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NC State at Stanford

Friday, October 23, 2026, 10:30 PM ET

NC State plays at Stanford on Friday, October 23, at 10:30 p.m. Eastern. It will be their second meeting; NC State leads the series 1–⁠0.

Game notes: the series, streaks, the coaches and school records within reach, from the research desk.

AwayNC State3–⁠3 in 2026
HomeStanford3–⁠4 in 2026

Upcoming at Stanford Stadium, StanfordForecast at kickoff: 62°F, clear, NW wind 9 mphNational Weather Service forecast, Mon 2:26 AM ETTV: ESPN

Preview

NC StateStanford
3–⁠3Record3–⁠4
0.19 (48th)EPA per play0.09 (94th)
0.16 (110th)EPA per play allowed0.32 (138th)
46% (45th)Success rate39% (120th)
42% (90th)Success rate allowed48% (130th)
1.24 (66th)Explosiveness1.20 (86th)
4.2 (50th)Points per trip inside the 403.5 (90th)
16% (65th)Havoc caused11% (133rd)
0.08Opponent-adjusted EPA0.05
0.19Opponent-adjusted EPA allowed0.24

NC State

PlayerShareEPA/playAdjusted
CJ Bailey QB92%0.370.22
Jayden Scott RB31%0.130.13
Davion Gause RB28%−0.080.04
Keenan Jackson WR17%1.01
Joshisa Trader WR16%0.53
Preston Douglas TE14%0.72

Kicker: Kanoah Vinesett, 4.4 points above a replacement kicker on seven field-goal tries.

Stanford

PlayerShareEPA/playAdjusted
Davis Warren QB95%0.210.20
Micah Ford RB58%0.110.10
Sedrick Irvin RB22%0.090.14
Nico Brown WR17%0.39
Caden High WR16%0.61
Benjamin Blackburn TE16%0.10

Kicker: Emmet Kenney, 2.4 points below a replacement kicker on six field-goal tries.

Each side’s numbers this season, with its rank in the nation (first is best, on defense too), from CollegeFootballData.com’s game preview, as of October 18. The better side of each line is bold. Key players are each side’s leading passer, two leading runners and three leading receivers by share of plays. Adjusted: EPA per play adjusted for the defenses faced.

Players to watch

NC State

Stanford

Each side’s two top producers this season (national leaders first) and its leading tackler. Photos: Wikimedia Commons, free licenses; credits on each player’s page.

Before kickoff

Our ratings and the line, going in

Our ratings (scores only)

NC State 55% to win.

The line

NC State −7.5, over/under 55.5.

Updated once a night until kickoff: the consensus line when the books publish one, otherwise a single major sportsbook’s.

Win chances before kickoff: NC State 70%, Stanford 30%. CollegeFootballData.com’s estimate from the point spread.

The series

Every NC State–Stanford game

NC State leads 1–⁠0 in their only meeting.

Around this game

NC State

Stanford