2016 Colorado State

7–⁠6 (5–⁠3 Mountain West Conference), coached by Mike Bobo.

Schedule and results

Colorado State in 2016, game by game: lost vs. Colorado 7–44; won vs. UTSA 23–14; won vs. Northern Colorado 47–21; lost at Minnesota 24–31; lost vs. Wyoming 17–38; won vs. Utah State 31–24; lost at No. 15 Boise State 23–28; won at UNLV 42–23; won vs. Fresno State 37–0; lost at Air Force 46–49; won vs. New Mexico 49–31; won at San Diego State 63–31; lost vs. Idaho 50–61+37−37Lost 7–44 vs. Colorado-37ColoradoWon 23–14 vs. UTSA+9UTSAWon 47–21 vs. Northern Colorado+26Northern Colora…Lost 24–31 at Minnesota-7MinnesotaLost 17–38 vs. Wyoming-21WyomingWon 31–24 vs. Utah State+7Utah StateLost 23–28 at No. 15 Boise State-5No. 15 Boise StateWon 42–23 at UNLV+19UNLVWon 37–0 vs. Fresno State+37Fresno StateLost 46–49 at Air Force-3Air ForceWon 49–31 vs. New Mexico+18New MexicoWon 63–31 at San Diego State+32San Diego StateLost 50–61 vs. Idaho-11Idaho
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 2vsColoradoL 7–⁠4463%
Sep 10vsUTSAW 23–⁠1465%
Sep 17vsNorthern ColoradoW 47–⁠2182%
Sep 24atMinnesotaL 24–⁠3135%
Oct 1vsWyomingL 17–⁠3871%
Oct 8vsUtah StateW 31–⁠2449%
Oct 15at15Boise StateL 23–⁠2817%
Oct 22atUNLVW 42–⁠2349%
Nov 5vsFresno StateW 37–⁠079%
Nov 12atAir ForceL 46–⁠4934%
Nov 19vsNew MexicoW 49–⁠3151%
Nov 26atSan Diego StateW 63–⁠3122%
Dec 22vsIdahoFamous Idaho Potato BowlL 50–⁠6165%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Idaho 61–⁠50 in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 5th in the Mountain West Conference.

In program history: The 31st-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 123 on file).

Record
7–⁠6
Conference
5–⁠3 tied for 5th in Mountain West Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
459–⁠395
Coach
Mike Bobo
Elo
1532 +24 this season
SP+ rating
0.8 No. 64 of 128; offense No. 44, defense No. 98, special teams No. 21
SRS
1.0 No. 59 of 128 in FBS
Returning
52% of last season’s EPA, No. 97 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 76 roster talent No. 90 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Will Friend
Defensive coordinator
Marty English
Offense
Pro-style
Defense
4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense20th of 128
  • Defense96th of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted31st of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted80th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.2045%1.2320th of 128
Defense0.1743%1.3596th of 128
Opponent-adjusted0.17 off
0.13 def
45% off
44% def
—31st off
80th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense4.2own 3213% allowed
Defense4.1own 2916% caused

CORE rating 1.0, 58th of 128 (offense 6.5, defense 5.5).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsNick Stevens QB1,936 yds
Passing touchdownsNick Stevens QB19 TD
Rushing yardsDalyn Dawkins RB919 yds
Rushing touchdownsIzzy Matthews RB13 TD
Receiving yardsMichael Gallup WR1,272 yds
Receiving touchdownsMichael Gallup WR14 TD
TacklesKevin Davis LB110 tkl
SacksToby McBride DL4 sacks
InterceptionsBraylin Scott DB3 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Christian Colon DT★★★No. 800
Collin Hill PRO★★★No. 836
Anthony Smith SDE★★★No. 877
Chris Gaston CB★★★No. 1263
Hunter Donnelly OLB★★★No. 1372

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks13.00.852
Running backs32.30.804
Receivers13.00.817
Offensive line13.00.803
Defensive line42.80.823
Linebackers23.00.818
Defensive backs32.70.815
Athletes and specialists22.50.798
Whole class172.70.815

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Roster 114

The 2016 roster

114 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 58 have a stat line. See the roster

2016 Mountain West Conference standings

TeamConf.OverallAP final
San Diego State6–⁠211–⁠325
Boise State6–⁠210–⁠3
New Mexico6–⁠29–⁠4
Wyoming6–⁠28–⁠6
Air Force5–⁠310–⁠3
Colorado State5–⁠37–⁠6
Hawai’i4–⁠47–⁠7
Nevada3–⁠55–⁠7
UNLV3–⁠54–⁠8
San José State3–⁠54–⁠8
Utah State1–⁠73–⁠9
Fresno State0–⁠81–⁠11

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.