2021 Oregon State

7–⁠6 (5–⁠4 Pac-12), coached by Jonathan Smith.

Schedule and results

Oregon State in 2021, game by game: lost at Purdue 21–30; won vs. Hawai’i 45–27; won vs. Idaho 42–0; won at USC 45–27; won vs. Washington 27–24; lost at Washington State 24–31; won vs. Utah 42–34; lost at California 25–39; lost at Colorado 34–37; won vs. Stanford 35–14; won vs. Arizona State 24–10; lost at No. 11 Oregon 29–38; lost vs. Utah State 13–24+42−14Lost 21–30 at Purdue-9PurdueWon 45–27 vs. Hawai’i+18Hawai’iWon 42–0 vs. Idaho+42IdahoWon 45–27 at USC+18USCWon 27–24 vs. Washington+3WashingtonLost 24–31 at Washington State-7Washington StateWon 42–34 vs. Utah+8UtahLost 25–39 at California-14CaliforniaLost 34–37 at Colorado-3ColoradoWon 35–14 vs. Stanford+21StanfordWon 24–10 vs. Arizona State+14Arizona StateLost 29–38 at No. 11 Oregon-9No. 11 OregonLost 13–24 vs. Utah State-11Utah State
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 4atPurdueL 21–⁠3042%
Sep 11vsHawai’iW 45–⁠2748%
Sep 18vsIdahoW 42–⁠079%
Sep 25atUSCW 45–⁠2726%
Oct 2vsWashingtonW 27–⁠2452%
Oct 9atWashington StateL 24–⁠3150%
Oct 23vsUtahW 42–⁠3440%
Oct 30atCaliforniaL 25–⁠3954%
Nov 6atColoradoL 34–⁠3758%
Nov 13vsStanfordW 35–⁠1463%
Nov 20vsArizona StateW 24–⁠1046%
Nov 27at11OregonL 29–⁠3828%
Dec 18vsUtah StateLA BowlL 13–⁠2443%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to Utah State 24–⁠13 in the LA Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; 6th in the Pac-12.

In program history: The 47th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 110 on file).

Record
7–⁠6
Conference
5–⁠4 6th in Pac-12
AP final
Unranked
Points
406–⁠335
Coach
Jonathan Smith
Elo
1514 +67 this season
SP+ rating
8.9 No. 44 of 130; offense No. 16, defense No. 87
SRS
5.0 No. 43 of 130 in FBS
Returning
85% of last season’s EPA, No. 44 of 128
Recruiting class
No. 108 roster talent No. 48 in FBS
Offensive coordinator
Brian Lindgren
Defensive coordinator
Tim Tibesar
Offense
Spread
Defense
Multiple 4–⁠2–⁠5

How good, play by play

  • Offense24th of 130
  • Defense91st of 130
  • Offense, opponent-adjusted23rd of 130
  • Defense, opponent-adjusted92nd of 130
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense0.2350%1.1724th of 130
Defense0.1844%1.2591st of 130
Opponent-adjusted0.22 off
0.17 def
49% off
43% def
—23rd off
92nd def
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense4.8own 2813% allowed
Defense3.9own 2916% caused

CORE rating 4.6, 52nd of 130 (offense 7.9, defense 3.3).

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.

Leaders

Passing yardsChance Nolan QB2,677 yds
Passing touchdownsChance Nolan QB19 TD
Rushing yardsB.J. Baylor RB1,337 yds
Rushing touchdownsB.J. Baylor RB13 TD
Receiving yardsTrevon Bradford WR631 yds
Receiving touchdownsTrevon Bradford WR5 TD
TacklesAvery Roberts LB123 tkl
SacksAndrzej Hughes-Murray LB6 sacks
InterceptionsAlex Austin DB2 INT

Top recruits in the 2021 class

Damir Collins RB★★★No. 422
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold LB★★★No. 453
Sam Vidlak QB★★★No. 732
Jason White OT★★★No. 756
Jimmy Valsin III WR★★★No. 881

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2021 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Quarterbacks13.00.867
Running backs13.00.888
Receivers23.00.854
Offensive line23.00.847
Defensive line13.00.839
Linebackers13.00.885
Defensive backs13.00.833
Athletes and specialists22.50.817
Whole class112.90.850

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

Drafted in 2022

The 2022 draft
Rd 5Teagan Quitoriano TEHouston Texans

Roster 120

The 2021 roster

120 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2021 line; 57 have a stat line. See the roster

2021 Pac-12 standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Utah8–⁠110–⁠412
Oregon7–⁠210–⁠422
UCLA6–⁠38–⁠4
Arizona State6–⁠38–⁠5
Washington State6–⁠37–⁠6
Oregon State5–⁠47–⁠6
California4–⁠55–⁠7
USC3–⁠64–⁠8
Washington3–⁠64–⁠8
Colorado3–⁠64–⁠8
Stanford2–⁠73–⁠9
Arizona1–⁠81–⁠11

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.