
| Defensive line | 3 | 2.7 | 0.804 |
| Linebackers | 1 | 2.0 | 0.768 |
| Defensive backs | 3 | 2.0 | 0.778 |
| Athletes and specialists | 1 | 2.0 | 0.767 |
| Whole class | 15 | 2.2 | 0.778 |
High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.
Roster 109
The 2016 roster109 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 60 have a stat line. See the roster
2016 Sun Belt Conference standings
| Team | Conf. | Overall | AP final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7–1 | 10–3 | ||
| 7–1 | 8–5 | ||
| 6–2 | 10–3 | ||
| 6–2 | 9–4 | ||
| 5–3 | 6–7 | ||
| 4–4 | 5–7 | ||
| 3–5 | 4–8 | ||
| 2–6 | 6–7 | ||
| 2–6 | 3–9 | ||
| 2–6 | 3–9 | ||
| 0–8 | 2–10 |
Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.