CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2016 NC State

7–⁠6 (3–⁠5 Atlantic Coast Conference), coached by Dave Doeren.

Schedule and results

NC State in 2016, game by game: won vs. William & Mary 48–14; lost at East Carolina 30–33; won vs. Old Dominion 49–22; won vs. Wake Forest 33–16; won vs. Notre Dame 10–3; lost at No. 3 Clemson 17–24; lost at No. 7 Louisville 13–54; lost vs. Boston College 14–21; lost vs. No. 19 Florida State 20–24; won at Syracuse 35–20; lost vs. Miami 13–27; won at North Carolina 28–21; won vs. Vanderbilt 41–17+34−41Won 48–14 vs. William & Mary+34William & MaryLost 30–33 at East Carolina-3East CarolinaWon 49–22 vs. Old Dominion+27Old DominionWon 33–16 vs. Wake Forest+17Wake ForestWon 10–3 vs. Notre Dame+7Notre DameLost 17–24 at No. 3 Clemson-7No. 3 ClemsonLost 13–54 at No. 7 Louisville-41No. 7 LouisvilleLost 14–21 vs. Boston College-7Boston CollegeLost 20–24 vs. No. 19 Florida State-4No. 19 Florida StateWon 35–20 at Syracuse+15SyracuseLost 13–27 vs. Miami-14MiamiWon 28–21 at North Carolina+7North CarolinaWon 41–17 vs. Vanderbilt+24Vanderbilt
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 1vsWilliam & MaryW 48–⁠1473%
Sep 10atEast CarolinaL 30–⁠3348%
Sep 17vsOld DominionW 49–⁠2274%
Oct 1vsWake ForestW 33–⁠1665%
Oct 8vsNotre DameW 10–⁠352%
Oct 15at3ClemsonL 17–⁠2419%
Oct 22at7LouisvilleL 13–⁠5428%
Oct 29vsBoston CollegeL 14–⁠2174%
Nov 5vs19Florida StateL 20–⁠2436%
Nov 12atSyracuseW 35–⁠2050%
Nov 19vsMiamiL 13–⁠2748%
Nov 25atNorth CarolinaW 28–⁠2123%
Dec 26Bowls & playoffvsVanderbiltIndependence BowlW 41–⁠1756%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Beat Vanderbilt 41–⁠17 in the Independence Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 9th in the Atlantic Coast Conference.

In program history: The 29th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 125 on file).

Record
7–⁠6
Conference
3–⁠5 tied for 9th in Atlantic Coast Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
351–⁠296
Coach
Dave Doeren
Elo
1578 +54 this season
SP+ rating
9.4 No. 41 of 128; offense No. 58, defense No. 19, special teams No. 116
SRS
8.1 No. 29 of 128 in FBS
Returning
56% of last season’s EPA, No. 89 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 50 roster talent No. 44 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Eliah Drinkwitz
Defensive coordinator
Dave Huxtable
Offense
Multiple
Defense
4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense76th of 128
  • Defense22nd of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted61st of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted18th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.0741%1.2876th of 128
Defense0.0239%1.2022nd of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.11 off
0.02 def		44% off
38% def		—61st off
18th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense2.9own 3115% allowed
Defense2.9own 3319% caused

CORE rating 10.1, 24th of 128 (offense 0.9, defense -9.2).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsRyan Finley QB3,055 yds
Passing touchdownsRyan Finley QB18 TD
Rushing yardsMatthew Dayes RB1,166 yds
Rushing touchdownsMatthew Dayes RB10 TD
Receiving yardsStephen Louis WR678 yds
Receiving touchdownsJaylen Samuels 7 TD
TacklesJosh Jones S108 tkl
SacksBradley Chubb DE10.5 sacks
InterceptionsJosh Jones S3 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Shug Frazier DT★★★No. 361
Thaddeus Moss TE★★★No. 386
Isaiah Stallings ATH★★★No. 539
Kelvin Harmon WR★★★No. 547
Justin Witt OT★★★No. 618

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks13.00.853
Receivers63.00.844
Offensive line53.00.830
Defensive line32.70.827
Linebackers23.00.824
Defensive backs53.00.844
Athletes and specialists13.00.869
Whole class233.00.838

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2017

The 2017 draft
Rd 2Josh Jones SGreen Bay Packers
Rd 7Jack Tocho CBMinnesota Vikings
Rd 7Matthew Dayes RBCleveland Browns

Roster 107

The 2016 roster

107 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 53 have a stat line. See the roster

2016 Atlantic Coast Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Clemson7–⁠114–⁠11
Louisville7–⁠19–⁠421
Virginia Tech6–⁠210–⁠416
Florida State5–⁠310–⁠38
Miami5–⁠39–⁠420
North Carolina5–⁠38–⁠5
Pittsburgh5–⁠38–⁠5
Georgia Tech4–⁠49–⁠4
Wake Forest3–⁠57–⁠6
NC State3–⁠57–⁠6
Boston College2–⁠67–⁠6
Syracuse2–⁠64–⁠8
Duke1–⁠74–⁠8
Virginia1–⁠72–⁠10

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.