
2026 Duke
4–2 (1–2 Atlantic Coast Conference), coached by Manny Diaz. The season’s Wikipedia article records 4–1, over five games to the six on file here. Share
Schedule and results
- Biggest winBeat William & Mary 62–7Sep 26
By 55 points, its widest win.
- Most excitingLost to North Carolina 20–24Oct 17
The win probability swung the most, by CollegeFootballData.com’s excitement index.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | vs | W 17–3 | 56% |
| Sep 12 | at | W 31–27 | 46% |
| Sep 19 | vs | W 35–7 | 80% |
| Sep 26 | vs | W 62–7 | 91% |
| Oct 10 | at | L 25–28 | 63% |
| Oct 17 | vs | L 20–24 | 75% |
| Oct 23 | at | Preview | 51% |
| Oct 31 | vs | Preview | 77% |
| Nov 7 | at | Preview | 52% |
| Nov 14 | at | Preview | 22% |
| Nov 20 | vs | Preview | 60% |
| Nov 28 | at | Preview | 37% |
Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.
- Record
- 4–2
- Conference
- 1–2 tied for 11th in Atlantic Coast Conference
- AP now
- Unranked
- Points
- 190–96
- Coach
- Manny Diaz
- Elo
- 1602 +14 this season
- SP+ rating
- 8.2 No. 45 of 138; offense No. 41, defense No. 50, special teams No. 45
- SRS
- 6.6 No. 43 of 138 in FBS
- Returning
- 17% of last season’s EPA, No. 103 of 136
- Recruiting class
- No. 71 roster talent No. 69 in FBS
- Offensive coordinator
- Jonathan Brewer
- Defensive coordinator
- Jonathan Patke
How good, play by play
| EPA per play | Success | Explosiveness | FBS rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.19 | 41% | 1.28 | 36th of 138 |
| Defense | 0.05 | 42% | 1.08 | 50th of 138 |
| Opponent-adjusted | 0.11 off 0.06 def | 40% off 42% def | — | 56th off 43rd def |
Passing and running
| Pass success | Depth of target | Deep throws | Line yards | Stuffed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 45% | 7.7 yds | 15% | 3.30 | 13% |
| Defense | 46% | 7.0 yds | 7% | 2.70 | 16% |
How these are measured
Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played. Passing and running: depth of target is how far downfield passes traveled in the air; deep throws are the share thrown deep, of the passes whose depth and direction the play-by-play describes (about half); line yards are the running yards per carry credited to the blockers; stuffed is the share of carries stopped at or behind the line. The defense’s line is what its opponents did. From CollegeFootballData.com, 2025 on.
Drives and havoc
| Points per trip inside the 40 | Average start | Havoc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 4.3 | own 31 | 10% allowed |
| Defense | 3.1 | own 25 | 16% caused |
CORE rating 8.8, 31st of 138 (offense 1.8, defense -7.0).
A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.
Leaders
| Passing yards | Walker Eget QB | 1,229 yds |
| Passing touchdowns | Walker Eget QB | 8 TD |
| Rushing yards | Nate Sheppard RB | 820 yds |
| Rushing touchdowns | Nate Sheppard RB | 8 TD |
| Receiving yards | Nate Sheppard RB | 259 yds |
| Receiving touchdowns | Nate Sheppard RB | 4 TD |
| Tackles | Andrew Pellicciotta S | 33 tkl |
| Sacks | Bradley Gompers LB | 3 sacks |
| Interceptions | Evan Smith CB | 1 INT |
Top recruits in the 2026 class
| Sean Stover OL | ★★★★ | No. 347 |
| Obinna Umeh DE | ★★★★ | No. 353 |
| C.J. Givers RB | ★★★ | No. 586 |
| Terry Walker III QB | ★★★ | No. 608 |
| Lyrik Pettis S | ★★★ | No. 731 |
247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.
The 2026 class by position
| Signed | Stars | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterbacks | 1 | 3.0 | 0.884 |
| Running backs | 2 | 3.0 | 0.877 |
| Receivers | 3 | 3.0 | 0.872 |
| Offensive line | 1 | 4.0 | 0.901 |
| Defensive line | 3 | 3.3 | 0.885 |
| Linebackers | 1 | 3.0 | 0.868 |
| Defensive backs | 2 | 3.0 | 0.876 |
| Athletes and specialists | 2 | 3.0 | 0.841 |
| Whole class | 15 | 3.1 | 0.874 |
High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.
Roster 102
The 2026 roster102 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2026 line; 63 have a stat line. See the roster
Transfers in 19
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Transfers out 17
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And 5 more, lower-rated or unrated.
2026 Atlantic Coast Conference standings
Conference page| Team | Conf. | Overall | AP final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4–0 | 6–0 | ||
| 4–1 | 6–1 | ||
| 3–1 | 5–1 | ||
| 2–1 | 4–2 | ||
| 2–1 | 4–2 | ||
| 3–2 | 4–3 | ||
| 2–2 | 5–2 | ||
| 2–2 | 5–2 | ||
| 2–2 | 4–3 | ||
| 2–2 | 3–4 | ||
| 1–2 | 4–2 | ||
| 1–2 | 3–3 | ||
| 1–2 | 3–3 | ||
| 1–2 | 2–4 | ||
| 1–3 | 3–4 | ||
| 1–3 | 3–4 | ||
| 0–4 | 2–4 |
Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.