2004 Penn State

4–⁠7 (2–⁠6 Big Ten), coached by Joe Paterno.

Schedule and results

Penn State in 2004, game by game: won vs. Akron 48–10; lost at Boston College 7–21; won vs. UCF 37–13; lost at No. 20 Wisconsin 3–16; lost at No. 18 Minnesota 7–16; lost vs. No. 9 Purdue 13–20; lost vs. No. 25 Iowa 4–6; lost at Ohio State 10–21; lost vs. Northwestern 7–14; won at Indiana 22–18; won vs. Michigan State 37–13+38−14Won 48–10 vs. Akron+38AkronLost 7–21 at Boston College-14Boston CollegeWon 37–13 vs. UCF+24UCFLost 3–16 at No. 20 Wisconsin-13No. 20 WisconsinLost 7–16 at No. 18 Minnesota-9No. 18 MinnesotaLost 13–20 vs. No. 9 Purdue-7No. 9 PurdueLost 4–6 vs. No. 25 Iowa-2No. 25 IowaLost 10–21 at Ohio State-11Ohio StateLost 7–14 vs. Northwestern-7NorthwesternWon 22–18 at Indiana+4IndianaWon 37–13 vs. Michigan State+24Michigan State
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Beat Michigan State 37–⁠13; unranked in the final AP poll; 9th in the Big Ten.

In program history: The 114th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 139 on file).

Record
4–⁠7
Conference
2–⁠6 9th in Big Ten
AP final
Unranked
Points
195–⁠168
Coach
Joe Paterno
Elo
1485 +12 this season
SP+ rating
7.4 No. 45 of 120; offense No. 113, defense No. 6
SRS
3.2 No. 47 of 119 in Division I-A
Recruiting class
No. 13
Offensive coordinator
Galen Hall
Defensive coordinator
Tom Bradley
Offense
Pro-style
Defense
4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense94th of 118
  • Defense60th of 118
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense-0.1436%0.9394th of 118
Defense-0.0435%0.9560th of 118
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense0.0own 343% allowed
Defense0.0own 302% caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Top recruits in the 2004 class

Dan Connor ILB★★★★★No. 13
Anthony Morelli PRO★★★★★No. 15
Greg Harrison OG★★★★No. 60
A.Q. Shipley DT★★★★No. 123
Matt Hahn FB★★★No. 229

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2004 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks33.00.820
Running backs13.00.878
Offensive line23.50.904
Defensive line14.00.922
Linebackers15.00.994
Athletes and specialists12.00.767
Whole class93.30.870

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

All-Big Ten

3 second team

Second team

From Wikipedia’s 2004 all-conference team article, with the selectors that named each player (AP-1: the Associated Press’s first team).

2004 Big Ten standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Iowa7–⁠110–⁠28
Michigan7–⁠19–⁠314
Wisconsin6–⁠29–⁠317
Northwestern5–⁠36–⁠6
Ohio State4–⁠48–⁠420
Purdue4–⁠47–⁠5
Michigan State4–⁠45–⁠7
Minnesota3–⁠57–⁠5
Penn State2–⁠64–⁠7
Illinois1–⁠73–⁠8
Indiana1–⁠73–⁠8

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.