Dave Aranda, head coach at Baylor
Photo: Jace Pierce, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Dave Aranda

Dave Aranda went 40–⁠39 as a head coach, 2020–⁠2026, at Baylor. Wikipedia’s season articles record one season differently (2026, 4–⁠1); by them his record is 40–⁠38.

Record
40–⁠39 career
Seasons
7
Schools
1
Final AP top 10
1 season
Born
Sep 29, 1976
Alma mater
Cal Lutheran 1999
Best season
2021 12–⁠2, No. 5

Season by season

Wins and losses each seasonfinal AP rank above★ national titleline: the team’s Elo at season’s end, best 1708 in 2021
SeasonSchoolRecordConference finishBowlAP final
2020Baylor2–⁠79th
2021Baylor12–⁠21stSugar Bowl W5
2022Baylor6–⁠7T–5thArmed Forces Bowl L
2023Baylor3–⁠9T–11th
2024Baylor8–⁠5T–5thTexas Bowl L
2025Baylor5–⁠7T–11th
2026Baylor4–⁠2 (Wikipedia: 4–⁠1)

Each season links to the team’s season page; bowls and playoff games link to the game. Conference finishes from the Wikipedia article’s record table.

Players he coached

Every player from his seasons with a Heisman top-five finish, a national award, consensus All-America honors or a first-round pick. Photos: Wikimedia Commons, free licenses; credits on each player’s page.

How his teams did

Kind of gameGamesRecord
Against ranked teams216–⁠15
Against top-10 teams63–⁠3
Against rivals143–⁠11
Conference games5826–⁠32
Bowls and playoffs31–⁠2
Decided by 8 points or fewer2812–⁠16
At home4224–⁠18
On the road3214–⁠18
At neutral sites52–⁠3
As our Elo’s favorite3826–⁠12
As our Elo’s underdog4114–⁠27

His own 79 games on file, 2020–⁠2026, as played (vacated wins counted, ties as half a win). Ranks are the AP poll going into the game; rivals are the ones either program’s Wikipedia article names; favorite and underdog by our own Elo rating, which reads only scores.

Against other head coaches

CoachRecordTheir schoolsGames
Chris Klieman 2020–⁠20253–⁠2Kansas State5
Matt Campbell 2020–⁠20242–⁠3Iowa State5
Mike Gundy 2020–⁠20242–⁠3Oklahoma State5
Neal Brown 2020–⁠20242–⁠3West Virginia5
Sonny Dykes 2022–⁠20261–⁠4TCU5
Lance Leipold 2021–⁠20243–⁠0Kansas3
Joey McGuire 2022–⁠20242–⁠1Texas Tech3
Kalani Sitake 2021–⁠20241–⁠2BYU3
Steve Sarkisian 2021–⁠20231–⁠2Texas3
Kyle Whittingham 2023–⁠20250–⁠3Utah3

Dave Aranda’s record against the head coaches he met three or more times, from the games on file, as played.

Most-faced opponents

OpponentGamesRecord
TCUseries71–⁠6
Oklahoma Stateseries63–⁠3
Kansas Stateseries53–⁠2
Texas Techseries53–⁠2
Iowa Stateseries52–⁠3
West Virginiaseries52–⁠3
Kansasseries44–⁠0
Texasseries41–⁠3

National title staffs

Every title staff

The champions’ staffs from 1990 on, as the schools listed them that season: Staff lists: Drew Hoover’s how-many-rings (MIT), from the schools’ media guides and staff pages. Roles as the source words them.

How he was hired

  • Hired by Baylor for the 2020 season from LSU, where he was defensive coordinator.

Power-conference head-coaching hires since 2010, with each coach’s previous job and ties to the school as collected by hand from Wikipedia: Hiring facts: M. Schuckers, cfb_coach_analytics.

Career

YearsTeamJob
1995Redlands HS (CA) high schoolJunior varsity coach
1996–⁠99Cal LutheranLinebackers coach
2000–⁠02Texas TechGraduate assistant
2003–⁠04HoustonLinebackers coach
2005–⁠06Cal LutheranDefensive coordinator and linebackers coach
2007Delta StateCo-defensive coordinator and linebackers coach
2008–⁠09HawaiiDefensive line coach
2010–⁠11HawaiiDefensive coordinator
2012Utah StateDefensive coordinator
2013–⁠15WisconsinDefensive coordinator and inside linebackers coach
2016–⁠19LSUAssistant head coach, defensive coordinator and linebackers coach
2020–presentBaylorHead coach

Every job as the infobox of his Wikipedia article lists it (CC BY-SA), assistant jobs included.

Coaching tree

Worked under

Dave Aranda

Assistants who became head coaches

Worked under (9)
Head coachTeamYearsHis job
Mike LeachTexas Tech2000–⁠02Graduate assistant
Art BrilesHouston2003–⁠04Linebackers coach
Ron RobertsDelta State2007Co-defensive coordinator and linebackers coach
Greg McMackinHawai’i2008–⁠112008–⁠09: defensive line coach; 2010–⁠11: defensive coordinator
Gary AndersenUtah State2012Defensive coordinator
Gary AndersenWisconsin2013–⁠14Defensive coordinator and inside linebackers coach
Barry AlvarezWisconsin2014Defensive coordinator and inside linebackers coach
Paul ChrystWisconsin2015Defensive coordinator and inside linebackers coach
Les MilesLSU2016Assistant head coach, defensive coordinator and linebackers coach
Ed OrgeronLSU2016–⁠19Assistant head coach, defensive coordinator and linebackers coach
Coached under him, later head coaches (5)
CoachWith himHead coach at
Joey McGuireBaylor, 2020–⁠21: assistant head coach and outside linebackers coachTexas Tech
Larry FedoraBaylor, 2020: offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coachSouthern Miss, North Carolina, New Orleans Breakers
Ron RobertsBaylor, 2020–⁠22: defensive coordinator and inside linebackers coachDelta State, SE Louisiana
Gary PattersonBaylor, 2024: consultantTCU
Jake SpavitalBaylor, 2024–⁠26: offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coachTexas State
Other assistants under him (6)
CoachWith him
Brian StewartBaylor, 2020: cornerbacks coach
Jorge MunozBaylor, 2020: passing game coordinator and wide receivers coach
Matt PowledgeBaylor, 2020–⁠21: special teams coordinator and safeties coach; 2023–⁠25: defensive coordinator and safeties coach
Shawn BellBaylor, 2020: tight ends coach; 2021–⁠23: quarterbacks coach
Jeff GrimesBaylor, 2021–⁠23: offensive coordinator and tight ends coach
Joe KlandermanBaylor, 2026: defensive coordinator and safeties coach

From coaches’ Wikipedia infoboxes (CC BY-SA) and each season’s article for its coordinators: an assistant’s seasons at a school count under its head coach in our records; jobs in the NFL and elsewhere, under the head coach whose own article lists the job that year. Names without a page here link to their Wikipedia articles.

Pay

YearSchoolJobContract pay
2017LSUdefensive coordinatorbonuses up to $150,000$1,800,000 USA Today
2016LSUdefensive coordinatorbonuses up to $125,000$1,315,000 USA Today
2015Wisconsindefensive coordinatorbonuses up to $132,000$522,200 USA Today
2014Wisconsindefensive coordinatorbonuses up to $117,000$480,000 USA Today

USA Today’s coaches salary database (2014–⁠17, from public-records requests to the schools; Rachel Ehlers’ copy): the season’s contract pay, school pay plus outside money, before bonuses.

Pay of public employees in their public job only: head coaches, and assistants in the seasons our records name them a coordinator, at public universities.

How he coached

Aranda’s teams went for it on 39% of fourth downs and on 67% of those where the model said go for it, passed on 51% of plays and took 24.8 seconds a play, 2020–⁠2026.

SeasonWent for it on fourthWhen the model said goPass rateSeconds a playEPA a play
2020 9 g19 of 90 21%41%58%24.4−0.06
2021 14 g35 of 104 34%57%41%27.6+0.12
2022 13 g45 of 99 45%70%45%26.4+0.11
2023 12 g48 of 109 44%78%56%25.60.00
2024 13 g37 of 96 39%71%48%23.6+0.12
2025 12 g50 of 94 53%78%58%22.1+0.07
2026 6 g18 of 54 33%68%54%21.7−0.04
All 79 g252 of 646 39%67%51%24.8+0.06

His seasons as a head coach from 2004 on, from ESPN’s play by play: fourth downs where he went for it out of every fourth-down decision; how often he went when SportsDataverse’s fourth-down model said going for it was the better call; the share of his offense’s plays that were passes; seconds of game clock per offensive play (lower is faster); and expected points added per offensive play (EPA, a measure of how much each play moved the offense toward points). The season in progress counts its games so far. SportsDataverse’s coach tendencies, from ESPN’s play by play; the EPA and the fourth-down model are SportsDataverse’s.