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2007 Michigan

9–⁠4 (6–⁠2 Big Ten), coached by Lloyd Carr, finished No. 18 in the AP poll.

Schedule and results

Michigan in 2007, game by game: lost vs. App State 32–34; lost vs. Oregon 7–39; won vs. Notre Dame 38–0; won vs. No. 10 Penn State 14–9; won at Northwestern 28–16; won vs. Eastern Michigan 33–22; won vs. Purdue 48–21; won at Illinois 27–17; won vs. Minnesota 34–10; won at Michigan State 28–24; lost at Wisconsin 21–37; lost vs. No. 7 Ohio State 3–14; won vs. No. 10 Florida 41–35+38−32Lost 32–34 vs. App State-2App StateLost 7–39 vs. Oregon-32OregonWon 38–0 vs. Notre Dame+38Notre DameWon 14–9 vs. No. 10 Penn State+5No. 10 Penn StateWon 28–16 at Northwestern+12NorthwesternWon 33–22 vs. Eastern Michigan+11Eastern MichiganWon 48–21 vs. Purdue+27PurdueWon 27–17 at Illinois+10IllinoisWon 34–10 vs. Minnesota+24MinnesotaWon 28–24 at Michigan State+4Michigan StateLost 21–37 at Wisconsin-16WisconsinLost 3–14 vs. No. 7 Ohio State-11No. 7 Ohio StateWon 41–35 vs. No. 10 Florida+6No. 10 Florida
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below; orange marks an upset win.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 1vsApp StateL 32–⁠3478%
Sep 8vsOregonL 7–⁠3968%
Sep 15vsNotre DameW 38–⁠063%
Sep 22vs10Penn StateW 14–⁠953%
Sep 29atNorthwesternW 28–⁠1666%
Oct 6vsEastern MichiganW 33–⁠2289%
Oct 13vsPurdueW 48–⁠2165%
Oct 20atIllinoisW 27–⁠1767%
Oct 27vsMinnesotaW 34–⁠1086%
Nov 3atMichigan StateW 28–⁠2468%
Nov 10atWisconsinL 21–⁠3750%
Nov 17vs7Ohio StateL 3–⁠1443%
Jan 1Bowls & playoffvs10FloridaCapital One BowlW 41–⁠3537%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Beat Florida 41–⁠35 in the Capital One Bowl; No. 18 in the final AP poll; tied for 2nd in the Big Ten.

In program history: The 60th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 140 on file).

AP poll, week by week

  1. Wk 1: 5
  2. Wk 8: 24
  3. Wk 9: 19
  4. Wk 10: 15
  5. Wk 11: 13
  6. Wk 12: 23
  7. Final: 18

Consensus All-AmericanJake Long, OT

Bobby Dodd Coach of the YearLloyd Carr, coach

Record
9–⁠4
Conference
6–⁠2 tied for 2nd in Big Ten
AP final
No. 18 peak No. 5
Points
354–⁠278
Coach
Lloyd Carr
Elo
1683 +26 this season
SP+ rating
13.3 No. 28 of 120; offense No. 36, defense No. 24, special teams No. 98
SRS
9.0 No. 25 of 119 in FBS
Recruiting class
No. 11
Offensive coordinator
Mike DeBord
Defensive coordinator
Ron English
Captains
Shawn Crable, Mike Hart and Jake Long
Most valuable player
Mike Hart
Offense
Multiple
Defense
Multiple

How good, play by play

  • Offense80th of 119
  • Defense26th of 119
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.0138%0.9780th of 119
Defense0.0039%0.8426th of 119
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense0.0own 332% allowed
Defense-0.1own 302% caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Top recruits in the 2007 class

Ryan Mallett PRO★★★★★No. 5
Donovan Warren CB★★★★★No. 29
Michael Williams S★★★★No. 93
Toney Clemons WR★★★★No. 113
Junior Hemingway WR★★★★No. 162
Ryan Van Bergen SDE★★★★No. 168

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2007 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks15.00.998
Receivers33.70.911
Offensive line13.00.838
Defensive line14.00.922
Linebackers13.00.800
Defensive backs34.00.926
Whole class103.80.907

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2008

The 2008 draft
Rd 1Jake Long OTMiami Dolphins
Rd 2Chad Henne QBMiami Dolphins
Rd 3Shawn Crable OLBNew England Patriots
Rd 3Mario Manningham WRNew York Giants
Rd 6Mike Hart RBIndianapolis Colts
Rd 7Adrian Arrington WRNew Orleans Saints

All-Big Ten

4 first team, 3 second team

First team

Second team

From Wikipedia’s 2007 all-conference team article, with the selectors that named each player (AP-1: the Associated Press’s first team).

2007 Big Ten standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Ohio State7–⁠111–⁠25
Michigan6–⁠29–⁠418
Illinois6–⁠29–⁠420
Wisconsin5–⁠39–⁠424
Penn State4–⁠49–⁠4
Iowa4–⁠46–⁠6
Purdue3–⁠58–⁠5
Michigan State3–⁠57–⁠6
Indiana3–⁠57–⁠6
Northwestern3–⁠56–⁠6
Minnesota0–⁠81–⁠11

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.