2016 Illinois

3–⁠9 (2–⁠7 Big Ten), coached by Lovie Smith.

Schedule and results

Illinois in 2016, game by game: won vs. Murray State 52–3; lost vs. North Carolina 23–48; lost vs. Western Michigan 10–34; lost at No. 15 Nebraska 16–31; lost vs. Purdue 31–34; won at Rutgers 24–7; lost at No. 3 Michigan 8–41; lost vs. Minnesota 17–40; won vs. Michigan State 31–27; lost at No. 7 Wisconsin 3–48; lost vs. Iowa 0–28; lost at Northwestern 21–42+49−45Won 52–3 vs. Murray State+49Murray StateLost 23–48 vs. North Carolina-25North CarolinaLost 10–34 vs. Western Michigan-24Western MichiganLost 16–31 at No. 15 Nebraska-15No. 15 NebraskaLost 31–34 vs. Purdue-3PurdueWon 24–7 at Rutgers+17RutgersLost 8–41 at No. 3 Michigan-33No. 3 MichiganLost 17–40 vs. Minnesota-23MinnesotaWon 31–27 vs. Michigan State+4Michigan StateLost 3–48 at No. 7 Wisconsin-45No. 7 WisconsinLost 0–28 vs. Iowa-28IowaLost 21–42 at Northwestern-21Northwestern
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Northwestern 42–⁠21; unranked in the final AP poll; 11th in the Big Ten.

In program history: The 116th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 135 on file).

Record
3–⁠9
Conference
2–⁠7 11th in Big Ten
AP final
Unranked
Points
236–⁠383
Coach
Lovie Smith
Elo
1378 −80 this season
SP+ rating
-6.7 No. 94 of 128; offense No. 105, defense No. 77, special teams No. 56
SRS
−8.4 No. 97 of 128 in FBS
Returning
69% of last season’s EPA, No. 60 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 73 roster talent No. 64 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Garrick McGee
Defensive coordinator
Hardy Nickerson
Offense
Multiple
Defense
4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense123rd of 128
  • Defense65th of 128
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted123rd of 128
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted70th of 128
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense-0.0737%1.28123rd of 128
Defense0.1247%1.0765th of 128
Opponent-adjusted-0.02 off
0.11 def
39% off
45% def
—123rd off
70th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense2.9own 3019% allowed
Defense3.4own 3417% caused

CORE rating -8.3, 98th of 128 (offense -6.5, defense 1.7).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsWes Lunt QB1,376 yds
Passing touchdownsWes Lunt QB8 TD
Rushing yardsKendrick Foster RB720 yds
Rushing touchdownsKendrick Foster RB7 TD
Receiving yardsMalik Turner WR712 yds
Receiving touchdownsMalik Turner WR6 TD
TacklesHardy Nickerson LB107 tkl
SacksCarroll Phillips DL9 sacks
InterceptionsDarius Mosely DB2 INT

Top recruits in the 2016 class

Zarrian Holcombe TE★★★No. 695
Dele Harding ILB★★★No. 712
Eli Peters PRO★★★No. 983
Tre Nation FB★★★No. 1071
Kurt Gavin OT★★★No. 1085

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2016 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks13.00.846
Running backs13.00.842
Receivers52.80.817
Offensive line53.00.824
Defensive line43.00.826
Linebackers42.80.813
Defensive backs32.30.793
Athletes and specialists13.00.809
Whole class242.80.818

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2017

The 2017 draft
Rd 3Dawaune Smoot DEJacksonville Jaguars

97 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2016 line; 60 have a stat line. See the roster

All-Big Ten

1 first team

First team

From Wikipedia’s 2016 all-conference team article, with the selectors that named each player (AP-1: the Associated Press’s first team).

2016 Big Ten standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Ohio State8–⁠111–⁠26
Penn State8–⁠111–⁠37
Wisconsin7–⁠211–⁠39
Michigan7–⁠210–⁠310
Nebraska6–⁠39–⁠4
Iowa6–⁠38–⁠5
Minnesota5–⁠49–⁠4
Northwestern5–⁠47–⁠6
Indiana4–⁠56–⁠7
Maryland3–⁠66–⁠7
Illinois2–⁠73–⁠9
Michigan State1–⁠83–⁠9
Purdue1–⁠83–⁠9
Rutgers0–⁠92–⁠10

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.