CollegeFootballDigestfrom CooperSearch

2004 Duke

2–⁠9 (1–⁠7 Atlantic Coast Conference), coached by Ted Roof.

Schedule and results

Duke in 2004, game by game: lost at Navy 12–27; lost at UConn 20–22; lost at Virginia Tech 17–41; lost vs. No. 23 Maryland 21–55; won vs. The Citadel 28–10; lost at Georgia Tech 7–24; lost vs. No. 14 Virginia 16–37; lost at Wake Forest 22–24; lost at No. 13 Florida State 7–29; won vs. Clemson 16–13; lost vs. North Carolina 17–40+18−34Lost 12–27 at Navy-15NavyLost 20–22 at UConn-2UConnLost 17–41 at Virginia Tech-24Virginia TechLost 21–55 vs. No. 23 Maryland-34No. 23 MarylandWon 28–10 vs. The Citadel+18The CitadelLost 7–24 at Georgia Tech-17Georgia TechLost 16–37 vs. No. 14 Virginia-21No. 14 VirginiaLost 22–24 at Wake Forest-2Wake ForestLost 7–29 at No. 13 Florida State-22No. 13 Florida StateWon 16–13 vs. Clemson+3ClemsonLost 17–40 vs. North Carolina-23North Carolina
Each game’s margin, wins above the line and losses below.
DateOpponentResultElo
Sep 4atNavyL 12–⁠2736%
Sep 11atUConnL 20–⁠2223%
Sep 18atVirginia TechL 17–⁠4120%
Sep 25vs23MarylandL 21–⁠5523%
Oct 2vsThe CitadelW 28–⁠1072%
Oct 16atGeorgia TechL 7–⁠2422%
Oct 23vs14VirginiaL 16–⁠3723%
Oct 30atWake ForestL 22–⁠2426%
Nov 6at13Florida StateL 7–⁠299%
Nov 13vsClemsonW 16–⁠1324%
Nov 20vsNorth CarolinaL 17–⁠4043%

Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.

How it ended: Lost to North Carolina 40–⁠17; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 10th in the Atlantic Coast Conference.

In program history: The 98th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 108 on file).

Record
2–⁠9
Conference
1–⁠7 tied for 10th in Atlantic Coast Conference
AP final
Unranked
Points
183–⁠322
Coach
Ted Roof
Elo
1344 −72 this season
SP+ rating
-7.6 No. 87 of 120; offense No. 106, defense No. 67
SRS
−7.7 No. 88 of 119 in Division I-A
Recruiting class
No. 67
Offensive coordinator
Marty Galbraith
Defensive coordinators
Scott Brown and Jerry Azzinaro
Captains
Giuseppe Aguanno, Phillip Alexander, Chris Dapolito and Kenneth Stanford
Most valuable player
Giuseppe Aguanno
Offense
Pro-style
Defense
Multiple 4–⁠3

How good, play by play

  • Offense83rd of 118
  • Defense92nd of 118
EPA per playSuccessExplosivenessFBS rank
Offense-0.1331%1.0183rd of 118
Defense0.0443%0.9392nd of 118
How these are measured

Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season.

Drives and havoc

Points per trip inside the 40Average startHavoc
Offense-0.1own 283% allowed
Defense-0.1own 362% caused

A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.

Top recruits in the 2004 class

Chancellor Young WR★★★No. 329
Tim Ball RB★★No. 831
Justin Boyle RB★★No. 831
Ronnie Drummer APB★★No. 831
Alfred Williams ILB★★No. 831

247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.

The 2004 class by position

SignedStarsRating
Running backs32.00.789
Receivers42.30.767
Offensive line42.00.722
Linebackers32.00.744
Defensive backs32.00.744
Athletes and specialists12.00.722
Whole class182.10.751

High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.

All-ACC

1 second team

Second team

From Wikipedia’s 2004 all-conference team article, with the selectors that named each player (AP-1: the Associated Press’s first team).

2004 Atlantic Coast Conference standings

Conference page
TeamConf.OverallAP final
Virginia Tech7–⁠110–⁠310
Florida State6–⁠29–⁠315
Miami5–⁠39–⁠311
Virginia5–⁠38–⁠423
North Carolina5–⁠36–⁠6
Georgia Tech4–⁠47–⁠5
Clemson4–⁠46–⁠5
NC State3–⁠55–⁠6
Maryland3–⁠55–⁠6
Wake Forest1–⁠74–⁠7
Duke1–⁠72–⁠9

Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.