2004 Arkansas State
3–8 (3–4 Sun Belt Conference), coached by Steve Roberts. Share
Schedule and results
- Biggest winBeat Utah State 16–7Nov 11
By 9 points, its widest win.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4 | at Missouri | L 20–52 | 21% |
| Sep 11 | at 6LSU | L 3–53 | 9% |
| Sep 18 | vs 25Memphis | L 35–47 | 26% |
| Sep 25 | at UL Monroe | W 28–21 | 50% |
| Oct 2 | at Ole Miss | L 21–28 | 22% |
| Oct 9 | at Middle Tennessee | L 17–45 | 36% |
| Oct 16 | vs Troy | W 13–9 | 34% |
| Oct 23 | at Louisiana | L 24–27 | 39% |
| Nov 6 | at Idaho | L 31–45 | 45% |
| Nov 11 | vs Utah State | W 16–7 | 59% |
| Nov 18 | vs North Texas | L 7–31 | 32% |
Elo: a pregame chance from scores alone.
How it ended: Lost to North Texas 31–7; unranked in the final AP poll; 6th in the Sun Belt Conference.
In program history: The 49th-best season in program history by end-of-season Elo (of 84 on file).
- Record
- 3–8
- Conference
- 3–4 6th in Sun Belt Conference
- AP final
- Unranked
- Points
- 215–365
- Coach
- Steve Roberts
- Elo
- 1308 −55 this season
- SP+ rating
- -19.7 No. 111 of 120; offense No. 110, defense No. 102
- SRS
- −18.4 No. 111 of 119 in Division I-A
- Recruiting class
- No. 82
- Offensive coordinator
- Doug Ruse
- Defensive coordinators
- Kevin Corless and Jack Curtis
How good, play by play
| EPA per play | Success | Explosiveness | FBS rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | -0.00 | 33% | 1.25 | 26th of 118 |
| Defense | 0.15 | 44% | 1.01 | 113th of 118 |
How these are measured
Play-weighted averages over games against FBS opponents; raw numbers, not adjusted for the strength of the opponent. EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed the expected score; success rate counts plays that kept the offense on schedule; explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. Lower is better on defense. Ranked by EPA per play among teams that were FBS that season.
Drives and havoc
| Points per trip inside the 40 | Average start | Havoc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 0.0 | own 31 | 2% allowed |
| Defense | -0.3 | own 32 | 1% caused |
A trip inside the 40 is a drive that reaches the opponent’s 40-yard line; points per trip is how many it scored on average (allowed, on defense). Average start is where drives began (the defense’s line is where its opponents started). Havoc is the share of plays ending in a tackle for loss, a forced fumble, an interception or a pass broken up. From CollegeFootballData.com.
Top recruits in the 2004 class
| Kevin Jones WR | ★★ | No. 979 |
| Nat Duvall OT | ★★ | No. 979 |
| Matt Mandich OG | ★★ | No. 979 |
| Tyler McNeely SDE | ★★ | No. 979 |
| Brian Flagg ILB | ★★ | No. 979 |
247Sports composite rankings via CollegeFootballData.com; national rank in the class.
The 2004 class by position
| Signed | Stars | Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterbacks | 1 | 2.0 | 0.767 |
| Running backs | 2 | 2.0 | 0.767 |
| Receivers | 4 | 2.0 | 0.767 |
| Offensive line | 4 | 2.0 | 0.767 |
| Defensive line | 4 | 2.0 | 0.764 |
| Linebackers | 3 | 2.0 | 0.767 |
| Defensive backs | 3 | 2.0 | 0.767 |
| Athletes and specialists | 1 | 2.0 | 0.767 |
| Whole class | 22 | 2.0 | 0.766 |
High-school signees by position group, with their average stars and 247Sports composite rating (out of 1), via CollegeFootballData.com. Athletes are signees with no set position.
2004 Sun Belt Conference standings
Conference page| Team | Conf. | Overall | AP final |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | 7–0 | 7–5 | |
| Troy | 4–2 | 7–5 | |
 New Mexico State | 3–2 | 5–6 | |
| Middle Tennessee | 4–4 | 5–6 | |
| UL Monroe | 3–3 | 5–6 | |
 Arkansas State | 3–4 | 3–8 | |
| Louisiana | 2–5 | 4–7 | |
| Utah State | 2–5 | 3–8 | |
| Idaho | 2–5 | 3–9 |
Ordered by conference winning percentage, then conference wins. Division splits and tiebreakers aren’t applied.