Nate Noel

Expected points added: how much the player’s plays moved the team’s expected score, per play and in total. Plays: total EPA divided by EPA per play, the plays the source credits to him (for a receiver roughly his catches and runs, not every target; for a passer, not every attempt), so it can differ from attempts plus carries. Percentile: against the position’s regulars that season across all divisions on file (quarterbacks with 150+ plays, backs 60+, receivers and tight ends 30+), with how many there were (n) and their median; a dash means too few plays to rank. A season in progress uses the full-season bar scaled by games played, never below 75 plays for quarterbacks, 30 for backs and 20 for receivers. The cohort grows or shrinks with the source’s coverage each season (2025 lists far more players), so compare percentiles rather than raw EPA across years. FCS seasons are marked. Usage: the share of the team’s plays the player was part of (shown from 20 plays). Adjusted pass and rush: EPA per play adjusted for the defenses faced (CollegeFootballData’s WEPA). From CollegeFootballData, 2013 on.

2024 Missouri 11 games, 818 rushing yards, 3 TD

Date	Opponent	Result	Car	Yds	TD	Long	Rec	Rec yds
Aug 29	vs.Murray State	W 51–⁠0	11	48	1	9	4	20
Sep 7	vs.Buffalo	W 38–⁠0	12	73	1	12	4	−3
Sep 14	vs.Boston College	W 27–⁠21	22	121	0	24	1	9
Sep 21	vs.Vanderbilt	W 30–⁠27	24	199	0	64	3	8
Oct 5	atTexas A&M	L 10–⁠41	10	30	0	15	2	11
Oct 19	vs.Auburn	W 21–⁠17	6	32	0	15	–	–
Nov 9	vs.Oklahoma	W 30–⁠23	10	31	0	10	–	–
Nov 16	atSouth Carolina	L 30–⁠34	27	150	1	23	1	−1
Nov 23	atMississippi State	W 39–⁠20	25	95	0	15	–	–
Nov 30	vs.Arkansas	W 28–⁠21	10	25	0	10	–	–
Dec 30 ✦	vs.Iowa	W 27–⁠24	6	14	0	4	–	–

2023 App State 11 games, 825 rushing yards, 5 TD

Date	Opponent	Result	Car	Yds	TD	Long	Rec	Rec yds
Sep 2	vs.Gardner-Webb	W 45–⁠24	24	115	1	16	–	–
Sep 9	atNorth Carolina	L 34–⁠40	26	127	2	18	1	9
Sep 16	vs.East Carolina	W 43–⁠28	26	178	1	68	3	18
Sep 23	atWyoming	L 19–⁠22	30	107	0	18	2	4
Sep 30	atUL Monroe	W 41–⁠40	18	109	0	35	3	16
Oct 10	vs.Coastal Carolina	L 24–⁠27	1	1	0	1	1	4
Oct 28	vs.Southern Miss	W 48–⁠38	3	8	0	8	–	–
Nov 4	vs.Marshall	W 31–⁠9	11	26	0	11	2	18
Nov 11	atGeorgia State	W 42–⁠14	10	86	1	61	1	2
Nov 18	atJames Madison	W 26–⁠23	10	21	0	5	1	4
Dec 2	atTroy	L 23–⁠49	14	47	0	16	2	11

2022 App State 9 games, 604 rushing yards, 6 TD

Date	Opponent	Result	Car	Yds	TD	Long	Rec	Rec yds
Sep 3	vs.North Carolina	L 61–⁠63	14	116	2	52	2	17
Sep 24	vs.James Madison	L 28–⁠32	6	13	1	5	–	–
Oct 8	atTexas State	L 24–⁠36	5	19	0	6	10	50
Oct 19	vs.Georgia State	W 42–⁠17	15	69	0	11	2	12
Oct 29	vs.Robert Morris	W 42–⁠3	5	88	0	40	1	5
Nov 3	atCoastal Carolina	L 28–⁠35	6	31	0	12	3	19
Nov 12	atMarshall	L 21–⁠28	18	72	0	9	2	7
Nov 19	vs.Old Dominion	W 27–⁠14	6	25	0	9	2	1
Nov 26	atGeorgia Southern	L 48–⁠51	12	171	3	51	2	34

2021 App State 14 games, 1,128 rushing yards, 4 TD

Date	Opponent	Result	Car	Yds	TD	Long	Rec	Rec yds
Sep 2	vs.East Carolina	W 33–⁠19	15	126	0	46	1	3
Sep 11	atMiami	L 23–⁠25	16	51	0	9	2	11
Sep 18	vs.Elon	W 44–⁠10	17	73	0	16	1	4
Sep 23	vs.Marshall	W 31–⁠30	20	187	0	41	1	−3
Oct 2	atGeorgia State	W 45–⁠16	12	74	1	23	2	−1
Oct 12	atLouisiana	L 13–⁠41	17	44	0	12	–	–
Oct 20	vs.Coastal Carolina	W 30–⁠27	16	82	0	39	–	–
Oct 30	vs.UL Monroe	W 59–⁠28	17	132	1	26	–	–
Nov 6	atArkansas State	W 48–⁠14	23	122	1	20	–	–
Nov 13	vs.South Alabama	W 31–⁠7	7	22	0	8	–	–
Nov 20	atTroy	W 45–⁠7	15	102	1	24	1	2
Nov 27	vs.Georgia Southern	W 27–⁠3	9	21	0	7	–	–
Dec 4	atLouisiana	L 16–⁠24	12	42	0	14	–	–
Dec 18 ✦	vs.Western Kentucky	L 38–⁠59	3	50	0	47	–	–

2020 App State 10 games, 510 rushing yards, 3 TD

Date	Opponent	Result	Car	Yds	TD	Long	Rec	Rec yds
Sep 26	vs.Campbell	W 52–⁠21	14	131	1	24	–	–
Oct 22	vs.Arkansas State	W 45–⁠17	4	6	0	3	–	–
Oct 31	atUL Monroe	W 31–⁠13	5	15	0	8	–	–
Nov 7	atTexas State	W 38–⁠17	3	23	0	15	1	16
Nov 14	vs.Georgia State	W 17–⁠13	5	8	0	2	–	–
Nov 21	atCoastal Carolina	L 23–⁠34	11	46	0	10	1	9
Nov 28	vs.Troy	W 47–⁠10	12	80	0	13	–	–
Dec 4	vs.Louisiana	L 21–⁠24	12	72	1	33	–	–
Dec 12	atGeorgia Southern	W 34–⁠26	13	103	1	70	–	–
Dec 21 ✦	vs.North Texas	W 56–⁠28	3	26	0	19	–	–

Box scores from CollegeFootballData, 2004 on. ✦ postseason; ★ a career high on file.

Pre-draft measurables: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA).