2007 UCF

10–⁠4 (7–⁠1 Conference USA), coached by George O’Leary.

Schedule and results

UCF in 2007, game by game: won at NC State 25–23; lost vs. No. 6 Texas 32–35; won vs. Memphis 56–20; won vs. Louisiana 37–19; lost at East Carolina 38–52; lost at No. 5 South Florida 12–64; won vs. Tulsa 44–23; won at Southern Miss 34–17; won vs. Marshall 47–13; won at UAB 45–31; won at SMU 49–20; won vs. UTEP 36–20; won vs. Tulsa 44–25; lost vs. Mississippi State 3–10+36−52Won 25–23 at NC State+2NC StateLost 32–35 vs. No. 6 Texas-3No. 6 TexasWon 56–20 vs. Memphis+36MemphisWon 37–19 vs. Louisiana+18LouisianaLost 38–52 at East Carolina-14East CarolinaLost 12–64 at No. 5 South Florida-52No. 5 South FloridaWon 44–23 vs. Tulsa+21TulsaWon 34–17 at Southern Miss+17Southern MissWon 47–13 vs. Marshall+34MarshallWon 45–31 at UAB+14UABWon 49–20 at SMU+29SMUWon 36–20 vs. UTEP+16UTEPWon 44–25 vs. Tulsa+19TulsaLost 3–10 vs. Mississippi State-7Mississippi Sta…
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 1atNC StateW 25–⁠2338%
Sep 15vs6TexasL 32–⁠3523%
Sep 22vsMemphisW 56–⁠2057%
Sep 29vsLouisianaW 37–⁠1973%
Oct 6atEast CarolinaL 38–⁠5239%
Oct 13at5South FloridaL 12–⁠6418%
Oct 20vsTulsaW 44–⁠2341%
Oct 28atSouthern MissW 34–⁠1731%
Nov 3vsMarshallW 47–⁠1375%
Nov 10atUABW 45–⁠3172%
Nov 17atSMUW 49–⁠2071%
Nov 24vsUTEPW 36–⁠2082%
Dec 1vsTulsaConference USA Championship GameW 44–⁠2554%
Dec 29vsMississippi StateLiberty BowlL 3–⁠1061%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Mississippi State 10–⁠3 in the Liberty Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; Conference USA champions.

In program history: The 12th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 40 on file).

Conference USA champions7–⁠1 in the conference, won the Conference USA Championship Game

Led the nationKevin Smith: rushing yards (2,567 yds), rushing touchdowns (29 TD), points (180 pts), points per game (15.0)

Consensus All-AmericanKevin Smith, RB

Record
10–⁠4
Conference
7–⁠1 first in Conference USA
AP final
Unranked
Points
502–⁠372
Coach
George O’Leary
Elo
1572 +159 this season
SP+ rating
3.5 No. 58 of 120; offense No. 49, defense No. 66, special teams No. 13
SRS
5.4 No. 45 of 119 in FBS
Recruiting class
No. 57
Offensive coordinator
Tim Salem
Defensive coordinator
John Skladany

How good, play by play

  • Offense44th of 119
  • Defense25th of 119
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.0544%0.8044th of 119
Defense0.0040%0.9125th of 119
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense-0.1own 332% allowed
Defense0.0own 343% caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Top recruits in the 2007 class

A’Jami Guyton ATH★★★No. 752
Josh Linam ILB★★★No. 850
Joe Weatherford PRO★★★No. 879
Patrick Hanse DT★★★No. 1129
Sidney Haynes WR★★★No. 1167

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2007 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks22.50.811
Running backs12.00.767
Receivers52.40.766
Offensive line22.00.749
Defensive line42.30.768
Linebackers13.00.837
Defensive backs32.30.781
Athletes and specialists52.40.778
Whole class232.30.777

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2008

The 2008 draft
Rd 3Kevin Smith RBDetroit Lions
Rd 4Josh Sitton OTGreen Bay Packers
Rd 7Mike Merritt TEKansas City Chiefs

2007 Conference USA standings

TeamConf.OverallAP final
UCF7–⁠110–⁠4
Tulsa6–⁠210–⁠4
East Carolina6–⁠28–⁠5
Houston6–⁠28–⁠5
Memphis6–⁠27–⁠6
Southern Miss5–⁠37–⁠6
Tulane3–⁠54–⁠8
Marshall3–⁠53–⁠9
Rice3–⁠53–⁠9
UTEP2–⁠64–⁠8
UAB1–⁠72–⁠10
SMU0–⁠81–⁠11

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.