CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2004 Arizona State

9–⁠3 (5–⁠3 Pac-10), coached by Dirk Koetter, finished No. 19 in the AP poll.

Schedule and results

Arizona State in 2004, game by game: won vs. UTEP 41–9; won at Northwestern 30–21; won vs. No. 16 Iowa 44–7; won vs. Oregon State 27–14; won at Oregon 28–13; lost at No. 1 USC 7–45; won vs. UCLA 48–42; lost at No. 7 California 0–27; won vs. Stanford 34–31; won vs. Washington State 45–28; lost at Arizona 27–34; won vs. Purdue 27–23+37−38Won 41–9 vs. UTEP+32UTEPWon 30–21 at Northwestern+9NorthwesternWon 44–7 vs. No. 16 Iowa+37No. 16 IowaWon 27–14 vs. Oregon State+13Oregon StateWon 28–13 at Oregon+15OregonLost 7–45 at No. 1 USC-38No. 1 USCWon 48–42 vs. UCLA+6UCLALost 0–27 at No. 7 California-27No. 7 CaliforniaWon 34–31 vs. Stanford+3StanfordWon 45–28 vs. Washington State+17Washington StateLost 27–34 at Arizona-7ArizonaWon 27–23 vs. Purdue+4Purdue
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below; orange marks an upset win.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 2vsUTEPW 41–⁠980%
Sep 11atNorthwesternW 30–⁠2146%
Sep 18vs16IowaW 44–⁠738%
Sep 25vsOregon StateW 27–⁠1457%
Oct 2atOregonW 28–⁠1351%
Oct 16at1USCL 7–⁠4522%
Oct 23vsUCLAW 48–⁠4265%
Oct 30at7CaliforniaL 0–⁠2734%
Nov 6vsStanfordW 34–⁠3172%
Nov 13vsWashington StateW 45–⁠2864%
Nov 26atArizonaL 27–⁠3476%
Dec 31Bowls & playoffvsPurdueSun BowlW 27–⁠2341%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Beat Purdue 27–⁠23 in the Sun Bowl; No. 19 in the final AP poll; tied for 3rd in the Pac-10.

In program history: The 29th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 93 on file).

AP poll, week by week

  1. Wk 5: 22
  2. Wk 6: 21
  3. Wk 7: 19
  4. Wk 8: 15
  5. Wk 9: 21
  6. Wk 10: 20
  7. Wk 11: 23
  8. Wk 12: 20
  9. Wk 13: 20
  10. Wk 14: 18
  11. Wk 15: 21
  12. Final: 19
Record
9–⁠3
Conference
5–⁠3 tied for 3rd in Pac-10
AP final
No. 19 peak No. 15
Points
358–⁠294
Coach
Dirk Koetter
Elo
1607 +123 this season
SP+ rating
20.7 No. 10 of 120; offense No. 13, defense No. 29
SRS
15.3 No. 10 of 119 in Division I-A
Recruiting class
No. 23
Defensive coordinator
Brent Guy
Captains
Drew Hodgdon, Ishmael Thrower, Jimmy Verdon and Andrew Walter

How good, play by play

  • Offense57th of 118
  • Defense45th of 118
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense-0.0735%1.0857th of 118
Defense-0.0635%1.0245th of 118
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense-0.1own 332% allowed
Defense-0.1own 293% caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Top recruits in the 2004 class

Zach Miller TE★★★★★No. 26
Angelo Fobbs-Valentino S★★No. 831
Brent Russum OG★★No. 831
John Lehman OG★★No. 979
Dale Robinson ILB★★No. 979

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2004 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Receivers15.00.989
Offensive line22.00.778
Defensive line12.00.767
Linebackers12.00.767
Defensive backs12.00.789
Whole class62.50.811

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2005

The 2005 draft
Rd 3Andrew Walter QBOakland Raiders
Rd 5Drew Hodgdon CHouston Texans
Rd 7Jimmy Verdon DENew Orleans Saints

All-Pac-10

2 first team, 4 second team

First team

  • Grayling LoveOLCoaches-1
  • Riccardo StewartDBCoaches-1

Second team

From Wikipedia’s 2004 all-conference team article, with the selectors that named each player (AP-1: the Associated Press’s first team).

2004 Pac-10 standings

TeamConf.OverallAP final
USC8–⁠013–⁠01
California7–⁠110–⁠29
Arizona State5–⁠39–⁠319
Oregon State5–⁠37–⁠5
UCLA4–⁠46–⁠6
Oregon4–⁠45–⁠6
Washington State3–⁠55–⁠6
Stanford2–⁠64–⁠7
Arizona2–⁠63–⁠8
Washington0–⁠81–⁠10

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.