East Carolina at Memphis

Thursday, October 22, 2026, 7:30 PM ET

East Carolina plays at Memphis on Thursday, October 22, at 7:30 p.m. Eastern. It will be their 27th meeting; East Carolina leads the series 18–⁠8.

AwayEast Carolina3–⁠3 in 2026
HomeMemphis5–⁠2 in 2026

Upcoming at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, MemphisForecast at kickoff: 75°F, clear, NNE wind 5 mphNational Weather Service forecast, Mon 1:15 AM ETTV: ESPN2

Preview

East CarolinaMemphis
3–⁠3Record5–⁠2
−0.00 (124th)EPA per play0.19 (53rd)
−0.04 (24th)EPA per play allowed0.05 (65th)
38% (123rd)Success rate49% (27th)
34% (13th)Success rate allowed38% (49th)
1.21 (88th)Explosiveness1.24 (64th)
2.8 (122nd)Points per trip inside the 404.2 (45th)
21% (10th)Havoc caused17% (52nd)
0.04Opponent-adjusted EPA0.21
0.05Opponent-adjusted EPA allowed0.07

East Carolina

PlayerShareEPA/playAdjusted
Emory Williams QB73%0.10
TJ Engleman RB35%0.360.25
Ashton Gray RB24%−0.040.15
Nathaniel Joseph WR24%0.17
Jeremiah Melvin WR22%0.10
Tyler Johnson WR11%−0.37

Kicker: Noah Perez, 2.7 points below a replacement kicker on six field-goal tries.

Memphis

PlayerShareEPA/playAdjusted
Marcus Stokes QB95%0.440.36
Jaylin Carter RB39%0.320.42
Manny Covey RB19%−0.070.10
Braylon Burnside WR18%0.90
Jermane Hayes WR16%0.45
Hunter Tipton TE14%1.03

Kicker: Philippe Laforge, 2.0 points above a replacement kicker on eight field-goal tries.

Each side’s numbers this season, with its rank in the nation (first is best, on defense too), from CollegeFootballData.com’s game preview, as of October 17. The better side of each line is bold. Key players are each side’s leading passer, two leading runners and three leading receivers by share of plays. Adjusted: EPA per play adjusted for the defenses faced.

Players to watch

East Carolina

Memphis

Each side’s two top producers this season (national leaders first) and its leading tackler.

Before kickoff

Our ratings and the line, going in

Our ratings (scores only)

Memphis 63% to win.

The line

Memphis −9.5, over/under 53.5.

Updated once a night until kickoff: the consensus line when the books publish one, otherwise a single major sportsbook’s.

Win chances before kickoff: Memphis 74%, East Carolina 26%. CollegeFootballData.com’s estimate from the point spread.

East Carolina leads 18–⁠8 in 26 meetings.

Recent meetings
2025East Carolina 31, Memphis 27
2022East Carolina 47, Memphis 45
2021East Carolina 30, Memphis 29
2018Memphis 59, East Carolina 41
2017Memphis 70, East Carolina 13
2012East Carolina 41, Memphis 7

Around this game

East Carolina

Memphis