CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2021 Toledo

7–⁠6 (5–⁠3 Mid-American Conference), coached by Jason Candle.

Schedule and results

Toledo in 2021, game by game: won vs. Norfolk State 49–10; lost at No. 8 Notre Dame 29–32; lost vs. Colorado State 6–22; won at Ball State 22–12; won at Massachusetts 45–7; lost vs. Northern Illinois 20–22; lost at Central Michigan 23–26; won vs. Western Michigan 34–15; lost vs. Eastern Michigan 49–52; won at Bowling Green 49–17; won at Ohio 35–23; won vs. Akron 49–14; lost vs. Middle Tennessee 24–31+39−16Won 49–10 vs. Norfolk State+39Norfolk StateLost 29–32 at No. 8 Notre Dame-3No. 8 Notre DameLost 6–22 vs. Colorado State-16Colorado StateWon 22–12 at Ball State+10Ball StateWon 45–7 at Massachusetts+38MassachusettsLost 20–22 vs. Northern Illinois-2Northern Illino…Lost 23–26 at Central Michigan-3Central MichiganWon 34–15 vs. Western Michigan+19Western MichiganLost 49–52 vs. Eastern Michigan-3Eastern MichiganWon 49–17 at Bowling Green+32Bowling GreenWon 35–23 at Ohio+12OhioWon 49–14 vs. Akron+35AkronLost 24–31 vs. Middle Tennessee-7Middle Tennessee
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 4vsNorfolk StateW 49–⁠1083%
Sep 11at8Notre DameL 29–⁠3222%
Sep 18vsColorado StateL 6–⁠2273%
Sep 25atBall StateW 22–⁠1235%
Oct 2atMassachusettsW 45–⁠771%
Oct 9vsNorthern IllinoisL 20–⁠2272%
Oct 16atCentral MichiganL 23–⁠2647%
Oct 23vsWestern MichiganW 34–⁠1549%
Nov 2vsEastern MichiganL 49–⁠5263%
Nov 10atBowling GreenW 49–⁠1766%
Nov 16atOhioW 35–⁠2352%
Nov 27vsAkronW 49–⁠1488%
Dec 17Bowls & playoffvsMiddle TennesseeBahamas BowlL 24–⁠3163%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Middle Tennessee 31–⁠24 in the Bahamas Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 4th in the Mid-American Conference.

In program history: The 32nd-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 75 on file).

Record
7–⁠6
Conference
5–⁠3 tied for 4th in Mid-American Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
434–⁠283
Coach
Jason Candle
Elo
1524 +24 this season
SP+ rating
6.9 No. 56 of 130; offense No. 65, defense No. 21
SRS
0.4 No. 68 of 130 in FBS
Returning
71% of last season’s EPA, No. 70 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 67 roster talent No. 86 in FBS
Offensive coordinators
Mike Hallett and Robert Weiner
Defensive coordinators
Vince Kehres, Ross Watson and Craig Kuligowski
Offense
Spread
Defense
4–⁠2–⁠5

How good, play by play

  • Offense20th of 130
  • Defense20th of 130
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted45th of 130
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted30th of 130
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.2441%1.5020th of 130
Defense0.0537%1.2820th of 130
Opponent-adjusted0.18 off
0.09 def		38% off
39% def		—45th off
30th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense4.0own 2917% allowed
Defense3.2own 3020% caused

CORE rating 5.2, 48th of 130 (offense -1.6, defense -6.9).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsDequan Finn QB2,067 yds
Passing touchdownsDequan Finn QB18 TD
Rushing yardsBryant Koback RB1,400 yds
Rushing touchdownsBryant Koback RB15 TD
Receiving yardsDevin Maddox WR567 yds
Receiving touchdownsMatt Landers WR5 TD
TacklesMaxen Hook S96 tkl
SacksJamal Hines LB10 sacks
InterceptionsChris McDonald CB2 INT

Top recruits in the 2021 class

Trenton Adkins ATH★★★No. 650
Damon Ollison LB★★★No. 837
Willie Shaw RB★★★No. 861
Lennard Kuhl TE★★★No. 1072
Jaylin Mines S★★★No. 1099

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2021 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks13.00.821
Running backs13.00.863
Receivers42.80.832
Offensive line42.80.805
Defensive line53.00.828
Linebackers43.00.838
Defensive backs23.00.845
Athletes and specialists22.50.818
Whole class232.90.828

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2022

The 2022 draft
Rd 5Tycen Anderson SCincinnati Bengals
Rd 5Samuel Womack CBSan Francisco 49ers

Roster 108

The 2021 roster

108 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2021 line; 70 have a stat line. See the roster

Transfers in 5

The 2021 portal
Tucker Gleason QB★★★from Georgia Tech
Brayden Fox WR★★★from Rutgers
Judge Culpepper DL★★★from Penn State
Matt Landers WR★★★from Georgia
Ronald Delancy III S★★★from Nebraska

Transfers out 3

Gaige Hill DL★★★no new school on file
Jordan Hendy CB★★★to Pittsburg State
Ronnie Blackmon WR★★★no new school on file

2021 Mid-American Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Central Michigan6–⁠29–⁠4
Northern Illinois6–⁠29–⁠5
Kent State6–⁠27–⁠7
Toledo5–⁠37–⁠6
Miami (OH)5–⁠37–⁠6
Western Michigan4–⁠48–⁠5
Eastern Michigan4–⁠47–⁠6
Ball State4–⁠46–⁠7
Ohio3–⁠53–⁠9
Buffalo2–⁠64–⁠8
Bowling Green2–⁠64–⁠8
Akron1–⁠72–⁠10

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.