
2023 Arkansas State
6–7 (4–4 Sun Belt Conference), coached by Butch Jones. Share
Schedule and results
- Biggest winBeat Texas State 77–31Nov 18
By 46 points, its widest win.
- Most excitingBeat UL Monroe 34–24Oct 28
The win probability swung the most, by CollegeFootballData.com’s excitement index.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2 | at | L 0–73 | 21% |
| Sep 9 | vs | L 3–37 | 34% |
| Sep 16 | vs | W 31–7 | 79% |
| Sep 23 | vs | W 44–37 | 46% |
| Sep 30 | at | W 52–28 | 57% |
| Oct 7 | at | L 3–37 | 18% |
| Oct 21 | vs | L 17–27 | 42% |
| Oct 28 | at | W 34–24 | 45% |
| Nov 4 | vs | W 37–17 | 34% |
| Nov 11 | at | L 14–21 | 31% |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 77–31 | 49% |
| Nov 25 | at | L 21–35 | 41% |
| Dec 23Bowls & playoff | vs | L 19–21 | 49% |
Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.
How it ended: Lost to Northern Illinois 21–19 in the Camellia Bowl; unranked in the final AP poll; tied for 6th in the Sun Belt Conference.
In program history: The 22nd-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 84 on file).
- Record
- 6–7
- Conference
- 4–4 tied for 6th in Sun Belt Conference
- AP final
- Unranked
- Points
- 352–395
- Coach
- Butch Jones
- Elo
- 1441 +56 this season
- SP+ rating
- -6.3 No. 84 of 133; offense No. 70, defense No. 105, special teams No. 49
- SRS
- −6.3 No. 96 of 133 in FBS
- Returning
- 18% of last season’s EPA, No. 122 of 131
- Recruiting class
- No. 74 roster talent No. 92 in FBS
- Offensive coordinator
- Keith Heckendorf
- Defensive coordinator
- Rob Harley
- Offense
- Power spread
- Defense
- 4–3
How good, play by play
| EPA per play | Success | Explosiveness | FBS rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.07 | 40% | 1.33 | 72nd of 133 |
| Defense | 0.20 | 44% | 1.29 | 112th of 133 |
| Opponent-adjusted | 0.08 off 0.18 def | 39% off 44% def | — | 84th off 115th def |
How these are measured
Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season. The opponent-adjusted row (offense / defense) is CollegeFootballData.com’s WEPA, which accounts for who each team played.
Drives and havoc
| Points per trip inside the 40 | Average start | Havoc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 3.2 | own 31 | 17% allowed |
| Defense | 4.0 | own 27 | 16% caused |
CORE rating -4.3, 80th of 133 (offense 1.6, defense 5.9).
A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. CORE is CollegeFootballData.com’s context- and opponent-adjusted rating (points better than an average team; lower is better on defense). From CollegeFootballData.com.
Leaders
| Passing yards | Jaylen Raynor QB | 2,543 yds |
| Passing touchdowns | Jaylen Raynor QB | 17 TD |
| Rushing yards | Ja’Quez Cross RB | 716 yds |
| Rushing touchdowns | Ja’Quez Cross RB | 7 TD |
| Receiving yards | Corey Rucker WR | 705 yds |
| Receiving touchdowns | Courtney Jackson WR | 7 TD |
| Tackles | Charles Willekes LB | 91 tkl |
| Sacks | Keyron Crawford DE | 5.5 sacks |
| Interceptions | Eddie Smith S | 2 INT |
Top recruits in the 2023 class
| Clyde Curry WR | ★★★ | No. 1074 |
| Brian Alston DE | ★★★ | No. 1168 |
| DeAndra Burns Jr. WR | ★★★ | No. 1245 |
| Tennel Bryant WR | ★★★ | No. 1403 |
| Ian Jeffries DL | ★★★ | No. 1501 |
247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.
The 2023 class by position
| Signed | Stars | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterbacks | 2 | 2.5 | 0.798 |
| Running backs | 1 | 3.0 | 0.810 |
| Receivers | 6 | 3.0 | 0.845 |
| Offensive line | 2 | 3.0 | 0.833 |
| Defensive line | 4 | 3.0 | 0.844 |
| Linebackers | 3 | 3.0 | 0.833 |
| Defensive backs | 3 | 3.0 | 0.835 |
| Whole class | 21 | 3.0 | 0.834 |
High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.
Roster 121
The 2023 roster121 players, with numbers, heights, hometowns and each player’s 2023 line; 63 have a stat line. See the roster
Transfers in 8
The 2023 portal| ★★★ | from | |
| ★★★ | from | |
| ★★★ | from | |
| ★★★ | from | |
| ★★★ | from | |
| ★★★ | from | |
| ★★★ | from | |
| from |
Transfers out 13
| ★★★ | to | |
| ★★★★ | no new school on file | |
| ★★★ | no new school on file | |
| ★★★ | no new school on file | |
| ★★★ | no new school on file | |
| ★★★ | no new school on file | |
| ★★★ | no new school on file | |
| ★★★ | to | |
| ★★★ | no new school on file | |
| ★★★ | no new school on file | |
| ★★★ | no new school on file | |
| ★★ | to |
And 1 more, lower-rated or unrated.
2023 Sun Belt Conference standings
Conference page| Team | Conf. | Overall | AP final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7–1 | 11–2 | ||
| 7–1 | 11–3 | ||
| 6–2 | 9–5 | ||
| 5–3 | 8–5 | ||
| 5–3 | 6–7 | ||
| 4–4 | 8–5 | ||
| 4–4 | 7–6 | ||
| 4–4 | 6–7 | ||
| 3–5 | 7–6 | ||
| 3–5 | 6–7 | ||
| 3–5 | 6–7 | ||
| 3–5 | 6–7 | ||
| 2–6 | 3–9 | ||
| 0–8 | 2–10 |
Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.