CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2004 Toledo

9–⁠4 (7–⁠1 Mid-American Conference), coached by Tom Amstutz.

Schedule and results

Toledo in 2004, game by game: lost at Minnesota 21–63; lost at Kansas 14–63; won at Eastern Michigan 42–32; won vs. Temple 45–17; won vs. Ball State 52–14; won at Western Michigan 59–33; won vs. Ohio 31–13; won vs. Central Michigan 27–22; lost at Miami (OH) 16–23; won at Northern Illinois 31–17; won vs. Bowling Green 49–41; won vs. Miami (OH) 35–27; lost vs. UConn 10–39+38−49Lost 21–63 at Minnesota-42MinnesotaLost 14–63 at Kansas-49KansasWon 42–32 at Eastern Michigan+10Eastern MichiganWon 45–17 vs. Temple+28TempleWon 52–14 vs. Ball State+38Ball StateWon 59–33 at Western Michigan+26Western MichiganWon 31–13 vs. Ohio+18OhioWon 27–22 vs. Central Michigan+5Central MichiganLost 16–23 at Miami (OH)-7Miami (OH)Won 31–17 at Northern Illinois+14Northern Illino…Won 49–41 vs. Bowling Green+8Bowling GreenWon 35–27 vs. Miami (OH)+8Miami (OH)Lost 10–39 vs. UConn-29UConn
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 4atMinnesotaL 21–⁠6338%
Sep 11atKansasL 14–⁠6350%
Sep 18atEastern MichiganW 42–⁠3261%
Sep 25vsTempleW 45–⁠1774%
Oct 2vsBall StateW 52–⁠1472%
Oct 9atWestern MichiganW 59–⁠3363%
Oct 16vsOhioW 31–⁠1376%
Oct 23vsCentral MichiganW 27–⁠2285%
Nov 2atMiami (OH)L 16–⁠2337%
Nov 9atNorthern IllinoisW 31–⁠1735%
Nov 23vsBowling GreenW 49–⁠4150%
Dec 2vsMiami (OH)Mid-American Championship GameW 35–⁠2745%
Dec 27Bowls & playoffvsUConnMotor City BowlL 10–⁠3966%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to UConn 39–⁠10 in the Motor City Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; Mid-American Conference champions.

In program history: The 14th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 75 on file).

Mid-American Conference champions7–⁠1 in the conference, won the Mid-American Championship Game

Record
9–⁠4
Conference
7–⁠1 shared first in Mid-American Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
432–⁠404
Coach
Tom Amstutz
Elo
1595 +50 this season
SP+ rating
0.3 No. 65 of 120; offense No. 23, defense No. 96
SRS
−4.8 No. 79 of 119 in Division I-A
Recruiting class
No. 75
Offensive coordinator
Rob Spence
Defensive coordinator
Lou West

How good, play by play

  • Offense82nd of 118
  • Defense97th of 118
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense-0.1330%1.1582nd of 118
Defense0.0542%0.9897th of 118
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense-0.1own 293% allowed
Defense0.0own 361% caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Top recruits in the 2004 class

Bernard Faithful OLB★★No. 831
Alfred Martin DT★★No. 831
Billy Relford CB★★No. 831
Nick Moore WR★★No. 831
Sean Zabinski OT★★No. 979

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2004 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Running backs22.00.756
Receivers22.00.778
Offensive line32.00.763
Defensive line32.00.774
Linebackers22.00.778
Defensive backs62.00.759
Whole class182.00.766

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2005

The 2005 draft
Rd 3Nick Kaczur OTNew England Patriots

2004 Mid-American Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Northern Illinois7–⁠19–⁠3
Toledo7–⁠19–⁠4
Miami (OH)7–⁠18–⁠5
Bowling Green6–⁠29–⁠3
Akron6–⁠26–⁠5
Marshall6–⁠26–⁠6
Kent State4–⁠45–⁠6
Eastern Michigan4–⁠44–⁠7
Central Michigan3–⁠54–⁠7
Ohio2–⁠64–⁠7
Ball State2–⁠62–⁠9
Buffalo2–⁠62–⁠9
Western Michigan0–⁠81–⁠10
UCF0–⁠80–⁠11

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.