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2016 Ole Miss

5–⁠7 (2–⁠6 Southeastern Conference), coached by Hugh Freeze. Officially 0–⁠7: the NCAA vacated five regular-season wins.

From the season’s Wikipedia article: “On February 11, 2019, Ole Miss announced the vacation of all wins in the years 2010, 2011, 2012, and 2016.”

Schedule and results

Ole Miss in 2016, game by game: lost vs. No. 4 Florida State 34–45; won vs. Wofford 38–13; lost vs. No. 1 Alabama 43–48; won vs. No. 12 Georgia 45–14; won vs. Memphis 48–28; lost at No. 22 Arkansas 30–34; lost at No. 25 LSU 21–38; lost vs. No. 15 Auburn 29–40; won vs. Georgia Southern 37–27; won at No. 10 Texas A&M 29–28; lost at Vanderbilt 17–38; lost vs. Mississippi State 20–55+31−35Lost 34–45 vs. No. 4 Florida State-11No. 4 Florida StateWon 38–13 vs. Wofford+25WoffordLost 43–48 vs. No. 1 Alabama-5No. 1 AlabamaWon 45–14 vs. No. 12 Georgia+31No. 12 GeorgiaWon 48–28 vs. Memphis+20MemphisLost 30–34 at No. 22 Arkansas-4No. 22 ArkansasLost 21–38 at No. 25 LSU-17No. 25 LSULost 29–40 vs. No. 15 Auburn-11No. 15 AuburnWon 37–27 vs. Georgia Southern+10Georgia SouthernWon 29–28 at No. 10 Texas A&M+1No. 10 Texas A&MLost 17–38 at Vanderbilt-21VanderbiltLost 20–55 vs. Mississippi State-35Mississippi Sta…
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below; orange marks an upset win.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 5vs4Florida StateL 34–⁠4549%
Sep 10vsWoffordW 38–⁠13vacated89%
Sep 17vs1AlabamaL 43–⁠4834%
Sep 24vs12GeorgiaW 45–⁠14vacated54%
Oct 1vsMemphisW 48–⁠28vacated67%
Oct 15at22ArkansasL 30–⁠3453%
Oct 22at25LSUL 21–⁠3844%
Oct 29vs15AuburnL 29–⁠4055%
Nov 5vsGeorgia SouthernW 37–⁠27vacated73%
Nov 12at10Texas A&MW 29–⁠28vacated37%
Nov 19atVanderbiltL 17–⁠3870%
Nov 26vsMississippi StateL 20–⁠5563%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Mississippi State 55–⁠20; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 13th in the Southeastern Conference.

In program history: The 57th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 124 on file).

AP poll, week by week

  1. Wk 1: 11
  2. Wk 2: 19
  3. Wk 3: 19
  4. Wk 4: 23
  5. Wk 5: 16
  6. Wk 6: 14
  7. Wk 7: 12
  8. Wk 8: 23
Record
5–⁠7
Conference
2–⁠6 tied for 13th in Southeastern Conference
AP final
Unranked peak No. 11
Points
391–⁠408
Coach
Hugh Freeze
Elo
1537 −122 this season
SP+ rating
12.4 No. 25 of 128; offense No. 20, defense No. 62, special teams No. 21
SRS
5.6 No. 44 of 128 in FBS
Returning
77% of last season’s EPA, No. 39 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 5 roster talent No. 15 in FBS
Offensive coordinators
Matt Luke and Dan Werner
Defensive coordinators
Dave Wommack and Jason Jones
Offense
Spread (tempo)
Defense
Multiple

How good, play by play

  • Offense55th of 128
  • Defense109th of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted37th of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted96th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.1245%1.2055th of 128
Defense0.2245%1.34109th of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.16 off
0.15 def		47% off
43% def		—37th off
96th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense3.6own 3016% allowed
Defense3.8own 3015% caused

CORE rating 1.4, 56th of 128 (offense 6.5, defense 5.1).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsChad Kelly QB2,758 yds
Passing touchdownsChad Kelly QB19 TD
Rushing yardsAkeem Judd RB826 yds
Rushing touchdownsAkeem Judd RB6 TD
Receiving yardsEvan Engram TE926 yds
Receiving touchdownsEvan Engram TE8 TD
TacklesDeMarquis Gates LB79 tkl
SacksMarquis Haynes DE7 sacks
InterceptionsZedrick Woods DB3 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Greg Little OT★★★★★No. 3
Shea Patterson PRO★★★★★No. 4
Benito Jones DT★★★★★No. 25
A.J. Brown WR★★★★No. 36
Deontay Anderson S★★★★No. 52
D.K. Metcalf WR★★★★No. 110
Octavious Cooley TE★★★★No. 167
Tre Nixon WR★★★★No. 178

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks15.00.998
Running backs33.70.890
Receivers64.00.929
Offensive line63.70.902
Defensive line34.00.917
Linebackers13.00.864
Defensive backs43.50.905
Whole class243.80.912

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2017

The 2017 draft
Rd 1Evan Engram TENew York Giants
Rd 6D.J. Jones DTSan Francisco 49ers
Rd 6Derrick Jones CBNew York Jets
Rd 7Chad Kelly QBDenver Broncos

Roster 122

The 2016 roster

122 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 67 have a stat line. See the roster

All-SEC

1 first team, 2 second team

First team

Second team

From Wikipedia’s 2016 all-conference team article, with the selectors that named each player (AP-1: the Associated Press’s first team).

2016 Southeastern Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Alabama8–⁠014–⁠12
Florida6–⁠29–⁠414
LSU5–⁠38–⁠413
Auburn5–⁠38–⁠524
Tennessee4–⁠49–⁠422
Georgia4–⁠48–⁠5
Texas A&M4–⁠48–⁠5
Kentucky4–⁠47–⁠6
Arkansas3–⁠57–⁠6
Vanderbilt3–⁠56–⁠7
Mississippi State3–⁠56–⁠7
South Carolina3–⁠56–⁠7
Ole Miss2–⁠65–⁠7
Missouri2–⁠64–⁠8

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.