
2016 TCU
6–7 (4–5 Big 12), coached by Gary Patterson. Share
Schedule and results
- Biggest upsetBeat No. 13 Baylor 62–22Nov 5
Baylor was ranked No. 13 and favored to win.
- Most excitingLost to Arkansas 38–41Sep 10
The win probability swung the most, by CollegeFootballData.com’s excitement index.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3 | vs | W 59–41 | 86% |
| Sep 10 | vs | L 38–41 | 67% |
| Sep 17 | vs | W 41–20 | 86% |
| Sep 23 | at | W 33–3 | 76% |
| Oct 1 | vs | L 46–52 | 66% |
| Oct 8 | at | W 24–23 | 85% |
| Oct 22 | at | L 10–34 | 45% |
| Oct 29 | vs | L 24–27 | 76% |
| Nov 5 | at | W 62–22 | 31% |
| Nov 19 | vs | L 6–31 | 58% |
| Nov 25 | at | W 31–9 | 59% |
| Dec 3 | vs | L 6–30 | 66% |
| Dec 30Bowls & playoff | vs | L 23–31 | 47% |
Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.
How it ended: Lost to Georgia 31–23 in the Liberty Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; 5th in the Big 12.
In program history: The 36th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 123 on file).
AP poll, week by week
- Wk 1: 13
- Wk 2: 15
- Wk 5: 21
- Record
- 6–7
- Conference
- 4–5 5th in Big 12
- AP final
- Unranked peak No. 13
- Points
- 403–364
- Coach
- Gary Patterson
- Elo
- 1585 −91 this season
- SP+ rating
- 11.0 No. 34 of 128; offense No. 37, defense No. 36, special teams No. 69
- SRS
- 4.4 No. 48 of 128 in FBS
- Returning
- 24% of last season’s EPA, No. 123 of 128
- Recruiting class
- No. 21 roster talent No. 30 in FBS
- Offensive coordinators
- Doug Meacham and Sonny Cumbie
- Defensive coordinator
- Chad Glasgow
- Offense
- Air raid
- Defense
- 4–2–5
How good, play by play
| EPA per play | Success | Explosiveness | FBS rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.13 | 45% | 1.16 | 53rd of 128 |
| Defense | 0.11 | 40% | 1.21 | 63rd of 128 |
| Opponent-adjusted | 0.12 off 0.09 def | 45% off 38% def | — | 53rd off 54th def |
How these are measured
Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.
Drives and havoc
| Points per trip inside the 40 | Average start | Havoc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 3.3 | own 29 | 15% allowed |
| Defense | 3.5 | own 28 | 16% caused |
CORE rating 2.5, 48th of 128 (offense -2.3, defense -4.8).
A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.
Leaders
| Passing yards | Kenny Hill QB | 3,208 yds |
| Passing touchdowns | Kenny Hill QB | 17 TD |
| Rushing yards | Kyle Hicks RB | 1,042 yds |
| Rushing touchdowns | Kyle Hicks RB | 12 TD |
| Receiving yards | Taj Williams WR | 702 yds |
| Receiving touchdowns | Jaelan Austin WR | 5 TD |
| Tackles | Travin Howard LB | 130 tkl |
| Sacks | Josh Carraway DE | 8 sacks |
| Interceptions | Nick Orr S | 4 INT |
Top recruits in the 2016 class
| Sewo Olonilua ATH | ★★★★ | No. 123 |
| Isaiah Chambers SDE | ★★★★ | No. 130 |
| Brandon Bowen WDE | ★★★★ | No. 148 |
| Austin Myers OT | ★★★★ | No. 242 |
| Ross Blacklock DT | ★★★★ | No. 250 |
| Isaiah Graham WR | ★★★★ | No. 310 |
| Darius Anderson RB | ★★★★ | No. 345 |
247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.
The 2016 class by position
| Signed | Stars | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterbacks | 1 | 3.0 | 0.861 |
| Running backs | 1 | 4.0 | 0.891 |
| Receivers | 3 | 3.3 | 0.873 |
| Offensive line | 3 | 3.3 | 0.875 |
| Defensive line | 4 | 3.8 | 0.907 |
| Defensive backs | 3 | 3.0 | 0.863 |
| Athletes and specialists | 2 | 3.5 | 0.907 |
| Whole class | 17 | 3.4 | 0.884 |
High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.
Drafted in 2017
The 2017 draft| Rd 7 | Josh Carraway OLB | Tennessee Titans |
Roster 119
The 2016 roster119 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 59 have a stat line. See the roster
All-Big 12
2 first team, 6 second teamFirst team
Josh CarrawayDLCoaches-1; Media-2
Travin HowardLBCoaches-1; Media-1
Second team
Austin SchlottmannCCoaches-2
Aaron CurryDLCoaches-2; Media-2
Ty SummersLBCoaches-2
Denzel JohnsonDBCoaches-2; Media-2
Nick OrrDBCoaches-2
Ranthony TexadaDBMedia-2
From Wikipedia’s 2016 all-conference team article, with the selectors that named each player (AP-1: the Associated Press’s first team).
2016 Big 12 standings
Conference page| Team | Conf. | Overall | AP final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9–0 | 11–2 | 5 | |
| 7–2 | 10–3 | 11 | |
| 7–2 | 10–3 | 18 | |
| 6–3 | 9–4 | ||
| 4–5 | 6–7 | ||
| 3–6 | 7–6 | ||
| 3–6 | 5–7 | ||
| 3–6 | 5–7 | ||
| 2–7 | 3–9 | ||
| 1–8 | 2–10 |
Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.