CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2016 Duke

4–⁠8 (1–⁠7 Atlantic Coast Conference), coached by David Cutcliffe.

Schedule and results

Duke in 2016, game by game: won vs. North Carolina Central 49–6; lost vs. Wake Forest 14–24; lost at Northwestern 13–24; won at Notre Dame 38–35; lost vs. Virginia 20–34; won vs. Army 13–6; lost at No. 7 Louisville 14–24; lost at Georgia Tech 35–38; lost vs. No. 23 Virginia Tech 21–24; won vs. No. 15 North Carolina 28–27; lost at Pittsburgh 14–56; lost at Miami 21–40+43−42Won 49–6 vs. North Carolina Central+43North Carolina …Lost 14–24 vs. Wake Forest-10Wake ForestLost 13–24 at Northwestern-11NorthwesternWon 38–35 at Notre Dame+3Notre DameLost 20–34 vs. Virginia-14VirginiaWon 13–6 vs. Army+7ArmyLost 14–24 at No. 7 Louisville-10No. 7 LouisvilleLost 35–38 at Georgia Tech-3Georgia TechLost 21–24 vs. No. 23 Virginia Tech-3No. 23 Virginia TechWon 28–27 vs. No. 15 North Carolina+1No. 15 North CarolinaLost 14–56 at Pittsburgh-42PittsburghLost 21–40 at Miami-19Miami
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below; orange marks an upset win.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 3vsNorth Carolina CentralW 49–⁠677%
Sep 10vsWake ForestL 14–⁠2474%
Sep 17atNorthwesternL 13–⁠2439%
Sep 24atNotre DameW 38–⁠3526%
Oct 1vsVirginiaL 20–⁠3466%
Oct 8vsArmyW 13–⁠657%
Oct 14at7LouisvilleL 14–⁠2419%
Oct 29atGeorgia TechL 35–⁠3837%
Nov 5vs23Virginia TechL 21–⁠2435%
Nov 10vs15North CarolinaW 28–⁠2730%
Nov 19atPittsburghL 14–⁠5629%
Nov 26atMiamiL 21–⁠4020%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Miami 40–⁠21; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 13th in the Atlantic Coast Conference.

In program history: The 73rd-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 108 on file).

Record
4–⁠8
Conference
1–⁠7 tied for 13th in Atlantic Coast Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
280–⁠338
Coach
David Cutcliffe
Elo
1439 −88 this season
SP+ rating
-2.8 No. 80 of 128; offense No. 82, defense No. 57, special teams No. 119
SRS
−0.7 No. 69 of 128 in FBS
Returning
69% of last season’s EPA, No. 57 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 33 roster talent No. 48 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Zac Roper
Defensive coordinator
Jim Knowles
Captains
Jela Duncan, DeVon Edwards, Thomas Sirk and A.J. Wolf
Most valuable player
Daniel Jones
Offense
Multiple
Defense
4–⁠2–⁠5

How good, play by play

  • Offense91st of 128
  • Defense100th of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted79th of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted87th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.0444%1.0491st of 128
Defense0.1845%1.35100th of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.08 off
0.14 def		46% off
43% def		—79th off
87th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense3.1own 3016% allowed
Defense3.7own 2916% caused

CORE rating -1.0, 69th of 128 (offense 0.7, defense 1.6).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsDaniel Jones QB2,795 yds
Passing touchdownsDaniel Jones QB15 TD
Rushing yardsShaun Wilson RB573 yds
Rushing touchdownsDaniel Jones QB7 TD
Receiving yardsT.J. Rahming WR739 yds
Receiving touchdownsJohnathan Lloyd WR3 TD
TacklesJoe Giles-Harris LB100 tkl
SacksA.J. Wolf DT5.5 sacks
InterceptionsBreon Borders CB2 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Scott Bracey ATH★★★★No. 139
Dylan Singleton S★★★★No. 257
Mark Birmingham TE★★★★No. 333
Robert Kraeling OT★★★★No. 341
Brandon Hill OLB★★★No. 422

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Running backs13.00.873
Receivers14.00.893
Offensive line43.30.873
Defensive line33.00.843
Linebackers43.00.862
Defensive backs63.00.850
Athletes and specialists43.30.862
Whole class233.10.860

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Roster 98

The 2016 roster

98 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 55 have a stat line. See the roster

2016 Atlantic Coast Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Clemson7–⁠114–⁠11
Louisville7–⁠19–⁠421
Virginia Tech6–⁠210–⁠416
Florida State5–⁠310–⁠38
Miami5–⁠39–⁠420
North Carolina5–⁠38–⁠5
Pittsburgh5–⁠38–⁠5
Georgia Tech4–⁠49–⁠4
Wake Forest3–⁠57–⁠6
NC State3–⁠57–⁠6
Boston College2–⁠67–⁠6
Syracuse2–⁠64–⁠8
Duke1–⁠74–⁠8
Virginia1–⁠72–⁠10

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.