Middle Tennessee at Florida International
Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 7:00 PM ET Share
Middle Tennessee plays at Florida International on Tuesday, October 20, at 7 p.m. Eastern. It will be their 22nd meeting; Middle Tennessee leads the series 14–7 as played.
Game notes: the series, streaks, the coaches and school records within reach, from the research desk.
Upcoming at Pitbull Stadium, MiamiForecast at kickoff: 79°F, mostly clear, NE wind 13 mphNational Weather Service forecast, Sun 4:47 PM ETTV: CBSSN
Preview
| Middle Tennessee | Florida International | |
|---|---|---|
| 3–3 | Record | 3–3 |
| 0.13 (80th) | EPA per play | 0.03 (113th) |
| 0.22 (125th) | EPA per play allowed | −0.03 (29th) |
| 39% (114th) | Success rate | 39% (108th) |
| 49% (132nd) | Success rate allowed | 35% (32nd) |
| 1.26 (47th) | Explosiveness | 1.14 (112th) |
| 3.9 (68th) | Points per trip inside the 40 | 2.8 (124th) |
| 11% (136th) | Havoc caused | 18% (37th) |
| 0.05 | Opponent-adjusted EPA | 0.01 |
| 0.15 | Opponent-adjusted EPA allowed | 0.01 |
Middle Tennessee
| Player | Share | EPA/play | Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Gagliano QB | 99% | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| Roman Gagliano QB | 11% | 0.35 | |
| Brooklen Davis RB | 10% | 0.03 | |
| Cam’Ron Lacy WR | 28% | 0.45 | |
| Terrence Brown RB | 14% | 0.00 | |
| Neo Clifton WR | 11% | 0.57 |
Kicker: Dominic Bourgeois, 3.4 points above a replacement kicker on six field-goal tries.
Florida International
| Player | Share | EPA/play | Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Kohl QB | 94% | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| Anthony Carrie RB | 39% | −0.09 | 0.03 |
| Devonte Lyons RB | 30% | −0.04 | 0.04 |
| Maguire Anderson WR | 24% | 0.76 | |
| James Resar TE | 14% | −0.12 | |
| JoJo Stone WR | 12% | 0.36 |
Kicker: Robert Czeremcha, 4.7 points above a replacement kicker on 13 field-goal tries.
Each side’s numbers this season, with its rank in the nation (first is best, on defense too), from CollegeFootballData.com’s game preview, as of October 15. The better side of each line is bold. Key players are each side’s leading passer, two leading runners and three leading receivers by share of plays. Adjusted: EPA per play adjusted for the defenses faced.
Players to watch
Middle Tennessee
- QuarterbackRoman Gagliano1,204 passing yards, 11 TDLast: vs. Delaware, 22 of 32, 291 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT; 4 carries, 22 yards, 1 TD
- Running backAntonio Martin433 rushing yards, 1 TDLast: vs. Delaware, 11 carries, 48 yards
- LinebackerKorey Smith56 tackles, 1 sackLast: vs. Delaware, 10 tackles, 1 sack
Florida International
- QuarterbackJ.J. Kohl1,458 passing yards, 7 TDLast: at Jacksonville State, 24 of 38, 278 yards, 2 TD; 5 carries, 16 yardsTeam leader in passing yards
- ReceiverMaguire Anderson33 catches, 535 yards, 4 TDLast: at Jacksonville State, 8 catches, 133 yards, 2 TDTeam leader in receiving yards
- Defensive backDeandre Boykins37 tackles, 1 INTLast: at Jacksonville State, 8 tacklesTeam leader in tackles
Each side’s two top producers this season (national leaders first) and its leading tackler.
Before kickoff
Our ratings and the line, going in
Our ratings (scores only)
Florida International 71% to win.
The line
Florida International −10.5, over/under 45.5.
Updated once a night until kickoff: the consensus line when the books publish one, otherwise a single major sportsbook’s.
Win chances before kickoff: Florida International 77%, Middle Tennessee 23%. CollegeFootballData.com’s estimate from the point spread.
Officially, Middle Tennessee leads 14–6; as played, 14–7 in 21 meetings.
Around this game
Middle Tennessee
- Next gamevs. Kennesaw StateOct. 28, 2026
- SeasonMiddle Tennessee in 2026
- ProgramMiddle Tennessee history and records
Florida International
- Next gameat LibertyOct. 31, 2026
- SeasonFlorida International in 2026
- ProgramFlorida International history and records