CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2018 Toledo

7–⁠6 (5–⁠3 Mid-American Conference), coached by Jason Candle.

Schedule and results

Toledo in 2018, game by game: won vs. VMI 66–3; lost vs. No. 21 Miami 24–49; won vs. Nevada 63–44; lost at Fresno State 27–49; won vs. Bowling Green 52–36; lost at Eastern Michigan 26–28; lost vs. Buffalo 17–31; won at Western Michigan 51–24; won vs. Ball State 45–13; lost at Northern Illinois 15–38; won at Kent State 56–34; won vs. Central Michigan 51–13; lost vs. Florida International 32–35+63−25Won 66–3 vs. VMI+63VMILost 24–49 vs. No. 21 Miami-25No. 21 MiamiWon 63–44 vs. Nevada+19NevadaLost 27–49 at Fresno State-22Fresno StateWon 52–36 vs. Bowling Green+16Bowling GreenLost 26–28 at Eastern Michigan-2Eastern MichiganLost 17–31 vs. Buffalo-14BuffaloWon 51–24 at Western Michigan+27Western MichiganWon 45–13 vs. Ball State+32Ball StateLost 15–38 at Northern Illinois-23Northern Illino…Won 56–34 at Kent State+22Kent StateWon 51–13 vs. Central Michigan+38Central MichiganLost 32–35 vs. Florida International-3Florida Interna…
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 1vsVMIW 66–⁠395%
Sep 15vs21MiamiL 24–⁠4956%
Sep 22vsNevadaW 63–⁠4474%
Sep 29atFresno StateL 27–⁠4940%
Oct 6vsBowling GreenW 52–⁠3684%
Oct 13atEastern MichiganL 26–⁠2859%
Oct 20vsBuffaloL 17–⁠3157%
Oct 25atWestern MichiganW 51–⁠2435%
Oct 31vsBall StateW 45–⁠1385%
Nov 7atNorthern IllinoisL 15–⁠3845%
Nov 15atKent StateW 56–⁠3474%
Nov 23vsCentral MichiganW 51–⁠1385%
Dec 21Bowls & playoffvsFlorida InternationalBahamas BowlL 32–⁠3556%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Florida International 35–⁠32 in the Bahamas Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 5th in the Mid-American Conference.

In program history: The 28th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 75 on file).

Record
7–⁠6
Conference
5–⁠3 tied for 5th in Mid-American Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
525–⁠397
Coach
Jason Candle
Elo
1539 −44 this season
SP+ rating
2.0 No. 66 of 130; offense No. 28, defense No. 102, special teams No. 26
SRS
0.0 No. 69 of 130 in FBS
Returning
53% of last season’s EPA, No. 85 of 130
Recruiting class
No. 67 roster talent No. 80 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Brian Wright
Defensive coordinator
Brian George
Offense
Spread
Defense
4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense46th of 130
  • Defense80th of 130
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted57th of 130
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted107th of 130
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.1345%1.2246th of 130
Defense0.1345%1.2080th of 130
Opponent-adjusted0.12 off
0.17 def		44% off
47% def		—57th off
107th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense3.9own 3516% allowed
Defense4.1own 2718% caused

CORE rating -2.8, 90th of 130 (offense 4.4, defense 7.2).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsEli Peters QB1,837 yds
Passing touchdownsEli Peters QB18 TD
Rushing yardsBryant Koback RB917 yds
Rushing touchdownsBryant Koback RB14 TD
Receiving yardsDiontae Johnson WR761 yds
Receiving touchdownsCody Thompson WR10 TD
TacklesRichard Olekanma LB86 tkl
SacksTuzar Skipper DL8.5 sacks
InterceptionsJamal Hines LB2 INT

Top recruits in the 2018 class

Jalynn Williams WR★★★No. 591
Carter Bradley PRO★★★No. 611
Derrius Mullins DT★★★No. 689
Jalin Cooper WR★★★No. 798
Lavel Dumont OT★★★No. 919

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2018 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks23.00.843
Receivers52.80.827
Offensive line62.80.822
Defensive line52.80.833
Linebackers53.00.832
Defensive backs23.00.813
Whole class252.90.828

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2019

The 2019 draft
Rd 3Diontae Johnson WRPittsburgh Steelers
Rd 6Ka’dar Hollman CBGreen Bay Packers

Roster 105

The 2018 roster

105 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2018 line; 70 have a stat line. See the roster

2018 Mid-American Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Buffalo7–⁠110–⁠4
Ohio6–⁠29–⁠4
Northern Illinois6–⁠28–⁠6
Miami (OH)6–⁠26–⁠6
Toledo5–⁠37–⁠6
Western Michigan5–⁠37–⁠6
Eastern Michigan5–⁠37–⁠6
Ball State3–⁠54–⁠8
Akron2–⁠64–⁠8
Bowling Green2–⁠63–⁠9
Kent State1–⁠72–⁠10
Central Michigan0–⁠81–⁠11

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.