Zach Arnett

Zach Arnett went 5–⁠6 as a head coach, 2022–⁠2023, at Mississippi State.

Record
5–⁠6 career
Seasons
2
Schools
1
Final AP top 10
0 seasons
Born
Sep 10, 1986
Alma mater
New Mexico 2009
Best season
2022 9–⁠4, No. 20

Season by season

Wins and losses each seasonfinal AP rank above★ national titleline: the team’s Elo at season’s end, best 1622 in 2022
SeasonSchoolRecordConference finishBowlAP final
2022Mississippi State bowl game1–⁠0ReliaQuest Bowl W20
2023Mississippi State coached 10 of 12 games4–⁠6

Each season links to the team’s season page; bowls and playoff games link to the game. Conference finishes from the Wikipedia article’s record table.

Players he coached

Every player from his seasons with a Heisman top-five finish, a national award, consensus All-America honors or a first-round pick. Photos: Wikimedia Commons, free licenses; credits on each player’s page.

How his teams did

Kind of gameGamesRecord
Against ranked teams20–⁠2
Against rivals20–⁠2
Conference games71–⁠6
Bowls and playoffs11–⁠0
Decided by 8 points or fewer32–⁠1
At home63–⁠3
On the road41–⁠3
At neutral sites11–⁠0
As our Elo’s favorite74–⁠3
As our Elo’s underdog41–⁠3

His own 11 games on file, 2022–⁠2023, as played (vacated wins counted, ties as half a win). Ranks are the AP poll going into the game; rivals are the ones either program’s Wikipedia article names; favorite and underdog by our own Elo rating, which reads only scores.

Most-faced opponents

OpponentGamesRecord
Arkansasseries11–⁠0
Arizonaseries11–⁠0
Illinoisseries11–⁠0
SE Louisianaseries11–⁠0
Western Michiganseries11–⁠0
Auburnseries10–⁠1
Kentuckyseries10–⁠1
LSUseries10–⁠1

How he was hired

Power-conference head-coaching hires since 2010, with each coach’s previous job and ties to the school as collected by hand from Wikipedia: Hiring facts: M. Schuckers, cfb_coach_analytics.

Also a player: Zach Arnett’s playing career.

Career

YearsTeamJob
2011–⁠13San Diego StateGraduate assistant
2014–⁠17San Diego StateLinebackers coach
2018–⁠19San Diego StateDefensive coordinator and linebackers coach
2020Mississippi StateDefensive coordinator and linebackers coach
2021–⁠22Mississippi StateDefensive coordinator and safeties coach
2022Mississippi StateHead coach
2023Mississippi StateHead coach
2024Ole MissAnalyst
2025Florida StateAnalyst
2026–presentMississippi StateDefensive coordinator

Every job as the infobox of his Wikipedia article lists it (CC BY-SA), assistant jobs included. Head-coaching seasons the infobox leaves out come from our records.

Coaching tree

Worked under

Zach Arnett

Assistants who became head coaches

Worked under (5)
Head coachTeamYearsHis job
Rocky LongSan Diego State2011–⁠192011–⁠13: graduate assistant; 2014–⁠17: linebackers coach; 2018–⁠19: defensive coordinator and linebackers coach
Mike LeachMississippi State2020–⁠222020: defensive coordinator and linebackers coach; 2021–⁠22: defensive coordinator and safeties coach
Lane KiffinOle Miss2024Analyst
Mike NorvellFlorida State2025Analyst
Jeff LebbyMississippi State2026Defensive coordinator
Coached under him, later head coaches (2)
CoachWith himHead coach at
Jay HopsonMississippi State, 2022: defensive assistant and DHSRSouthern Miss, Alcorn State
Greg KnoxMississippi State, 2023: SOAMississippi State, Florida
Other assistants under him (6)
CoachWith him
Darcel McBathMississippi State, 2022–⁠23: cornerbacks coach
Jason WashingtonMississippi State, 2022: running backs coach
Matt BrockMississippi State, 2022: linebackers coach; 2023: defensive coordinator and linebackers coach
Ryan LindleyMississippi State, 2022: defensive analyst
Steve Spurrier Jr.Mississippi State, 2022: outside wide receivers
Kevin BarbayMississippi State, 2023: offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach

From coaches’ Wikipedia infoboxes (CC BY-SA) and each season’s article for its coordinators: an assistant’s seasons at a school count under its head coach in our records; jobs in the NFL and elsewhere, under the head coach whose own article lists the job that year. Names without a page here link to their Wikipedia articles.

How he coached

Arnett’s teams went for it on 23% of fourth downs and on 39% of those where the model said go for it, passed on 50% of plays and took 26.8 seconds a play, in 2023.

SeasonWent for it on fourthWhen the model said goPass rateSeconds a playEPA a play
2023 12 g24 of 104 23%39%50%26.8−0.04

His seasons as a head coach from 2004 on, from ESPN’s play by play: fourth downs where he went for it out of every fourth-down decision; how often he went when SportsDataverse’s fourth-down model said going for it was the better call; the share of his offense’s plays that were passes; seconds of game clock per offensive play (lower is faster); and expected points added per offensive play (EPA, a measure of how much each play moved the offense toward points). The season in progress counts its games so far. SportsDataverse’s coach tendencies, from ESPN’s play by play; the EPA and the fourth-down model are SportsDataverse’s.