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2004 Michigan

9–⁠3 (7–⁠1 Big Ten), coached by Lloyd Carr, finished No. 14 in the AP poll.

Schedule and results

Michigan in 2004, game by game: won vs. Miami (OH) 43–10; lost at Notre Dame 20–28; won vs. San Diego State 24–21; won vs. Iowa 30–17; won at Indiana 35–14; won vs. No. 13 Minnesota 27–24; won at Illinois 30–19; won at No. 12 Purdue 16–14; won vs. Michigan State 45–37; won vs. Northwestern 42–20; lost at Ohio State 21–37; lost vs. No. 6 Texas 37–38+33−16Won 43–10 vs. Miami (OH)+33Miami (OH)Lost 20–28 at Notre Dame-8Notre DameWon 24–21 vs. San Diego State+3San Diego StateWon 30–17 vs. Iowa+13IowaWon 35–14 at Indiana+21IndianaWon 27–24 vs. No. 13 Minnesota+3No. 13 MinnesotaWon 30–19 at Illinois+11IllinoisWon 16–14 at No. 12 Purdue+2No. 12 PurdueWon 45–37 vs. Michigan State+8Michigan StateWon 42–20 vs. Northwestern+22NorthwesternLost 21–37 at Ohio State-16Ohio StateLost 37–38 vs. No. 6 Texas-1No. 6 Texas
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below; orange marks an upset win.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 4vsMiami (OH)W 43–⁠1056%
Sep 11atNotre DameL 20–⁠2868%
Sep 18vsSan Diego StateW 24–⁠2179%
Sep 25vsIowaW 30–⁠1765%
Oct 2atIndianaW 35–⁠1480%
Oct 9vs13MinnesotaW 27–⁠2463%
Oct 16atIllinoisW 30–⁠1984%
Oct 23at12PurdueW 16–⁠1448%
Oct 30vsMichigan StateW 45–⁠3778%
Nov 13vsNorthwesternW 42–⁠2082%
Nov 20atOhio StateL 21–⁠3757%
Jan 1Bowls & playoffvs6TexasRose BowlL 37–⁠3840%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Texas 38–⁠37 in the Rose Bowl; No. 14 in the final AP poll; Big Ten champions.

In program history: The 46th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 140 on file).

AP poll, week by week

  1. Wk 1: 8
  2. Wk 3: 8
  3. Wk 4: 17
  4. Wk 5: 18
  5. Wk 6: 19
  6. Wk 7: 14
  7. Wk 8: 14
  8. Wk 9: 13
  9. Wk 10: 12
  10. Wk 11: 10
  11. Wk 12: 9
  12. Wk 13: 7
  13. Wk 14: 13
  14. Wk 15: 14
  15. Final: 14

Big Ten champions7–⁠1 in the conference, shared with Iowa

Biletnikoff AwardBraylon Edwards, WR

Rimington TrophyDavid Baas, OG

4 consensus All-AmericansBraylon Edwards, WR; David Baas, OG; Marlin Jackson, DB; Ernest Shazor, DB

Record
9–⁠3
Conference
7–⁠1 shared first in Big Ten
AP final
No. 14 peak No. 7
Points
370–⁠279
Coach
Lloyd Carr
Elo
1701 +42 this season
SP+ rating
17.5 No. 20 of 120; offense No. 17, defense No. 36
SRS
11.5 No. 20 of 119 in Division I-A
Recruiting class
No. 6
Offensive coordinator
Terry Malone
Defensive coordinator
Jim Herrmann
Captains
David Baas and Marlin Jackson
Most valuable player
Braylon Edwards
Offense
Multiple
Defense
Multiple

How good, play by play

  • Offense38th of 118
  • Defense8th of 118
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense-0.0338%0.9138th of 118
Defense-0.1532%0.968th of 118
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense-0.1own 322% allowed
Defense-0.1own 304% caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Top recruits in the 2004 class

Chad Henne PRO★★★★★No. 18
Tim Jamison WDE★★★★No. 46
Alex Mitchell OG★★★★No. 84
Doug Dutch WR★★★★No. 86
Brett Gallimore OT★★★★No. 99
Will Johnson DT★★★★No. 105
Adrian Arrington WR★★★★No. 115
Michael Massey SDE★★★★No. 123

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2004 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks15.00.992
Receivers24.00.952
Offensive line24.00.965
Defensive line43.50.904
Whole class93.90.938

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2005

The 2005 draft
Rd 1Braylon Edwards WRCleveland Browns
Rd 1Marlin Jackson DBIndianapolis Colts
Rd 2David Baas OGSan Francisco 49ers

All-Big Ten

9 first team, 3 second team

First team

Second team

From Wikipedia’s 2004 all-conference team article, with the selectors that named each player (AP-1: the Associated Press’s first team).

2004 Big Ten standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Iowa7–⁠110–⁠28
Michigan7–⁠19–⁠314
Wisconsin6–⁠29–⁠317
Northwestern5–⁠36–⁠6
Ohio State4–⁠48–⁠420
Purdue4–⁠47–⁠5
Michigan State4–⁠45–⁠7
Minnesota3–⁠57–⁠5
Penn State2–⁠64–⁠7
Illinois1–⁠73–⁠8
Indiana1–⁠73–⁠8

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.