2016 Rice
3–9 (2–6 Conference USA), coached by David Bailiff. Share
Schedule and results
- Biggest winBeat Prairie View A&M 65–44Oct 22
By 21 points, its widest win.
- Most excitingLost to North Texas 35–42Sep 24
The win probability swung the most, by CollegeFootballData.com’s excitement index.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1 | at Western Kentucky | L 14–46 | 19% |
| Sep 10 | at Army | L 14–31 | 41% |
| Sep 16 | vs 21Baylor | L 10–38 | 23% |
| Sep 24 | vs North Texas | L 35–42 | 65% |
| Oct 1 | at Southern Miss | L 28–44 | 20% |
| Oct 15 | vs UTSA | L 13–14 | 49% |
| Oct 22 | vs Prairie View A&M | W 65–44 | 49% |
| Oct 29 | at Louisiana Tech | L 16–61 | 17% |
| Nov 5 | vs Florida Atlantic | L 25–42 | 66% |
| Nov 12 | at Charlotte | W 22–21 | 41% |
| Nov 19 | vs UTEP | W 44–24 | 61% |
| Nov 26 | at Stanford | L 17–41 | 9% |
Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.
How it ended: Lost to Stanford 41–17; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 10th in the Conference USA.
In program history: The 91st-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 115 on file).
- Record
- 3–9
- Conference
- 2–6 tied for 10th in Conference USA
- AP final
- Unranked
- Points
- 303–448
- Coach
- David Bailiff
- Elo
- 1344 −87 this season
- SP+ rating
- -16.5 No. 121 of 128; offense No. 104, defense No. 119, special teams No. 85
- SRS
- −18.3 No. 126 of 128 in FBS
- Returning
- 45% of last season’s EPA, No. 102 of 128
- Recruiting class
- No. 129 roster talent No. 97 in FBS
- Offensive coordinators
- Larry Edmondson and Billy Lynch
- Defensive coordinator
- Chris Thurmond
- Offense
- Spread
- Defense
- 4–3
How good, play by play
| EPA per play | Success | Explosiveness | FBS rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.01 | 40% | 1.09 | 104th of 128 |
| Defense | 0.28 | 45% | 1.39 | 126th of 128 |
| Opponent-adjusted | 0.01 off 0.25 def | 39% off 45% def | — | 111th off 131st def |
How these are measured
Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.
Drives and havoc
| Points per trip inside the 40 | Average start | Havoc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 3.5 | own 29 | 18% allowed |
| Defense | 3.7 | own 31 | 15% caused |
CORE rating -17.8, 120th of 128 (offense -9.2, defense 8.5).
A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.
Leaders
| Passing yards | Tyler Stehling QB | 2,049 yds |
| Passing touchdowns | Tyler Stehling QB | 12 TD |
| Rushing yards | Samuel Stewart RB | 479 yds |
| Rushing touchdowns | Austin Walter RB | 4 TD |
| Receiving yards | Temi Alaka WR | 458 yds |
| Receiving touchdowns | Samuel Stewart RB | 3 TD |
| Tackles | Emmanuel Ellerbee LB | 111 tkl |
| Sacks | Emmanuel Ellerbee LB | 3.5 sacks |
| Interceptions | D Angelo Ellis DB | 1 INT |
Top recruits in the 2016 class
| Sam Glaesmann PRO | ★★★ | No. 1959 |
| Joseph Dill OG | ★★★ | No. 1969 |
| Javante Hubbard WDE | ★★ | No. 2247 |
| Elijah Garcia DT | ★★ | No. 2345 |
| D’Angelo Ellis CB | ★★ | No. 2457 |
247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.
The 2016 class by position
| Signed | Stars | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterbacks | 1 | 3.0 | 0.807 |
| Receivers | 4 | 2.0 | 0.769 |
| Offensive line | 4 | 2.3 | 0.781 |
| Defensive line | 2 | 2.0 | 0.791 |
| Linebackers | 3 | 2.0 | 0.772 |
| Defensive backs | 4 | 2.0 | 0.777 |
| Whole class | 18 | 2.1 | 0.778 |
High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.
Roster 104
The 2016 roster104 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 65 have a stat line. See the roster
2016 Conference USA standings
| Team | Conf. | Overall | AP final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | 7–1 | 11–3 | |
 Old Dominion | 7–1 | 10–3 | |
| Louisiana Tech | 6–2 | 9–5 | |
 Middle Tennessee | 5–3 | 8–5 | |
| UTSA | 5–3 | 6–7 | |
| Southern Miss | 4–4 | 7–6 | |
 Florida International | 4–4 | 4–8 | |
| North Texas | 3–5 | 5–8 | |
| Charlotte | 3–5 | 4–8 | |
| UTEP | 2–6 | 4–8 | |
 Marshall | 2–6 | 3–9 | |
| Florida Atlantic | 2–6 | 3–9 | |
 Rice | 2–6 | 3–9 |
Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.