CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2016 Oregon

4–⁠8 (2–⁠7 Pac-12), coached by Mark Helfrich.

Schedule and results

Oregon in 2016, game by game: won vs. UC Davis 53–28; won vs. Virginia 44–26; lost at Nebraska 32–35; lost vs. Colorado 38–41; lost at Washington State 33–51; lost vs. No. 5 Washington 21–70; lost at California 49–52; won vs. Arizona State 54–35; lost at USC 20–45; lost vs. Stanford 27–52; won at No. 11 Utah 30–28; lost at Oregon State 24–34+25−49Won 53–28 vs. UC Davis+25UC DavisWon 44–26 vs. Virginia+18VirginiaLost 32–35 at Nebraska-3NebraskaLost 38–41 vs. Colorado-3ColoradoLost 33–51 at Washington State-18Washington StateLost 21–70 vs. No. 5 Washington-49No. 5 WashingtonLost 49–52 at California-3CaliforniaWon 54–35 vs. Arizona State+19Arizona StateLost 20–45 at USC-25USCLost 27–52 vs. Stanford-25StanfordWon 30–28 at No. 11 Utah+2No. 11 UtahLost 24–34 at Oregon State-10Oregon State
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below; orange marks an upset win.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 3vsUC DavisW 53–⁠2894%
Sep 10vsVirginiaW 44–⁠2682%
Sep 17atNebraskaL 32–⁠3551%
Sep 24vsColoradoL 38–⁠4179%
Oct 1atWashington StateL 33–⁠5154%
Oct 8vs5WashingtonL 21–⁠7043%
Oct 21atCaliforniaL 49–⁠5243%
Oct 29vsArizona StateW 54–⁠3557%
Nov 5atUSCL 20–⁠4529%
Nov 12vsStanfordL 27–⁠5241%
Nov 19at11UtahW 30–⁠2823%
Nov 26atOregon StateL 24–⁠3464%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Oregon State 34–⁠24; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 9th in the Pac-12.

In program history: The 70th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 109 on file).

AP poll, week by week

  1. Wk 1: 24
  2. Wk 2: 24
  3. Wk 3: 22
Record
4–⁠8
Conference
2–⁠7 tied for 9th in Pac-12
AP final
Unranked peak No. 22
Points
425–⁠497
Coach
Mark Helfrich
Elo
1504 −136 this season
SP+ rating
6.1 No. 55 of 128; offense No. 6, defense No. 106, special teams No. 78
SRS
0.3 No. 63 of 128 in FBS
Returning
61% of last season’s EPA, No. 76 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 27 roster talent No. 21 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Matt Lubick
Defensive coordinator
Brady Hoke
Offense
No-huddle spread option
Defense
4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense18th of 128
  • Defense125th of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted15th of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted126th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.2145%1.3518th of 128
Defense0.2853%1.17125th of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.21 off
0.23 def		47% off
50% def		—15th off
126th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense3.8own 3117% allowed
Defense4.6own 2913% caused

CORE rating -2.4, 76th of 128 (offense 10.4, defense 12.8).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsJustin Herbert QB1,936 yds
Passing touchdownsJustin Herbert QB19 TD
Rushing yardsRoyce Freeman RB945 yds
Rushing touchdownsRoyce Freeman RB9 TD
Receiving yardsDarren Carrington II WR606 yds
Receiving touchdownsCharles Nelson WR5 TD
TacklesTroy Dye LB91 tkl
SacksTroy Dye LB7.5 sacks
InterceptionsBrenden Schooler DB4 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Dillon Mitchell WR★★★★No. 161
Tristen Wallace ATH★★★★No. 197
Bryson Young WDE★★★★No. 249
LaMar Winston OLB★★★★No. 255
Brady Breeze S★★★★No. 277
Darrian Franklin OLB★★★★No. 318

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks23.00.874
Receivers33.30.889
Offensive line33.00.852
Defensive line33.30.876
Linebackers33.70.896
Defensive backs33.00.846
Athletes and specialists33.30.858
Whole class203.20.870

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Roster 125

The 2016 roster

125 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 61 have a stat line. See the roster

2016 Pac-12 standings

TeamConf.OverallAP final
Washington8–⁠112–⁠24
Colorado8–⁠110–⁠417
USC7–⁠210–⁠33
Washington State7–⁠28–⁠5
Stanford6–⁠310–⁠312
Utah5–⁠49–⁠423
California3–⁠65–⁠7
Oregon State3–⁠64–⁠8
Arizona State2–⁠75–⁠7
Oregon2–⁠74–⁠8
UCLA2–⁠74–⁠8
Arizona1–⁠83–⁠9

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.