2016 TCU

6–⁠7 (4–⁠5 Big 12), coached by Gary Patterson.

Schedule and results

TCU in 2016, game by game: won vs. South Dakota State 59–41; lost vs. Arkansas 38–41; won vs. Iowa State 41–20; won at SMU 33–3; lost vs. Oklahoma 46–52; won at Kansas 24–23; lost at No. 12 West Virginia 10–34; lost vs. Texas Tech 24–27; won at No. 13 Baylor 62–22; lost vs. No. 13 Oklahoma State 6–31; won at Texas 31–9; lost vs. Kansas State 6–30; lost vs. Georgia 23–31+40−25Won 59–41 vs. South Dakota State+18South Dakota St…Lost 38–41 vs. Arkansas-3ArkansasWon 41–20 vs. Iowa State+21Iowa StateWon 33–3 at SMU+30SMULost 46–52 vs. Oklahoma-6OklahomaWon 24–23 at Kansas+1KansasLost 10–34 at No. 12 West Virginia-24No. 12 West VirginiaLost 24–27 vs. Texas Tech-3Texas TechWon 62–22 at No. 13 Baylor+40No. 13 BaylorLost 6–31 vs. No. 13 Oklahoma State-25No. 13 Oklahoma StateWon 31–9 at Texas+22TexasLost 6–30 vs. Kansas State-24Kansas StateLost 23–31 vs. Georgia-8Georgia
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below; orange marks an upset win.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 3vsSouth Dakota StateW 59–⁠4186%
Sep 10vsArkansasL 38–⁠4167%
Sep 17vsIowa StateW 41–⁠2086%
Sep 23atSMUW 33–⁠376%
Oct 1vsOklahomaL 46–⁠5266%
Oct 8atKansasW 24–⁠2385%
Oct 22at12West VirginiaL 10–⁠3445%
Oct 29vsTexas TechL 24–⁠2776%
Nov 5at13BaylorW 62–⁠2231%
Nov 19vs13Oklahoma StateL 6–⁠3158%
Nov 25atTexasW 31–⁠959%
Dec 3vsKansas StateL 6–⁠3066%
Dec 30vsGeorgiaLiberty BowlL 23–⁠3147%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Georgia 31–⁠23 in the Liberty Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; 5th in the Big 12.

In program history: The 36th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 123 on file).

AP poll, week by week

  1. Wk 1: 13
  2. Wk 2: 15
  3. Wk 5: 21
Record
6–⁠7
Conference
4–⁠5 5th in Big 12
AP final
Unranked peak No. 13
Points
403–⁠364
Coach
Gary Patterson
Elo
1585 −91 this season
SP+ rating
11.0 No. 34 of 128; offense No. 37, defense No. 36, special teams No. 69
SRS
4.4 No. 48 of 128 in FBS
Returning
24% of last season’s EPA, No. 123 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 21 roster talent No. 30 in FBS
Offensive coordinators
Doug Meacham and Sonny Cumbie
Defensive coordinator
Chad Glasgow
Offense
Air raid
Defense
4–⁠2–⁠5

How good, play by play

  • Offense53rd of 128
  • Defense63rd of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted53rd of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted54th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.1345%1.1653rd of 128
Defense0.1140%1.2163rd of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.12 off
0.09 def
45% off
38% def
—53rd off
54th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense3.3own 2915% allowed
Defense3.5own 2816% caused

CORE rating 2.5, 48th of 128 (offense -2.3, defense -4.8).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsKenny Hill QB3,208 yds
Passing touchdownsKenny Hill QB17 TD
Rushing yardsKyle Hicks RB1,042 yds
Rushing touchdownsKyle Hicks RB12 TD
Receiving yardsTaj Williams WR702 yds
Receiving touchdownsJaelan Austin WR5 TD
TacklesTravin Howard LB130 tkl
SacksJosh Carraway DE8 sacks
InterceptionsNick Orr S4 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Sewo Olonilua ATH★★★★No. 123
Isaiah Chambers SDE★★★★No. 130
Brandon Bowen WDE★★★★No. 148
Austin Myers OT★★★★No. 242
Ross Blacklock DT★★★★No. 250
Isaiah Graham WR★★★★No. 310
Darius Anderson RB★★★★No. 345

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks13.00.861
Running backs14.00.891
Receivers33.30.873
Offensive line33.30.875
Defensive line43.80.907
Defensive backs33.00.863
Athletes and specialists23.50.907
Whole class173.40.884

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2017

The 2017 draft
Rd 7Josh Carraway OLBTennessee Titans

Roster 119

The 2016 roster

119 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 59 have a stat line. See the roster

All-Big 12

2 first team, 6 second team

First team

Second team

From Wikipedia’s 2016 all-conference team article, with the selectors that named each player (AP-1: the Associated Press’s first team).

2016 Big 12 standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Oklahoma9–⁠011–⁠25
Oklahoma State7–⁠210–⁠311
West Virginia7–⁠210–⁠318
Kansas State6–⁠39–⁠4
TCU4–⁠56–⁠7
Baylor3–⁠67–⁠6
Texas Tech3–⁠65–⁠7
Texas3–⁠65–⁠7
Iowa State2–⁠73–⁠9
Kansas1–⁠82–⁠10

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.