CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2016 Baylor

7–⁠6 (3–⁠6 Big 12), coached by Jim Grobe.

Schedule and results

Baylor in 2016, game by game: won vs. Northwestern State 55–7; won vs. SMU 40–13; won at Rice 38–10; won vs. Oklahoma State 35–24; won at Iowa State 45–42; won vs. Kansas 49–7; lost at Texas 34–35; lost vs. TCU 22–62; lost at No. 9 Oklahoma 24–45; lost vs. Kansas State 21–42; lost vs. Texas Tech 35–54; lost at No. 14 West Virginia 21–24; won vs. Boise State 31–12+48−40Won 55–7 vs. Northwestern State+48Northwestern St…Won 40–13 vs. SMU+27SMUWon 38–10 at Rice+28RiceWon 35–24 vs. Oklahoma State+11Oklahoma StateWon 45–42 at Iowa State+3Iowa StateWon 49–7 vs. Kansas+42KansasLost 34–35 at Texas-1TexasLost 22–62 vs. TCU-40TCULost 24–45 at No. 9 Oklahoma-21No. 9 OklahomaLost 21–42 vs. Kansas State-21Kansas StateLost 35–54 vs. Texas Tech-19Texas TechLost 21–24 at No. 14 West Virginia-3No. 14 West VirginiaWon 31–12 vs. Boise State+19Boise State
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 2vsNorthwestern StateW 55–⁠791%
Sep 10vsSMUW 40–⁠1386%
Sep 16atRiceW 38–⁠1077%
Sep 24vsOklahoma StateW 35–⁠2470%
Oct 1atIowa StateW 45–⁠4277%
Oct 15vsKansasW 49–⁠793%
Oct 29atTexasL 34–⁠3569%
Nov 5vsTCUL 22–⁠6269%
Nov 12at9OklahomaL 24–⁠4533%
Nov 19vsKansas StateL 21–⁠4269%
Nov 25vsTexas TechL 35–⁠5469%
Dec 3at14West VirginiaL 21–⁠2427%
Dec 27Bowls & playoffvsBoise StateCactus BowlW 31–⁠1231%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Beat Boise State 31–⁠12 in the Cactus Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 6th in the Big 12.

In program history: The 33rd-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 121 on file).

AP poll, week by week

  1. Wk 1: 23
  2. Wk 2: 23
  3. Wk 3: 21
  4. Wk 4: 16
  5. Wk 5: 13
  6. Wk 6: 13
  7. Wk 7: 11
  8. Wk 8: 9
  9. Wk 9: 8
  10. Wk 10: 13
  11. Wk 11: 25
Record
7–⁠6
Conference
3–⁠6 tied for 6th in Big 12
AP final
Unranked peak No. 8
Points
450–⁠377
Coach
Jim Grobe
Elo
1567 −84 this season
SP+ rating
11.3 No. 32 of 128; offense No. 27, defense No. 40, special teams No. 109
SRS
5.0 No. 47 of 128 in FBS
Returning
58% of last season’s EPA, No. 83 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 40 roster talent No. 40 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Kendal Briles
Defensive coordinator
Phil Bennett
Offense
Veer and shoot
Defense
4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense37th of 128
  • Defense62nd of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted46th of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted52nd of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.1645%1.2237th of 128
Defense0.1143%1.1462nd of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.13 off
0.09 def		46% off
41% def		—46th off
52nd def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense3.8own 2915% allowed
Defense3.5own 2917% caused

CORE rating 6.9, 33rd of 128 (offense 3.6, defense -3.3).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsSeth Russell QB2,126 yds
Passing touchdownsSeth Russell QB20 TD
Rushing yardsTerence Williams RB1,048 yds
Rushing touchdownsTerence Williams RB11 TD
Receiving yardsK.D. Cannon WR1,215 yds
Receiving touchdownsK.D. Cannon WR13 TD
TacklesAiavion Edwards LB98 tkl
SacksK.J. Smith DE7 sacks
InterceptionsOrion Stewart S6 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Bravvion Roy DT★★★★No. 323
Zach Smith PRO★★★No. 374
Jared Atkinson WR★★★No. 401
Denzel Mims WR★★★No. 428
Grayland Arnold CB★★★No. 498

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks13.00.885
Receivers23.00.881
Defensive line33.00.840
Linebackers13.00.869
Defensive backs53.00.858
Whole class123.00.861

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2017

The 2017 draft
Rd 7Kyle Fuller CHouston Texans

Roster 105

The 2016 roster

105 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 63 have a stat line. See the roster

All-Big 12

4 first team, 1 second team

First team

Second team

From Wikipedia’s 2016 all-conference team article, with the selectors that named each player (AP-1: the Associated Press’s first team).

2016 Big 12 standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Oklahoma9–⁠011–⁠25
Oklahoma State7–⁠210–⁠311
West Virginia7–⁠210–⁠318
Kansas State6–⁠39–⁠4
TCU4–⁠56–⁠7
Baylor3–⁠67–⁠6
Texas Tech3–⁠65–⁠7
Texas3–⁠65–⁠7
Iowa State2–⁠73–⁠9
Kansas1–⁠82–⁠10

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.