CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2007 North Carolina

4–⁠8 (3–⁠5 Atlantic Coast Conference), coached by Butch Davis.

Schedule and results

North Carolina in 2007, game by game: won vs. James Madison 37–14; lost at East Carolina 31–34; lost vs. Virginia 20–22; lost at No. 23 South Florida 10–37; lost at No. 17 Virginia Tech 10–17; won vs. Miami 33–27; lost vs. No. 7 South Carolina 15–21; lost at Wake Forest 10–37; won vs. Maryland 16–13; lost at NC State 27–31; lost at Georgia Tech 25–27; won vs. Duke 20–14+23−27Won 37–14 vs. James Madison+23James MadisonLost 31–34 at East Carolina-3East CarolinaLost 20–22 vs. Virginia-2VirginiaLost 10–37 at No. 23 South Florida-27No. 23 South FloridaLost 10–17 at No. 17 Virginia Tech-7No. 17 Virginia TechWon 33–27 vs. Miami+6MiamiLost 15–21 vs. No. 7 South Carolina-6No. 7 South CarolinaLost 10–37 at Wake Forest-27Wake ForestWon 16–13 vs. Maryland+3MarylandLost 27–31 at NC State-4NC StateLost 25–27 at Georgia Tech-2Georgia TechWon 20–14 vs. Duke+6Duke
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 1vsJames MadisonW 37–⁠1456%
Sep 8atEast CarolinaL 31–⁠3438%
Sep 15vsVirginiaL 20–⁠2253%
Sep 22at23South FloridaL 10–⁠3723%
Sep 29at17Virginia TechL 10–⁠1717%
Oct 6vsMiamiW 33–⁠2734%
Oct 13vs7South CarolinaL 15–⁠2131%
Oct 27atWake ForestL 10–⁠3720%
Nov 3vsMarylandW 16–⁠1342%
Nov 10atNC StateL 27–⁠3136%
Nov 17atGeorgia TechL 25–⁠2722%
Nov 24vsDukeW 20–⁠1478%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Beat Duke 20–⁠14; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 8th in the Atlantic Coast Conference.

In program history: The 108th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 127 on file).

Record
4–⁠8
Conference
3–⁠5 tied for 8th in Atlantic Coast Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
254–⁠294
Coach
Butch Davis
Elo
1434 −2 this season
SP+ rating
1.9 No. 63 of 120; offense No. 82, defense No. 52, special teams No. 9
SRS
−0.4 No. 64 of 119 in FBS
Recruiting class
No. 10
Offensive coordinator
John Shoop
Defensive coordinator
Chuck Pagano
Captains
Kentwan Balmer, Connor Barth, Scott Lenahan, Garrett Reynolds and Hilee Taylor
Offense
Pro-style
Defense
4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense98th of 119
  • Defense57th of 119
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense-0.0340%0.8598th of 119
Defense0.0441%0.7957th of 119
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense-0.1own 323% allowed
Defense0.0own 342% caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Top recruits in the 2007 class

Marvin Austin DT★★★★★No. 4
Dwight Jones WR★★★★★No. 24
Greg Little ATH★★★★No. 76
Mike Paulus PRO★★★★No. 84
Tydreke Powell DT★★★★No. 97
Kevin Bryant OG★★★★No. 140
Rashad Mason WR★★★★No. 145

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2007 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks14.00.959
Receivers24.50.959
Offensive line43.00.840
Defensive line24.50.973
Defensive backs22.50.777
Athletes and specialists23.50.897
Whole class133.50.887

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2008

The 2008 draft
Rd 1Kentwan Balmer DTSan Francisco 49ers
Rd 7Hilee Taylor OLBCarolina Panthers

All-ACC

4 second team

Second team

From Wikipedia’s 2007 all-conference team article, with the selectors that named each player (AP-1: the Associated Press’s first team).

2007 Atlantic Coast Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Virginia Tech7–⁠111–⁠39
Boston College6–⁠211–⁠310
Virginia6–⁠29–⁠4
Wake Forest5–⁠39–⁠4
Clemson5–⁠39–⁠421
Georgia Tech4–⁠47–⁠6
Florida State4–⁠47–⁠6
Maryland3–⁠56–⁠7
NC State3–⁠55–⁠7
North Carolina3–⁠54–⁠8
Miami2–⁠65–⁠7
Duke0–⁠81–⁠11

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.