2021 Texas State

4–⁠8 (3–⁠5 Sun Belt Conference), coached by Jake Spavital.

Schedule and results

Texas State in 2021, game by game: lost vs. Baylor 20–29; won at Florida International 23–17; lost vs. Incarnate Word 34–42; lost at Eastern Michigan 21–59; won vs. South Alabama 33–31; lost vs. Troy 28–31; lost at Georgia State 16–28; lost at Louisiana 0–45; won vs. UL Monroe 27–19; lost vs. Georgia Southern 30–38; lost at Coastal Carolina 21–35; won at Arkansas State 24–22+8−45Lost 20–29 vs. Baylor-9BaylorWon 23–17 at Florida International+6Florida Interna…Lost 34–42 vs. Incarnate Word-8Incarnate WordLost 21–59 at Eastern Michigan-38Eastern MichiganWon 33–31 vs. South Alabama+2South AlabamaLost 28–31 vs. Troy-3TroyLost 16–28 at Georgia State-12Georgia StateLost 0–45 at Louisiana-45LouisianaWon 27–19 vs. UL Monroe+8UL MonroeLost 30–38 vs. Georgia Southern-8Georgia SouthernLost 21–35 at Coastal Carolina-14Coastal CarolinaWon 24–22 at Arkansas State+2Arkansas State
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Beat Arkansas State 24–⁠22; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 5th in the Sun Belt Conference.

In program history: The 12th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 46 on file).

Record
4–⁠8
Conference
3–⁠5 tied for 5th in Sun Belt Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
277–⁠396
Coach
Jake Spavital
Elo
1332 −48 this season
SP+ rating
-16.0 No. 118 of 130; offense No. 110, defense No. 120
SRS
−15.2 No. 118 of 130 in FBS
Returning
88% of last season’s EPA, No. 32 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 183 roster talent No. 97 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Jacob Peeler
Defensive coordinator
Zac Spavital
Offense
Air raid
Defense
3–⁠4

How good, play by play

  • Offense91st of 130
  • Defense112th of 130
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted105th of 130
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted124th of 130
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.0839%1.2391st of 130
Defense0.2747%1.19112th of 130
Opponent-adjusted0.07 off
0.26 def
38% off
48% def
—105th off
124th def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense4.0own 2719% allowed
Defense4.0own 3214% caused

CORE rating -18.8, 117th of 130 (offense -5.7, defense 13.2).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsBrady McBride QB1,507 yds
Passing touchdownsBrady McBride QB12 TD
Rushing yardsCalvin Hill RB714 yds
Rushing touchdownsJahmyl Jeter RB8 TD
Receiving yardsJaven Banks WR548 yds
Receiving touchdownsJaven Banks WR5 TD
TacklesMarkeveon Coleman LB81 tkl
SacksIsaiah Nixon LB4 sacks
InterceptionsDeJordan Mask DB1 INT

Top recruits in the 2021 class

Ronnie Hamrick II CB★★★No. 1123
Nace Washington LB★★★No. 1919
Javen Ware S

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2021 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Linebackers13.00.824
Defensive backs13.00.852
Whole class23.00.838

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

94 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2021 line; 59 have a stat line. See the roster

Transfers in 19

The 2021 portal

And 7 more, lower-rated or unrated.

Transfers out 15

Aaron Reynolds CB★★★no new school on file
Anthony Smith ILB★★★to Abilene Christian
Derrick Ray DE★★★no new school on file
Hal Vinson LB★★★no new school on file
Jakharious Smith DE★★★no new school on file
Jaylen Gipson QB★★★to North Alabama
John Brannon ILB★★★to Abilene Christian
Maureese Wren LB★★★no new school on file
Pierce Withers S★★★no new school on file
Clayton Stewart K★★no new school on file
Grid Isidore Jr. S★★no new school on file
Isaiah Karriem LB★★to West Alabama

And 3 more, lower-rated or unrated.

2021 Sun Belt Conference standings

TeamConf.OverallAP final
Louisiana8–⁠013–⁠116
App State7–⁠110–⁠4
Coastal Carolina6–⁠211–⁠2
Georgia State6–⁠28–⁠5
Troy3–⁠55–⁠7
Texas State3–⁠54–⁠8
South Alabama2–⁠65–⁠7
UL Monroe2–⁠64–⁠8
Georgia Southern2–⁠63–⁠9
Arkansas State1–⁠72–⁠10

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.